Corn, Soybeans Rise After Uneventful USDA Production Report
December 11 2018 - 4:17PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
-- Wheat contracts for March delivery fell 0.8% to $5.21 a
bushel at the Chicago Board of Trade Tuesday.
-- January soybean contracts rose 0.6% to $9.15 a bushel.
-- Corn contracts for March delivery gained 0.2% to $3.84 3/4 a
bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
Market Lifts Back Up Following Initial WASDE Slide: U.S. grain
futures perked back up after initially sliding following the
afternoon release of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand
Estimate (WASDE). Analysts noted that although the report arrived
in line with predictions, waiting for more clarity on the
U.S.-China trade truce may be more prudent.
"My take is that the futures market is awaiting hard
evidence/hard news of fresh Chinese soybean purchases sometime
between now and the end of the week," said Mike Zuzolo of Global
Commodity Analytics and Consulting.
Corn Finishes Up Despite Cut in Ethanol Usage: Corn futures for
March delivery finished slightly higher Tuesday, despite the USDA
confirming it expects lower corn usage for ethanol -- reducing its
bushel projection by 50 million to 5.6 billion bushels.
Additionally, the USDA expects to see higher foreign corn
production in Ukraine, the European Union, and Thailand.
However, the market was not shocked by the development.
"The 50 mbu reduction in ethanol usage was the most dramatic
change from the USDA today, but this was also not a complete
surprise as margins have been struggling and plants have been
slowing grind for the last few months," said Doug Berman of RCM
Alternatives.
Wheat Futures Down on Cut Forecast: The USDA said in the WASDE
that it had lowered its U.S. wheat export forecasts by 25 million
bushels, to roughly 1 billion, while raising ending supplies for
2018-2019 by 25 million bushels to 974 million. This caused wheat
futures to close down 0.8% from Monday.
INSIGHT
Geopolitics Continue to Be the Chief Mover of Futures: News
Tuesday that the U.S. and China have begun a new round of trade
talks, with a phone call between U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven
Mnuchin, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, and Chinese
Vice Premier Liu He discussing the purchasing of U.S. agricultural
products by China, inspired new hope that President Trump's
promises may come true. Soybeans continue to be the main commodity
to watch by analysts assessing the likelihood of China's re-entry
to buying U.S. agriculture.
AHEAD
-- USDA is scheduled to release weekly export sales data
Thursday.
-- USDA releases its county estimates for durum wheat, spring
wheat, winter wheat, oats and barley Thursday.
Write to Kirk Maltais at kirk.maltais@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 11, 2018 16:02 ET (21:02 GMT)
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