Earnings Acceleration for Future Outperformers - Screen of the Week
April 29 2014 - 3:16AM
Zacks
In good markets or bad, earnings are one of the most important
things that influence stock prices.
But instead of just looking at only the most recent quarter's
earnings, try looking for earnings acceleration too.
With earnings season just a few weeks away, this is a good time
to go over this.
Studies have shown that almost all of the most successful stocks
in the past had displayed accelerated earnings BEFORE their most
impressive price moves.
Sideways 'percentage earnings growth' (even if they're good) or
decelerating 'percentage earnings growth' (strong or not) can
potentially signal a period of consolidation (or slowdown), which
in turn can flatten out prices or send them lower.
But increasing 'percentage earnings growth' (consistently
improving from the company's prior percentage of earnings growth)
can often be the difference between good stocks and great
stocks.
The Parameters:
In this screen, I'm focusing on increasing 'percentage earnings
growth' and projected 'percentage earnings growth'.
I want the last two Quarter over Quarter % EPS Growth periods to
be greater than the previous periods, and the next projected
Quarter over Quarter % EPS Growth period to be greater than the
previous period as well.
• EPS % Growth (Q-1)/(Q-2) greater than EPS % Growth
(Q-2)/(Q-3)
• EPS % Growth (Q0)/(Q-1) greater than EPS % Growth (Q-1)/(Q-2)
• EPS % Proj. Growth (Q1)/(Q0) greater than EPS % Growth
(Q0)/(Q-1)
For Research Wizard users, this would be done in the
Calculation Expression feature: The expressions look like
this:
i520 greater than i521 = 1 (True)
i519 greater than i520 = 1 (True)
i547 greater than i519 = 1 (True)
In addition to that, I'm only including stocks with a Zacks Rank
better than or equal to #3 (Hold, Buy, or Strong Buy); a price of
$5 or higher; with an average daily share volume of 100,000 or
more.
• Zacks Rank less than or equal to 3
• Current Price greater than or equal to $5
• Avg. Daily Volume greater than or equal to 100,000
Here are 5 stocks to watch from this week's screen, and their
last 2 Quarters of EPS Growth Rates and their Projected EPS Growth
Rate for this Quarter:
ATSG Air Transport Services
9.09%, 25.00%, 38.89%
CMCSA Comcast
1.54%, 3.03%, 6.62%
CPRT Copart
6.25%, 8.82%, 29.73%
CTRN Citi Trends
50.00%, 164.71%, 372.73%
EXAM ExamWorks
25.00%, 33.33%, 225.00%
When a company reports earnings, take a look at their numbers,
and then see how their current % EPS Growth stacks up to their
previous period's % EPS Growth (and the period prior to that).
Moreover, take a look at how their Earnings Growth is forecasted in
their next reporting period as well.
Again, with statistics suggesting that accelerated earnings
typically appear BEFORE the most impressive price moves of a stock,
this is definitely a screen worth watching for finding winning
stocks on the move!!!
Get the rest of the stocks on this list and start finding
companies with accelerated earnings growth on your own. It’s easy
to do.
Sign up for a free trial to the Research Wizard today.
Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks
Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or
hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in
this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or
have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions
in options that are mentioned in this material.
Disclosure: Performance information for Zacks’ portfolios and
strategies are available at:
http://www.zacks.com/performance.
AIR TRANSPT SVC (ATSG): Free Stock Analysis Report
COMCAST CORP A (CMCSA): Free Stock Analysis Report
COPART INC (CPRT): Free Stock Analysis Report
CITI TRENDS INC (CTRN): Free Stock Analysis Report
EXAMWORKS GROUP (EXAM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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