ICE Firms Up Fundamentally - Analyst Blog
November 02 2011 - 9:47AM
Zacks
IntercontinentalExchange Inc.’s (ICE) third
quarter operating earnings of $1.87 per share were substantially
ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.77 per share and $1.42
per share reported in the year-ago period.
Excluding certain acquisition-related costs, net operating
income of $138 million surged 30.3% year over year in the reported
quarter. Net income attributable to shareholders was $132.6 million
or $1.80 per share, compared with $96.3 million or $1.29 per share
in the year-ago quarter.
The quarterly results of ICE benefited from favourable
over-the-counter (OTC) execution and record futures trading that in
turn led to strong top line growth. The upside was also
attributable to flattish operating expenses, growth in the
company’s core businesses, significant progress triggered on new
initiatives and increasing demand for commodities. However, this
was partially offset by higher tax expenses.
ICE’s total revenue increased 18.7% year over year to $340.8
million, also exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $336
million. The growth was mainly attributable to a 17.7% increase in
consolidated transaction and clearing fee
revenues to $301.5 million in the reported quarter, primarily
driven by strong trading volumes in ICE's crude oil and energy
futures and OTC markets, new product introduction along with
increase in credit default swap (CDS) clearing revenues.
Additionally, consolidated market data
revenues grew 17.1% year over year to $32.2 million while
consolidated other revenues increased
dramatically to $7.1 million against $3.5 million in the year-ago
quarter.
Average daily futures volume increased 23% year over year to 1.6
million contracts, while average daily commissions in ICE's OTC
energy business grew 14% year over year to 1.55 million for the
quarter, resulting to an 11% year-over-year ascent for the total
global OTC segment. Besides, revenue from ICE’s credit default swap
(CDS) business totaled $46 million, climbing 8% over the prior-year
quarter.
Meanwhile, total operating expenses inched up 0.8% year over
year to $136.7 million, primarily due to increase in compensation
and benefit expenses coupled with increased depreciation and
amortization expenses. Consequently, operating margin climbed to
59.9% from 52.8% in the year-ago period. The effective tax rate was
30% compared with 32% in the prior-year quarter.
Financial Update
At the end of the first nine months of 2011, consolidated cash
flow from operations, grew to $541 million, soaring 43% on
year-over-year basis. Capital expenditures totaled $19 million in
the reported quarter, while $23 million were recorded as
capitalized software development costs. Besides, during the
reported quarter, operating cash flow spiked 84% year over year to
$220 million.
As of September 30, 2011, the company recorded unrestricted cash
and investments of $497 million (down from $622 million as of
December 31, 2010) while total outstanding debt increased to $602
million from $579 million as of December 31, 2010.
Share Repurchase Update
At the end of the reported quarter, ICE had $82 million of share
repurchase capacity still in store according to the share
repurchase program that was approved during the fourth quarter of
2009. The company bought back $103 million of common stock during
the reported quarter. While $90 million of common stock was
repurchased during the fourth quarter, no repurchases were made
during the first quarter of 2011. $25 million worth of stock was
bought back in the second quarter of 2011.
Guidance for 2H11
In the previous quarter, management had provided an extensive
outlook for the second half of 2011. CDS clearing revenues are
expected to be between $35 million and $37 million.
Capital expenditures, including capitalized software development
costs, were projected in the range of $25–$28 million, driven by
continued investments in trading and clearing technology and data
centers. CDS clearing revenues are expected to be between $35
million and $37 million in the second half of 2011.
Concurrently, ICE's diluted weighted average outstanding share
count for the fourth quarter of 2011 is expected to be in the range
of 73.0–74.0 million shares outstanding and for 2011 is expected to
be in the range of 73.5–74.5 million shares.
Peer Take
Yesterday, CME Group Inc. (CME) reported its
third quarter 2011 earnings per share of $4.74, modestly ahead of
the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.64 but substantially higher than
$3.66 reported in the year-ago quarter. Net income surged 29.4% to
$316.1 million from the prior-year earnings of $244.3 million. The
uptick was primarily attributable to moderate volume growth and
strong expense management.
Growing through product novelty and expansion into the global
emerging markets is also crucial for ICE, given the ongoing
regulatory turmoil that set limits for speculative market
participants and disappointing financial yield for operationally
successful CDS clearing initiative.
Overall, we believe that based on the current volatile macro
environment, ICE has a strong revenue-generating product portfolio,
high earnings visibility, consistent cash generation, disciplined
investment and limited balance-sheet risk.
In the long run, these factors are expected to generate strong
earnings potential and boost ICE’s competitive leverage in the
industry, where presence of arch rivals CME Group and CBOE
Holdings Inc. (CBOE) pose a challenging operating
environment.
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