Legendary mutual fund manager Peter Lynch made the "buy what you
know" mantra popular in the 1980s and 1990s.
He told stories of his wife coming home from a
shopping expedition in the mid-1980s with bags in hand raving about
a new store called "The Limited" which he subsequently bought
shares in just as the stock took off.
In Love With Starbucks
Similarly, I have a friend who, in the early 1990s,
starting going to a coffee shop that had recently opened in
Illinois called "Starbucks."
She used to go so often that her kids told her,
"you should buy the stock." She did and, well, it certainly paid
for all those coffee runs over the years.
Any of us can apply the "buy what you know"
strategy to our own investing portfolios.
It can be a fun way to invest because you actually
KNOW something about the product and, in some cases, may
passionately believe in it. (Apple anyone?)
Is It Really That Easy?
Peter Lynch made "buy what you know" seem easy. If
you love the store, and others do too, just buy the stock and ride
it to riches.
But is it really that easy? Some big stock
flameouts from the last few years come to mind, including Krispy
Kreme, which had an enormous cult following but whose stock
originally never lived up to the hype.
There are always pitfalls to any investment
strategy but there are some things you should consider with "buy
what you know".
Remember to Check Fundamentals
1. Always check fundamentals first.
Perhaps you are the only person who really loves
the store or the product. Is the company growing? Does it have
solid fundamentals?
2. Don't be blinded by the brand.
Many investors fall "in love" with a company and
its products and miss signs a company is changing and might not be
as "great" anymore. Keep checking the fundamentals, even after you
buy a company you love.
Where Do You Start?
Think about where you shop, where you eat, what
products you love. For example, are you excited when a Chipotle
opens a block from your office?
Some products and their brands are just really hot
right now. You know which ones they are. Go with your gut!
My colleague, Bill Wilton, recently wrote about how
guys should buy what they know in: Guys: Buy What You Know.
I thought I'd take a look at what type of stocks
women can buy if they buy what they know. Of course, the stocks
will depend on your interests and they're not exclusive to men or
women.
Buy What You Know
lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) is a super
hot men's and women's clothing retailer. The company is famous for
its yoga pants and other active lifestyle clothes.
During the recession, many doubted that consumers
would continue to buy the $99 yoga pants, but those naysayers were
proven wrong.
In the fiscal first quarter same store sales were
up 16%. The company also continues to open up new stores, adding 5
stores in the first quarter for a total of 142 stores in North
America and Australia. The Canadian-based company isn't even in
Europe yet so there continues to be further growth potential.
Earnings are expected to grow 38% in fiscal 2011
and another 25% in fiscal 2012. They'd better, though, because this
stock is not cheap. Now trading at all-time highs, this Zacks #1
Rank (strong buy) has a nose bleed P/E of 58.
Ancestry.com Inc. (ACOM) is like facebook
for people who want to look up their family history. Not only can
you look up your own family tree in over 6 billion online records,
but you can help others who may be interested in the information
you've found.
Have you ever been on the website? I hope you have
a few hours, or days, because it is addicting, indeed.
The company is growing quickly as its subscriber
base grew by 33% in the first quarter to 1.615 million from the
first quarter of 2010. Subscriptions are available monthly or
yearly.
Earnings are expected to grow 50% in 2011 and
another 24% in 2012. But like lululemon, this Zacks #1 Rank (strong
buy) is also not cheap. Shares trade at 38x forward estimates and
are near a new multi-year high.
Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc.
(ULTA) operates 394 retail stores in 40 states selling affordable
beauty products including cosmetics, fragrances, skincare and
styling tools.
The company has 8 million members in its loyalty
program which provides coupons and discounts to return customers.
Cosmetics are a relatively cheap buy for many women who have
otherwise cut back on expenses in other areas.
Ulta is not seeing a pullback in its customers. In
the first quarter, net sales were up 20.6% and same store sales
rose 11.1%, higher than the first quarter of 2010 which saw a 10.8%
increase.
Earnings are expected to rise 40.5% in fiscal 2011
and another 25% in fiscal 2012 as the company expands locations.
Much like lululemon, Ulta is still in the expansion mode.
Once, again, however, this Zacks #1 Rank (strong
buy) isn't cheap. It has a forward P/E of 40 as shares are near
52-week highs.
Lots of Companies You Can Buy
In addition to the three highlighted here, perhaps
you're a fan of Coach (COH), a Zacks #2 Rank (buy), which is
trading at 20x forward estimates. It is also expected to produce
double digit earnings growth this year.
Maybe you like to eat out at Red Robin Gourmet
Burgers (RRGB). It's a Zacks #2 Rank (buy), is expected to see
earnings growth of 75% in 2011 and trades at 25x.
None of these are "cheap", in terms of value plays.
But you're buying the growth.
Keep an open mind about what companies to buy.
Check fundamentals. If a stock seems too pricey for you, wait for a
pullback.
There are always hot brands and products. Why not
cash in?
Tracey Ryniec is the Value Stock Strategist for
Zacks.com. She is also the Editor of the Turnaround Trader and
Insider Trader services. You can follow her at
twitter.com/traceyryniec.
ANCESTRY.COM (ACOM): Free Stock Analysis Report
COACH INC (COH): Free Stock Analysis Report
LULULEMON ATHLT (LULU): Free Stock Analysis Report
RED ROBIN GOURM (RRGB): Free Stock Analysis Report
ULTA SALON COSM (ULTA): Free Stock Analysis Report
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