By Riva Gold
Bank shares extended a rally Wednesday, helping send stock
markets higher in Europe and Asia after a record close on Wall
Street.
The Stoxx Europe 600 gained 0.6%, boosted by a rise in the
banking sector. Markets in Asia advanced, while futures pointed to
a flat opening for Wall Street, after rising financial shares sent
to the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its 20th record close of the
year.
Italian lenders continued to drive market focus after Sunday's
referendum. The FTSE Italia All-Shares Banks index rose 4.5% after
gaining nearly 9% in the previous session -- its best day in five
months -- amid media reports that Italy was ready to take a
controlling stake in Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena.
Shares in the troubled lender climbed more than 9% on Wednesday
as investors awaited details on the possible government bailout,
while shares of UniCredit advanced nearly 8%.
Italian bank stocks had fallen sharply Monday after voters
rejected a constitutional overhaul, crystallizing investors'
expectations Monte dei Paschi was in line to be nationalized. The
FTSE Italia All-Share Banks Index is still down nearly 42% so far
this year.
Tom Clarke, a portfolio manager at William Blair, increased
exposure to Italian assets, including financials, last Friday ahead
of the referendum. "We like Italy and Italian banks from a
fundamental basis," he said, adding "a lot of the bad news was
priced in already, so we considered the risk had been fully
reflected."
Bank shares elsewhere in Europe also rose Wednesday, with Credit
Suisse Group up 7.5% after a strategy update where it pledged
deeper cost cuts. The Stoxx Europe 600 Banks sector had already
gained 4.4% on Tuesday, its best daily performance since June,
while the Euro Stoxx Banks Index on Wednesday was on track for its
highest close since March.
Global bank shares have risen in recent weeks amid optimism that
a steeper yield curve -- a bigger difference between short- and
long-term bond yields -- and higher U.S. interest rates would boost
lenders' profits.
Hopes for deregulation under the new administration have also
goosed lenders' shares on Wall Street. "One thing the Trump
administration in the U.S. is likely to be is regulation friendly,
and the past few years have been regulation unfriendly for
financials in the U.S.," Mr. Clarke said.
Oil prices fell slightly however, keeping gains in check, with
Brent crude last down 0.6% at $53.58 a barrel.
Earlier, bank stocks also rallied in Asia, sending major bourses
higher. Japan's Nikkei Stock Average rose 0.7% as the yen weakened
against the dollar, while the TOPIX index of banks rose 2.4%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 0.6%, while Australian stocks
advanced 0.9%, even as data showed its economy contracted for the
first time since 2011.
In government bond markets, the yield on the 10-year Treasury
note fell to 2.369% from 2.394% in the previous session, its second
highest close of the year.
10-year German yields edged down to 0.342% from 0.368%, while
Italian bond yields fell to 1.892% from 1.967% and Portuguese
yields fell to 3.501% from 3.637% as investors looked ahead to
Thursday's European Central Bank meeting.
Many expect the bank to signal an extension of its program of
quantitative easing, but it is running out of room to keep buying
bonds, with its balance sheet already at record highs.
"[ECB President Mario'] Draghi's got to get creative," said
David Lafferty, chief strategist at Natixis Global Asset
Management. "I don't see how he can run the risk of tapering [the
bank's bond-purchase program] while bailouts for Monte dei Paschi
are going on," he said.
The euro inched up 0.1% against the dollar to $1.0732, while the
dollar was down 0.1% against the yen and up 0.4% against the
British pound following weak U. K. industrial data.
Still, the euro is down nearly 3% against the dollar from a
month ago, while the yen is down more than 8%.
"Everyone is getting bullish on the dollar," said Davis Hall,
head of currencies and precious metals at Indosuez Wealth
Management. "The arrival of Donald Trump accelerated the final
throwing in of the towel on yen, euro, and sterling," he said.
He is advising clients to buy the euro if it falls to $1.05,
with the market already heavily short the common currency and
monetary policy in Europe unlikely to loosen significantly further.
"The euro is cheap, but fundamentals for Europe are less negative
-- it's purely political uncertainty," he said.
The weaker euro has helped lift shares of European exporters.
Germany's DAX index advanced 1.5% on Wednesday as auto makers
gained, after closing at its highest level in nearly a year.
Investors were also looking ahead to the Federal Reserve's
December meeting, where the bank is widely expected to raise
interest rates for the first time in a year and offer more clues
for the path in 2017.
"We're still addicted to accommodative monetary policy, and
anything that causes the Fed to be more aggressive than expected is
really going to hit markets," said Mr. Lafferty.
Write to Riva Gold at riva.gold@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 07, 2016 08:55 ET (13:55 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.