Unum Beats Top Line, Lags EPS Est. - Analyst Blog
May 04 2011 - 9:45AM
Zacks
Unum Group (UNM) reported first-quarter
operating income of 69 cents per share, a
penny lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 70 cents. Results
compare favorably with 67 cents earned in the prior-year period.
Operating income was $215.7 million in the quarter, down 3.5% from
$223.5 million in first-quarter 2010.
Soft
performance at Unum UK and Individual Disability – Closed Block
contributed to the lower-than-expected results.
Including
realized after-tax investment gains of $9.7 million or 3 cents per
share, the company reported net income of $225.4 million or 72
cents per share, compared with $229.8 million or 69 cents per share
in the first quarter of 2010. The prior-year quarter’s registered
net realized after-tax gains were $16.5 million or 5 cents per
share and tax charge was $10.2 million or 3 cents per
share.
Total
revenue in the quarter under review was $2.56 billion, inching
up 0.06% year over year. Results exceeded the Zacks
Consensus estimate of $2.55 billion.
Segment Update
Unum US Segment: Segment premium in
the quarter was $1.22 billion, up 0.3% year over year.
Operating income increased 5% year over year to $209.1 million
in the first quarter of 2011.
Unum UK Segment: Premium increased
0.8% year over year to $167.1 million in the first quarter of 2011.
In local currency, premium decreased 1.8% year over year to £104.2
million.
Segment operating income was $48.7 million in the first quarter of 2011,
down 19.6% year over year.
The benefit
ratio was 69.3% in first-quarter 2011, up from 63.1% in the
prior-year quarter. The higher benefit ratio resulted from lower
premium income and a lower level of claim resolutions in group
long-term disability, partially offset by favorable group long-term
disability claim incidence.
Colonial Life
Segment: Premium in the quarter
increased 5.8% year over year to $280.4 million.
Operating
income declined 5.5% year over year to $69 million in the reported
quarter.
The benefit
ratio was 51.4% compared with 47.1% in the year-ago period. The
increase was a result of less favorable risk results in the
accident, sickness, and disability product line and life product
line.
Individual Disability –
Closed Block Segment: Premium decreased
5.5% year over year to $202.3 million in first-quarter 2011.
Segment operating income reported a decrease of 15% to $9.9
million largely driven by lower premium income and net investment
income.
Corporate and Other Segment: Operating
loss of $21.7 million in the reported quarter widened from a loss
of $8.9 million a year ago.
Financial Update
Unum Group ended the quarter with a debt of $2.61 billion, up
from $2.14 billion from 2010 end.
The debt-to-capital ratio was 20.9%, down 190 basis points from
22.8% at 2010 end.
Book value as of March 31, 2011, was $29.08 per share, up 10.2%
from $26.38 as of December 31, 2010.
Share Repurchase
Unum Group spent $223.6 million to buy back
8.6 million shares during the first quarter 2011. As of March 31,
2011, the company had approximately $920.7 million remaining under
its $1.0 billion share repurchase authorization.
Full-Year 2011 Guidance
Unum Group expects operating income per share to grow in the
range of 6% to 12%.
Peer Comparison
AFLAC Inc. (AFL), which competes with Unum
Group, reported first quarter operating earnings of $1.63 per
share, which
came in modestly higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of
$1.52 and $1.41 reported in the year-ago quarter. Earnings for the
reported quarter benefited from top-line growth and a stronger
yen/dollar exchange rate that helped increase operating earnings
per share by 10 cents.
Lincoln National Corp. (LNC), another
competitor of Unum, reported first quarter operating earnings per
share of $1.08, substantially ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate
of 92 cents and 83 cents recorded in the prior-year quarter.
Our Take
We expect solid performance across segments, strong capital
position, aggressive share repurchases and continuous dividend
payments to position the company for strong results going
forward.
However, unemployment and sluggish economic recovery will delay
new business, exerting pressure on premium growth. Also, low
interest rates are expected to exert downward pressure on
investment income.
We maintain our long-term “Neutral” recommendation on Unum
Group. The quantitative Zacks #3 Rank (short-term Neutral rating)
for the company indicates no clear directional pressure on the
shares over the near term.
AFLAC INC (AFL): Free Stock Analysis Report
LINCOLN NATL-IN (LNC): Free Stock Analysis Report
UNUM GROUP (UNM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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