RenaissanceRe Upgraded to Neutral - Analyst Blog
February 24 2012 - 12:54PM
Zacks
We have upgraded our recommendation on RenaissanceRe
Holdings Ltd. (RNR) to Neutral from Underperform based on
its improving operating leverage, strategic divestitures and stable
ratings. Additionally, efficient capital deployment is boosting
investors’ confidence in the stock.
RenaissanceRe reported fourth-quarter 2011 operating earnings of
$1.11 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.06.
However, this compared unfavorably with the year-ago quarter
earnings of $3.47.
Over the past few years, RenaissanceRe has been deploying its
excess capital to enhance investors’ wealth. Recently, the company
hiked its quarterly dividend to 27 cents per share from 26 cents
paid in December 2011, thus marking the seventeenth dividend hike
in its history.
Furthermore, the company repurchased 2.9 million shares last
year and from January 1, 2012 to February 6, 2012, it has bought
back 51,000 shares. The company’s decision of consistently
returning value to the shareholders’ should help retain investors’
confidence amid the prevailing economic volatility.
Moreover, RenaissanceRe’s comfortable operating and financial
leverage, strong market position in property catastrophe
reinsurance, low combined ratios and consistent strong return on
capital have enabled it to retain the confidence of rating
agencies. In December 2011, Fitch affirmed the Issuer Default
Rating of RenaissanceRe at “A”, the debt rating of 5.875% senior
notes at “A-” and 6.08% series C and 6.6% series D preferred stocks
at “BBB”.
However, natural catastrophes have been impacting the profits of
RenaissanceRe since 2008. The company was severely hit by floods in
Australia and Thailand, earthquake in New Zealand, tornadoes in the
U.S. and earthquake and tsunami in Japan last year, which led to
underwriting losses of $725.2 million.
Moreover, the company’s poor performance in hedge fund, private
equity and high yield funds resulted in dismal investment results
in 2011. Although the company maintains a strong dollar-weighted
average ratingon its fixed maturities portfolio, the steep decline
in interest rates and widening credit spreads have led to lower
total returns on the portfolio in 2010 and 2011.
Overall, we anticipate a moderate upside potential for
RenaissanceRe shares in the near future. The Zacks Consensus
Estimate for the company’s first-quarter 2012 earnings is currently
$2.24 per share, up about 149% year over year. For full year
2012, the Zacks Consensus Estimate stands at $8.30 per
share, up almost 358% from 2011.
RenaissanceRe carries a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into a
short-term Hold rating. It competes with ACE
Limited (ACE) and XL Group
Plc. (XL).
ACE LIMITED (ACE): Free Stock Analysis Report
RENAISSANCERE (RNR): Free Stock Analysis Report
XL GROUP PLC (XL): Free Stock Analysis Report
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