Still Neutral on Arris Group - Analyst Blog
December 15 2011 - 7:30AM
Zacks
We reaffirm our long-term Neutral
recommendation on Arris Group Inc. (ARRS). Arris
is a major provider of infrastructure solutions for broadband
networks. Its success is mostly depend on the cable MSOs decision
to install new networks or upgrade the existing networks. If the
cable operators fail to compete effectively with other pay-TV
service providers, then it will significantly affect Arris’ future
growth.
Although third-quarter results fell
below the Zacks Consensus Estimates, management provided its
fourth-quarter 2011 financial outlook, which was mostly in line
with our expectations. Meanwhile, the company has diversified its
businesses into the digital video market. Several cable TV
operators are gradually shifting toward an all-IP triple-play
converged network architecture offering highly cost-effective
solution to their customers. In this context, upcoming IP video
gateway solutions of Arris may become its future growth
driver.
Customer concentration remains high
for the company. Historically, the two major clients, viz,
Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) and Time Warner
Cable Inc. (TWC), accounted for nearly 40% of total
revenue. Loss of any of these customers would materially impact the
company’s top-line growth. Management hinted that in 2011, total
sales of Comcast will decline year over year. In the previous
quarter, total revenue from both these companies went down to just
41.6%.
Arris recently completed the
acquisition of BigBand Networks Inc. We believe the acquisition of
BigBand is a major step by Arris to convert itself as an all
IP-converged network architecture solution provider. BigBand is a
specialist in switched digital video. Arris has now acquired the
required economies of scale to become the market leader in the SDV
segment. The company has also occupied a rich patent portfolio of
BigBand, which is spread across dense edge QAM technologies,
targeted advertisement insertion, and systems designed to help
cable operators migrate to an IP video architecture.
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