EnCana Shines, Reaffirms Outlook - Analyst Blog
July 21 2011 - 9:45AM
Zacks
Canada’s largest natural gas producer EnCana
Corp. (ECA) has reported impressive second quarter
results, reflecting strong natural gas and liquids output based on
efficient operational activities and competent workforce.
The company’s operating earnings per share (excluding one-time
items) of 22 cents breezed past the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 11
cents and were way above the year-ago earnings of 9 cents.
Revenues (net of royalties) came in at $1.986 billion, up 35.2%
year over year and 17.7% above our projection.
Production Summary
Production was up approximately 3.3% year over year at 3,455
million cubic feet equivalent per day (MMcfe/d), aided by a jump in
natural gas production to 3,309 MMcfe/d from 3,202 MMcfe/d in the
second quarter of 2010. Volumes from key resource plays expanded
5.3% year over year to 3,345 MMcfe/d.
Realized natural gas prices were down approximately 7.4% year
over year at $5.09 per thousand cubic feet, while realized liquids
prices improved 38.2% to $92.66 per barrel.
Cash Flows and Drilling Statistics
EnCana generated cash flows from operations of $1.087 billion or
$1.47 per share, as against $1.217 billion or $1.65 per share
during the second quarter 2010. The company drilled 145 net wells
during the quarter, as against 151 in the prior-year period.
Capital Spending and Balance Sheet
EnCana’s capital investments during the quarter were $1.1
billion (excluding acquisitions and divestitures). As of June 30,
2011, EnCana had $120 million cash on hand and long-term debt
(including current portion) of $8.49 billion, representing a
debt-to-capitalization ratio of 33.3%.
Guidance
The company maintained its full-year 2011 production guidance at
3,475–3,525 MMcfe/d. Capital spending is likely to be $4.6–$4.8
billion. EnCana also guided toward 2011 cash flow of $5.40–$5.90
per share.
Our Recommendation
EnCana, with a large natural gas resource portfolio in North
America and Canada, provides a highly diversified inventory of
reserves and resource base. The company’s continued focus on low
cost operations in high potential growth areas such as Haynesville,
Horn River and Montney is expected to generate high volumes in the
coming months.
However, EnCana’s lack of commodity and geographic
diversification of assets will likely hamper its performance amid a
low natural gas price scenario. We also remain apprehensive about
the company’s high capital spending target, which might result in
an increased debt level.
We maintain our long-term Neutral recommendation for the shares.
EnCana, which competes with peers such as Cabot Oil &
Gas Corporation (COG) and Talisman Energy
(TLM), holds a Zacks #3 Rank (short-term Hold rating).
CABOT OIL & GAS (COG): Free Stock Analysis Report
ENCANA CORP (ECA): Free Stock Analysis Report
TALISMAN ENERGY (TLM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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