Newmont Mining Corporation (NEM) posted
adjusted net earnings of $1.15 per share in the first quarter of
2012, up from the year-ago profit of $1.02 per share. The results
edged past the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.14 and the company
saw its stock record marginal gains in after-hours trading
yesterday.
Profit from continuing operations, as reported, rose 9% year
over year to $561 million (or $1.11 a share) from $514 million (or
$1.03 a share) a year ago.
Total revenues leapt 9% year over year to $2.68 billion and
trumped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.63 billion.
Newmont reported attributable gold and copper production of 1.3
million ounces and 35 million pounds in the quarter, a fall of 2%
and 35%, respectively, from last year. Costs applicable to sales
(CAS) were $620 per ounce of gold and $1.98 per pound of copper, up
11% and 78%, respectively, from the first quarter of
2011.
Regional Sales
North America
Nevada gold production came in at 435,000 ounces, flat year over
year, due to higher grade ore mined after the resumption of mining
at Gold Quarry, offset by lower underground ore grade mined at
Leeville and Midas. CAS was $617 per ounce, down from the
prior-year quarter of $643 per ounce, as inventory build in 2012
more than made up for higher underground mining and milling
costs.
La Herradura gold production in the quarter was 54,000 ounces,
up 10% year over year, due to higher leach placement at
Soledad-Dipolos and beginning of production at the Noche Buena pit.
CAS was $581 per ounce during the first quarter and increased
49% from last year due to higher employee profit sharing costs and
commencement of production at Noche Buena.
South America
Yanacocha gold production was 188,000 ounces in the quarter, up
27% from the first quarter of 2011 due to higher mill throughput,
recovery and grade, which were offset to some extent by lower leach
production from La Quinua, Carachugo and Yanacocha. CAS per ounce
went down 21% to $458 per ounce due to higher production, partially
offset by higher costs and lower by-product credits.
The company continues to expect 2012 attributable gold
production at South America of approximately 690,000 to 750,000
ounces.
Asia-Pacific
Boddington gold production was 162,000 ounces in the reported
quarter, flat year over year. Copper production also remained
consistent over the prior-year quarter at 14 million pounds. A 17%
increase in throughput was offset by 15% lower grade and 2% lower
recovery, resulting in the mine’s flat performance.
CAS per ounce of gold increased 31% to $782 per ounce and per
pound of copper decreased 11% to $1.94 per pound. The gold cost
increase was driven by higher mining cost and milling cost, a
higher proportion of costs allocated to gold, and a stronger
Australian dollar. Copper costs decreased due to lower costs
allocated to copper.
Batu Hijau gold production was 11,000 ounces in the quarter and
copper production was 21 million pounds, substantially decreasing
from the previous year's quarter due to lower mill throughput,
grade and recovery as a result of processing lower grade stockpiled
ore due to continuation of Phase 6 stripping.
CAS increased 184% per ounce to $913 per ounce for gold and 108%
per pound to $2 per pound due to lower production and higher
costs.
Other Australia/New Zealand gold production was 265,000 ounces,
11% lower than the year-ago quarter due to a planned mill closure
at Waihi, mill maintenance at Kalgoorlie and an in-process
inventory build-up at Jundee and Kalgoorlie, partially offset by
higher grade at Tanami. CAS was $757 per ounce, up 35% year over
year due to lower production, a stronger Australian dollar, lower
by-product credits and higher costs.
Africa
During the first quarter, gold production at Ahafo in Ghana was
175,000 ounces, a decrease of 6% year over year due to lower mill
throughput and grade, partially offset by decreased in-process
inventory and higher recovery. CAS per ounce increased 26% to $568
per ounce due to lower production and higher costs.
Financial Position
In the quarter, consolidated capital expenditures were $720
million versus $445 million in the prior-year quarter. Operating
cash flow from continuing operations was $613 million in the first
quarter, down 38% from last year. Cash and cash equivalents were
$2.6 billion as of March 31, 2012, versus $4.5 billion as of March
31, 2011.
Newmont's board of directors approved second-quarter 2012 gold
price-linked dividend of 35 cents per share based on the company's
average realized gold price of $1,684 per ounce for the first
quarter of 2012, an increase of 75% over the 20 cents
dividend paid in the second quarter of 2011.
Outlook
For fiscal 2012, the company maintained its erstwhile guidance
of attributable gold production of approximately 5 million to 5.2
million ounces, with attributable copper production of 150 to 170
million pounds.
Costs applicable to sales on a co-product basis are expected to
be between $625 and $675 per ounce for gold. Costs applicable
to copper sales on a co-product basis are expected to be between
$1.80 and $2.20 per pound of copper.
The company also maintained its plan to spend $3 to $3.3 billion
in attributable capital expenditures in 2012, or $4 to $4.3 billion
on a consolidated basis. Approximately 60% of consolidated capital
expenditures for the rest of the year are expected to be related to
major project initiatives, under the assumption that development of
the Conga project in Peru proceeds as expected, while the remaining
40% is expected to be for growth and sustaining capital.
Our Take
Demand for gold is improving. Investment is rising due to
escalating demand for gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Demand for
gold is expected to remain high due to global instability and U.S.
trade/budget deficits. Being an entirely un-hedged gold producer,
Newmont reaps immediate benefits from these trends.
However, Newmont’s direct mining costs are increasing due to
declining grades, increased royalties, equipment maintenance, waste
removal, pit dewatering, and labor and fuel costs.
Based in Colorado, Newmont Mining Corporation is one of the
world's largest producers of gold with several active mines in
Nevada, Peru, Australia/New Zealand, Indonesia and Ghana. It
competes with the likes of AngloGold Ashanti Ltd.
(AU), Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) and
Gold Fields Ltd. (GFI).
Newmont is the only gold company included in the S&P 500
Index and Fortune 500. It was the first gold company included in
the Dow Jones’ world Sustainability Index.
We currently have a long-term Neutral recommendation on Newmont.
The stock retains a Zacks #3 Rank, indicating a short-term Hold
rating.
BARRICK GOLD CP (ABX): Free Stock Analysis Report
ANGLOGOLD LTD (AU): Free Stock Analysis Report
GOLD FIELDS-ADR (GFI): Free Stock Analysis Report
NEWMONT MINING (NEM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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