Barclays' CEO Plan Raises Questions Over Strategy -- Update
October 13 2015 - 11:14AM
Dow Jones News
By Margot Patrick
LONDON-- Barclays PLC's plan to name Jes Staley as chief
executive adds a new dimension to the lender's love-hate
relationship with investment banking--and introduces fresh
uncertainty over strategy.
It also comes as many of the biggest banks in Europe and the
U.K. grapple with how to make money in investment banking under
exacting regulation while staving off competition from U.S.
rivals.
Barclays shares were down 2.2% Tuesday afternoon on the news
that the former head of investment banking at J.P. Morgan Chase
& Co. is lined up to become CEO, pending regulatory approval.
Analysts said they are concerned that Mr. Staley's appointment
could mean a lurch back toward investment banking after a series of
stops and starts in scaling back the division under former CEO
Antony Jenkins. If so, that could require more capital, analysts
warned.
"While this removes one uncertainty regarding the future CEO, we
see it raising more uncertainties on the outlook, which are likely
to weigh on the shares," said James Chappell, an analyst at
Berenberg. "Sadly, having hoped Barclays might emerge as a
long-term winner in the sector, we fear it is returning to its bad
old ways."
European banks have lagged behind their U.S. counterparts in
adapting to the new landscape for investment banking, setting off a
debate about whether Barclays and others should be better supported
by policy makers to maintain larger investment banks that can
compete with U.S. rivals.
U.K. and European banks were slower than their U.S. counterparts
to restructure after the financial crisis to adapt to global
banking rule changes. Barclays and other British banks were also
weighed down by multibillion-pound bills over
consumer-payment-protection insurance that hindered their ability
to quickly shed unwanted assets.
The postcrisis political backlash against investment banking was
stronger in Europe than in the U.S., leading to stringent rules
around bankers' pay, and legislation in Britain to separate retail
banking and investment banking through a process known as
"ringfencing."
Later this week, the Bank of England will release guidance on
how capital should be spread across banking groups' retail- and
investment-banking arms under ringfencing, giving greater clarity
for investors over how dividends will stream up to the
holding-company level.
The investment bank at Barclays was at the heart of the bank's
success in the 2000s, when it grew dramatically under then head Bob
Diamond and became the main driver of profit. But the unit faltered
under tougher regulations after the financial crisis, and Mr.
Diamond left as group CEO amid the Libor-rigging scandal three
years ago.
For three years under Mr. Jenkins, strategy at the investment
bank was in flux. Then in July, shortly after Chairman John
McFarlane joined the bank, Mr. Jenkins was ousted, because the bank
said he didn't have the right skill set to move Barclays
forward.
Mr. McFarlane, who is executive chairman until a new CEO is
appointed, has spoken of Barclays growing again as an investment
bank, and potentially even expanding through a merger. People
familiar with the CEO selection process said Mr. McFarlane
considered it crucial to bring someone in who had strong
investment-banking experience and could help put to rest concerns
around strategy in that area.
Late Tuesday, the bank issued a statement saying the process of
appointing a new chief executive "has not yet concluded and
Barclays will provide a further update once that is complete."
The current plan for the division, engineered by investment bank
head Tom King and other senior staff such as Finance Director
Tushar Morzaria, involves stripping out costs by cutting and
outsourcing jobs, reducing low-returning assets and getting a
better grip on capital allocation.
"They are taking a significant chunk of costs out but their
strategy is to retain the profitable parts of the investment bank
and over time it should enjoy something of a survivor's premium,"
said Ian Gordon, an analyst at Investec.
Analysts said Mr. Staley would likely put his own stamp on that
strategy, and join a raft of new CEOs at rivals, including Deutsche
Bank AG and Credit Suisse AG, that are bringing a fresh set of eyes
to the challenges facing investment banks globally from tougher
rules, changes in client activity and persistently low interest
rates.
"His appointment will indicate a greater commitment to the
[investment bank], but then Barclays' profitability problems are
linked to the investment bank and not the traditional bank,"
Chintan Joshi, an analyst at Nomura, wrote in a note. "He needs to
clearly indicate that the core investment bank will not form a
bigger proportion of the group [risk-weighted assets] than under
the current strategy as investors are unlikely take a growing
investment bank positively."
Write to Margot Patrick at margot.patrick@wsj.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 13, 2015 10:59 ET (14:59 GMT)
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