Exelon Acquiring Constellation - Analyst Blog
April 28 2011 - 8:30AM
Zacks
Exelon Corporation
(EXC) entered into a definite agreement to acquire
Constellation Energy Group Inc. (CEG), for about
$7.9 billion. Exelon is expected to issue 0.93 of its shares for
every share of Constellation owned by the latter’s
shareholders.
The exchange ratio agreed upon
represents an 18.1% premium to the 30-day average closing stock
prices of Exelon and Constellation as of April 27, 2011. Following
the completion of the merger Exelon shareholders will have 78%
ownership of the combined company, while the rest will belong to
Constellation shareholders.
The merger is approved by the
shareholders of both the companies and the union is subject to
overcoming some regulatory hurdles. The companies expect to close
the merger by early 2012.
Baltimore based Constellation
Energy is a supplier of power, natural gas and energy products and
services for homes and businesses across the continental United
States.
Benefits
Nuclear power plants are the major
source of power generation for Exelon. As the deal was finally
chalked out, Exelon will have access to Constellation’s nuclear
power plants in New York and Maryland. This will come as a big
boost to its generation capacity.
This merger will create the
nation’s number one competitive energy products and services
supplier by load and customers as well as the biggest competitive
power generator having the largest nuclear fleet in the U.S. The
consolidated entity will also produce power at much lower costs,
helping them to jointly work on fuel innovation, increase
efficiency and provide better options and rates to customers.
Success after Failed
Attempts?
Despite obvious positives to be
reaped from such a consolidation, the deal came after both the
companies showing a dubious track record of failing to acquire or
be acquired by other companies. On a few occasions, Exelon has made
unsuccessful attempts to clinch acquisitions. The target companies,
for instance, were NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) in 2008,
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (PEG) in 2004
and Illinois Power Co. in 2003.
Constellation Energy came close to
be acquired twice before both the deals fell through.
NextEra Energy Inc.'s (NEE) attempt to buy
Constellation was thwarted in 2005 by the interference of state
officials. Another deal to be acquired by Berkshire Hathaway failed
in 2008.
Recent Merger in the Power
Sector
In a climate of mergers and power
deals this year, another U.S. energy company, The AES
Corporation (AES), announced in April that it has entered
into a definite merger agreement with DPL Inc.
(DPL) and the transaction is valued at $4.7 billion.
Actual &
Estimates
Exelon reported strong first
quarter 2011 results surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimates for
both the top and bottom lines. Going forward, the company expects
its operating earnings for 2011 in a range of $3.90 – $4.20 per
share, while the second quarter 2011 earnings are pegged in the
range of 90 cents to $1.00 per share.
The Zacks Consensus Estimates for
second-quarter 2011, fiscal year 2011 and fiscal year 2012 are
presently 98 cents per share, $4.03 per share and $3.04 per share,
respectively.
To Conclude
The Exelon-Constellation merger
allows concentration of nuclear power generation and brings
economies of scale. This is important in the aftermath of the
Fukushima Dai-Ichi plant atomic disaster in Japan, which has raised
questions about nuclear safety and is sure to inhibit the pace of
future construction.
Definitely heartening is the news
that the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission has recently approved
Exelon’s request to boost its nuclear generation capacity in two of
its units. This in a way suggests that the nuclear plants were
properly run by Exelon and it can safely add more generation to its
existing nuclear capacity.
We appreciate this prudent and
beneficial merger agreement as it will create the nation’s cleanest
power generation fleet, explore opportunities in commercial solar
energy development and also focus on efficiency.
Exelon Corporation currently
retains a Zacks #3 Rank (short-term Hold rating). We maintain a
longer-term Neutral recommendation on Exelon.
Based in Chicago, Illinois, Exelon
Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the
generation, transmission, distribution and sale of electricity to
residential, commercial, industrial and wholesale customers.
AES CORP (AES): Free Stock Analysis Report
CONSTELLATN EGY (CEG): Free Stock Analysis Report
DPL INC (DPL): Free Stock Analysis Report
EXELON CORP (EXC): Free Stock Analysis Report
NEXTERA ENERGY (NEE): Free Stock Analysis Report
NRG ENERGY INC (NRG): Free Stock Analysis Report
PUBLIC SV ENTRP (PEG): Free Stock Analysis Report
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