State Street Corporation (NYSE:STT), today announced that the
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has determined
that, under the stress test administered under The Supervisory
Capital Assessment Program (SCAP), State Street does not need
additional capital. The Federal Reserve concluded that State Street
has a sufficient capital buffer to withstand even the stress test�s
�more adverse�2 scenario.
�We�re very pleased to have passed this important supervisory
test by a wide margin. Even under the test�s �more adverse� stress
assumptions, State Street�s capital levels are well in excess of
the required ratios established by the supervisory authorities. The
Federal Reserve�s findings are also consistent with our own
long-held views of the quality of our assets,� said Ronald E.
Logue, chairman and CEO of State Street. �With the stress test
completed, we are now in a position to consider repayment of the
TARP preferred stock and warrants under the appropriate
circumstances.�
State Street�s application of the stress test�s �more adverse�
scenario and methodology on a pro-forma basis (which assumes
consolidation of the asset-backed commercial paper conduits during
2009) results in the following projected tier 1 Capital and tier 1
Common ratios as of December 31, 2010. The Federal Reserve in its
announcement only published these ratios as of December 31,
2008.
� � �
Targeted Minimum Ratios3 � �
Projected Ratios as of Dec. 31,
20104
Tier 1 Capital5 � � 6% � � 12.4%
Tier 1
Common6 � � 4% � � 9.1%
The accompanying chart shown to the side reflects State Street�s
actual Tier 1 Capital and Tier 1 Common ratios as of December 31,
2008 (as published by the Federal Reserve) and State Street�s
estimates of such ratios as of March 31, 2009, December 31, 2009
and December 31, 2010 applying the assumptions under the �baseline�
and �more adverse� scenarios as defined by the Federal
Reserve7.
Set forth below are State Street�s results under the stress test
as published by the Federal Reserve. The estimates in the Federal
Reserve table, including the $4.3 billion of Resources Other
Than Capital to Absorb Losses, provide an estimate of future
earnings and losses and reflect the SCAP�s stress test assumptions
and methodologies, and market conditions and financial outcomes
that are more severe than State Street currently anticipates or
that are reflected in the Company�s outlook for the remainder of
2009. State Street has not provided any outlook for 2010.
Table 2: Supervisory Capital Assessment Program Estimates
for State Street Corporation for the More Adverse Economic
Scenario �
The estimates below represent a
hypothetical 'what-if' scenario that involves an economic outcome
that is more adverse than expected. These estimates are not
forecasts of expected losses or revenues.
� � � �
State Street Corporation At December 31, 2008
�
$ Billions �
As % of RWA Tier 1 Capital 14.1 �
20.2%
� Tier 1 Common Equity 10.8
15.5%
Risk-Weighted Assets 69.6 Memo: UST Preferred Equity 2.0 �
More
Adverse Scenario Estimated for 2009 and 2010 for the More
Adverse Scenario $ Billions �
As % of Loans Total
Estimated Losses (Before purchase accounting adjustments) 8.2 First
Lien Mortgages -na- -na- Second/Junior Lien Mortgages -na- -na-
Commercial and Industrial Loans 0.04 22.8% Commercial Real Estate
loans 0.3 35.5% Credit Card Loans -na- -na- Securities (AFS and
HTM) 1.8 -na- Trading and Counterparty -na- -na- Other (1) 6.0 -na-
� Memo: Purchase Accounting Adjustments -na- � Resources Other Than
Capital to Absorb Losses (2) 4.3 �
SCAP Buffer Added for More
Adverse Scenario
(SCAP buffer is defined as additional Tier 1 common/contingent
common) Indicated SCAP Buffer as of December 31, 2008 No Need
Less: Capital Actions and Effects of Q1 2009 Results (3) 0.2 SCAP
Buffer � No Need � � (1) Includes other consumer and non-consumer
loans and miscellaneous commitments and obligations (2) Resources
to absorb losses include pre-provision net revenue less the change
in allowance for the loan and lease losses (3) Capital Actions
include completed or contracted transactions since Q4 2008 Note:
Numbers may not sum due to rounding
The $8.2 billion Total Estimated Losses listed in the
chart under the �more adverse� scenario primarily is comprised of
$6.0 billion in Other, $1.8 billion in Securities (AFS
and HTM), $0.3 billion in Commercial Real Estate Loans,
and $0.04 billion in Commercial and Industrial Loans. Each
of these items is explained in greater detail below.
Other
For the purposes of the stress test, State Street assumed that
the asset-backed commercial paper conduits it administers would be
consolidated during 2009. State Street has reported on a pro-forma
basis the impact of conduit consolidation on its capital ratios
quarterly since the third quarter of 2007. Included in Other
is the estimated pre-tax charge of $5.9 billion ($3.6 billion
after-tax) that would be recorded upon a consolidation of the
conduits during 2009. This amount represents the difference between
the book value of the conduits� net assets and their fair value,
each as of December 31, 2008. Although State Street is not
currently required to consolidate the conduits, it continues to
monitor the performance of the conduits� assets and consolidation
requirements. It is possible that some future conditions or actions
may result in the consolidation of conduits by State Street. While
the pre-tax accounting charge of $5.9 billion (after-tax $3.6
billion) reflects the mark-to-market value at December 31, 2008,
State Street believes the ultimate economic loss will be materially
lower.
Securities (AFS and HTM)
The $1.8 billion pre-tax ($1.1 billion after-tax) loss is
projected using the stress test�s �more adverse� assumptions and
methodologies and is substantially less than the pre-tax
mark-to-market loss on the investment portfolio, which was $10.3
billion pre-tax ($6.3 billion after-tax) as of December 31, 2008.
This result is consistent with State Street�s long-established view
that the mark-to-market loss on its investment portfolio primarily
reflects the lack of liquidity and resulting disruption in the
fixed income markets and not the credit quality of its investment
portfolio. The amount (pre-tax $1.8 billion or $1.1 billion
after-tax) reflected in this line relates entirely to State
Street�s other-than-temporary impairments in its investment
portfolio under the �more adverse� stress test scenario based upon
investment portfolio balances and accounting rules in effect on
December 31, 2008. Recently announced changes in accounting rules
under which impairments to securities will be determined were not
included in the stress test�s methodologies and would have a
favorable impact on these results. The impact of implementing these
changes in accounting rules is estimated by State Street to reduce
the pre-tax loss of $1.8 billion to about $400 million under the
�more adverse� scenario as of December 31, 2008.
Commercial and Industrial Loans and Commercial Real Estate
Loans
The amounts reflected include potential losses on certain
real-estate loans that we acquired primarily in the fourth quarter
of 2008 as analyzed under �more adverse� conditions. The
percentages in the table under �as a % of loans� refer to estimated
losses as a percentage of only these loans. State Street does not
engage in commercial real-estate lending as a component of its
normal investment operations.
Reflecting the nature of State Street�s business, which focuses
on servicing and management for institutional investors worldwide,
and the quality of its investment portfolio, the stress test did
not reflect any losses in its other categories, such as First
and Second Lien Mortgages and Credit Card and Other Consumer
Loans, used under the Federal Reserve�s analysis.
The line entitled Capital Actions and Effects of Q1 2009
Results represents a credit of approximately $200 million to
reflect the actual increase in capital during the first quarter of
2009 based on actual first-quarter results, relative to the
projected increase in capital during that period under the stress
assumptions that were used.
The stress test results did not include any strategic actions
contemplated by State Street such as acquisitions or
divestitures.
Based on Indicated Additional Capital Buffer listed in
the Federal Reserve�s table of State Street estimates for the �more
adverse� scenario, the supervisory authorities determined that
State Street needs no additional capital.
State Street continues to perform against its TCE improvement
plan as announced on February 5 and updated on April 21, 2009.
------------------------------------------------------
1Represents risk-weighted assets as defined in 12 CFR 225
Appendix A.
2The stress test�s �more adverse� scenario, which included a
decline in GDP of -3.3% in 2009 and an increase of 0.5% in 2010;
civilian unemployment of 8.9% in 2009 and 10.3% in 2010; and house
price declines of -22% during 2009 and -7% in 2010, are described
in detail in The Supervisory Capital Assessment Program; Design and
Implementation released by the Board of Governors of the Federal
Reserve System on April 24, 2009.
3Targeted ratios set by SCAP supervisors to determine the
desired capital buffer in the stress test�s �more adverse�
scenario.
4The stress test methodology under the SCAP assumed a stressed
economic and market environment in 2009 and 2010 (see note 2 above)
and projected losses that the 19 participating banks would incur
and financial resources that would be available to offset those
losses if that economic scenario were to occur. The amounts
displayed result from application of the assumptions and
methodologies of the �more adverse� scenario in the stress tests,
established by supervisory authorities, do not reflect State
Street�s outlook for 2009 and are based upon stress test
assumptions described in note 7 below. State Street has provided no
outlook for 2010.
5Represents Tier 1 capital divided by RWA.
6Represents Tier 1 capital, less non-common elements including
qualifying perpetual preferred stock, qualifying minority interest
in subsidiaries and qualifying trust preferred securities, divided
by RWA.
7The stress test methodology under the SCAP assumed two
scenarios: one reflecting the current market outlook entitled
�baseline� scenario (described above in footnote 2 and below in
footnote 7) and the other (described above in footnotes 2 and 4)
entitled �more adverse� scenario. The amounts displayed assume the
losses reflected in SCAP�s loss assessment under the �baseline� and
�more adverse� scenarios, consolidation of the conduits State
Street administers during 2009, no change from December 31, 2008 in
outstanding common stock or other Tier 1 capital, and internal
generation of capital for 2009 and 2010 that is lower than is
reflected in State Street�s outlook for 2009. These data have been
prepared in accordance with the assumptions and methodologies
required by SCAP and are intended to provide some guidance under
those assumptions and methodologies as to our ratios projected by
the stress test as of the dates indicated. The Federal Reserve in
its announcement only published these ratios as of December 31,
2008. This data does not reflect State Street�s outlook for 2009 or
2010 and is not intended as a representation of future performance
or financial condition. The stress test�s �baseline� scenario,
which included a decline in GDP of -2.0% in 2009 and an increase of
2.1% in 2010; civilian unemployment of 8.4% in 2009 and 8.8% in
2010; and house price declines of -14% during 2009 and -4% in 2010;
are described in detail in The Supervisory Capital Assessment
Program; Design and Implementation released by the Board of
Governors of the Federal Reserve System on April 24, 2009. The
test�s �more adverse� scenario is described above in footnote
2.
State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT) is the world's leading
provider of financial services to institutional investors including
investment servicing, investment management and investment research
and trading. With $11.337 trillion in assets under custody and
$1.395 trillion in assets under management at March 31, 2009, State
Street operates in 27 countries and more than 100 geographic
markets and employs 27,500 worldwide.
FORWARD-LOOKING
STATEMENTS
This news announcement contains forward-looking statements as
defined by United States securities laws, including statements
about our goals and expectations regarding our business, financial
condition, results of operations and strategies, the financial and
market outlook, governmental and regulatory initiatives and
developments, and the business environment. These statements are
not guarantees of future performance, are inherently uncertain, are
based on current assumptions that are difficult to predict and
involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Therefore, actual
outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed
in those statements, and those statements should not be relied upon
as representing our expectations or beliefs as of any date
subsequent to the date of this release.
Important factors that may affect future results and outcomes
include:
- global financial market
disruptions and the current worldwide economic recession, and
monetary and other governmental actions designed to address such
disruptions and recession in the U.S. and internationally;
- the possibility that changes in
market conditions, regulatory activities, or asset performance
(including the financial condition of any insurer or guarantor, or
the ratings, of any assets) or to accounting rules may require any
off-balance sheet activities, including the unconsolidated
asset-backed commercial paper conduits we administer, to be
consolidated into our financial statements, requiring the
recognition of associated losses;
- the financial strength of the
counterparties with which we or our clients do business and with
which we have investment or financial exposure;
- the liquidity of the U.S. and
international securities markets, particularly the markets for
fixed-income securities, and the liquidity requirements of our
customers;
- the credit quality and credit
agency ratings of the securities in our investment securities
portfolio, a deterioration or downgrade of which could lead to
other-than-temporary impairment of the respective securities and
the recognition of an impairment loss;
- the maintenance of credit agency
ratings for our debt obligations as well as the level of
credibility of credit agency ratings;
- the possibility of our customers
incurring substantial losses in investment pools where we act as
agent, and the possibility of further general reductions in the
valuation of assets;
- our ability to attract deposits
and other low-cost, short-term funding;
- potential changes to the
competitive environment, including changes due to the effects of
consolidation, extensive and changing government regulation and
perceptions of State Street as a suitable service provider or
counterparty;
- the level and volatility of
interest rates and the performance and volatility of securities,
credit, currency and other markets in the U.S. and
internationally;
- our ability to measure the fair
value of securities in our investment securities portfolio and in
the unconsolidated asset-backed commercial paper conduits we
administer;
- the results of litigation and
similar disputes and, in particular, the effect of current or
potential litigation concerning SSgA�s active fixed-income
strategies, and the enactment of legislation and changes in
regulation and enforcement that impact us and our customers, as
well as the effects of legal and regulatory proceedings;
- adverse publicity or other
reputational harm;
- our ability to pursue
acquisitions, strategic alliances and divestures, finance future
business acquisitions and obtain regulatory approvals and consents
for acquisitions;
- the performance and demand for
the products and services we offer, including the level and timing
of withdrawals from our collective investment products;
- our ability to continue to grow
revenue, attract highly skilled people, control expenses and
attract the capital necessary to achieve our business goals and
comply with regulatory requirements;
- our ability to control operating
risks, information technology systems risks and outsourcing risks,
the possibility of errors in the quantitative models we use to
manage our business and the possibility that our controls will fail
or be circumvented;
- the potential for new products
and services to impose additional costs on us and expose us to
increased operational risk, and our ability to protect our
intellectual property rights;
- our ability to obtain quality
and timely services from third parties with which we contract;
- changes in accounting standards
and practices, including changes in the interpretation of existing
standards, that impact our consolidated financial statements;
and
- changes in tax legislation and
in the interpretation of existing tax laws by U.S. and non-U.S. tax
authorities that impact the amount of taxes due.
Other important factors that could cause actual results to
differ materially from those indicated by any forward-looking
statements are set forth in our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K and
our subsequent SEC filings. We encourage investors to read our
10-K, particularly the section on Risk Factors, and our subsequent
SEC filings for additional information with respect to any
forward-looking statements and prior to making any investment
decision. The forward-looking statements contained in this press
release speak only as of the date hereof, May 7, 2009, and we do
not undertake efforts to revise those forward-looking statements to
reflect events after this date.
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