2nd UPDATE: Novo Nordisk Raises Outlook As Diabetes Sales Rise
October 27 2010 - 4:53AM
Dow Jones News
Danish pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk A/S (NOVO-B.KO)
Wednesday raised its financial guidance for 2010 and said it
expects continued growth in 2011, as it posted a rise in
third-quarter earnings, driven by strong sales of diabetes
treatments.
Novo Nordisk said it now expects 2010 sales growth of 11%-12%
and operating profit growth of more than 15% in local currencies
compared with 2009. It previously expected sales growth of 9%-10%
and operating profit growth of 12%-15% in local currencies.
The "preliminary plans" for 2011 indicate sales growth of close
to 10% and operating profit growth of 10%-15% in local currencies,
it said.
Growth in 2011 will be boosted by strong penetration of modern
insulins and continued roll-out of new diabetes treatment Victoza,
Novo Nordisk said. But it also predicted generic competition to
oral antidiabetic products and negatively impact from healthcare
reforms in its markets.
The Copenhagen-based company posted net profit for the three
months to Sept. 30 of 3.59 billion Danish kroner ($665 million), up
from DKK2.76 billion a year earlier and slightly ahead of analysts'
expectations for DKK3.36 billion.
"Growth was driven by the modern insulins, Victoza and
NovoSeven," the company said.
Novo Nordisk said its drug candidate Degludec showed good blood
sugar control in a recent study where it was compared with diabetes
treatment NovoMix.
Investors have big hopes for the drug candidate, which according
to earlier studies controls blood sugar in a stable and predictable
way, and might boost earnings following a planned launch in
2013.
It also said new study data for Victoza indicates that the drug
can effectively help obese people lose weight.
Third-quarter sales rose 25% to DKK15.58 billion, ahead of
expectations for DKK14.79 billion. Operating profit rose to DKK5.12
billion from DKK3.81 billion, beating expectations for DKK4.74
billion.
Due to the rapid spread of diabetes, Novo Nordisk's earnings
have grown steadily, driven by rising sales of treatments for the
disease like insulins as well as the recently-launched Victoza,
which belongs to the GLP-1 analogue drug class and compared with
insulin doesn't risk pushing blood sugar too low.
That drug looks set to gain a strong position in its market
segment after U.S. regulators last week demanded additional studies
before approving the rival treatment Bydureon from Eli Lilly &
Co (LLY), Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AMLN) and Alkermes Inc.
(ALKS).
Victoza generated sales of DKK700 million in the third quarter,
up from DKK28 million a year earlier.
Still, market participants say Novo Nordisk faces rising generic
competition over coming years.
Its shares were hit earlier this month after drug maker Pfizer
Inc (PFE) bought the rights to commercialize a set of biosimilar
diabetes treatments--similar but not identical versions of existing
drugs--from India's Biocon Ltd. (532523.BY).
Victoza was the main driver of the strong result, said analyst
Michael Friis Jorgensen at Alm. Brand, adding that the positive
study results for the drug and for Degludec could bode well for
future earnings.
The raised 2010 guidance just confirms the market's bullish
expectations, but the preliminary outlook for 2011 was surprisingly
strong, he said.
At 0742 GMT, shares in Novo Nordisk were up 1.2% at DKK545.50,
against a 0.3% rise in the wider Copenhagen market.
-By Gustav Sandstrom, Dow Jones Newswires; +46-8-5451-3099;
gustav.sandstrom@dowjones.com
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