Oil Prices Drop Sharply-- Update
October 23 2018 - 3:49PM
Dow Jones News
By Stephanie Yang and Christopher Alessi
U.S. oil prices dropped to two-month lows on Tuesday, hurt by
the prospect of rising supply and concerns over global growth.
Light, sweet crude for December delivery declined 4.2% to $66.43
a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, on track for its
largest one-day drop since July. Brent, the global benchmark,
dropped 4.2% to $76.44 a barrel. The U.S. close was a two-month
low, while Brent settled at its lowest level since early
September.
"It's taking a real severe walloping today," said Gene
McGillian, research manager at Tradition Energy. "The question now
is, how severe of a correction are we going to see?"
On Monday, Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih reportedly told
a Russian news agency that his country would increase crude
production to 11 million barrels a day, compared with the current
average of 10.7 million barrels a day.
"That rhetoric draws parallels to OPEC's strategy that helped
crash crude prices lower in late 2014, though today's market has
much more limited spare capacity and lower overall inventories,"
said analysts at Schneider Electric.
Stock markets also tumbled Tuesday on worries over global
economic growth. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.4%, close
to erasing all of its gains for the year. The S&P 500 fell 1.5%
and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.6%, on track to close in
correction territory.
"This market was going to be under pressure anyhow, along with
anything seen on the risky side, but then the Saudis came out with
that statement and added to the downside pressure," said Bob
Yawger, director of the futures division at Mizuho Securities
U.S.A. "It's hard to really get out there and find a bullish
situation here."
In recent weeks, crude has often moved in tandem with falling
stock prices as investors have sold risky assets and economic
concerns have raised questions about global demand.
On Tuesday, UBS analysts said they expect oil-demand growth to
slow in 2019 due to higher prices and weaker economic growth.
Earlier this month, both the International Energy Agency and the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries also lowered
their global demand-growth estimates for this year and next.
"There seems to be growing concern about demand growth that's
underpinned by the equity markets and the economic outlooks," said
Mr. McGillian,
Meanwhile, some analysts are expecting to see another build in
crude stockpiles in government data due Wednesday. That would
continue a four-week trend of increasing U.S. supplies that has
weighed on the market this month.
Mr. Falih's pledge comes amid escalating tensions between Saudi
Arabia, the world's largest exporter of crude, and the West over
the killing of Saudi dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Analysts
and experts have speculated that if the U.S. and other Western
nations were to enact sanctions on Saudi Arabia, the kingdom could
impose an oil embargo that would send prices soaring.
Since President Trump pulled the U.S. out of a 2015
international agreement to curb Iran's nuclear program and
reimposed sanctions, production and exports from Iran have
fallen.
The IEA earlier this month said Iranian supply fell to a 2 1/2
-year low in September as buyers continued to reduce their
purchases before the Nov. 4 deadline. Crude production fell by
180,000 barrels a day month-on-month, to stand at 3.45 million
barrels a day last month, the agency said.
The Iranian shortfall helped to boost Brent above the
$85-a-barrel threshold earlier this month for the first time in
roughly four years.
Prices were also bolstered by a late September decision by OPEC
and its partner producers, led by Russia, to not raise production
at a faster rate than planned. OPEC and its allies agreed in late
June to begin gradually increasing crude production after more than
a year of holding back output.
Gasoline futures fell 4.3% to $1.8243 a gallon and diesel
futures fell 3.5% to $2.2371 a gallon.
Write to Stephanie Yang at stephanie.yang@wsj.com and
Christopher Alessi at christopher.alessi@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 23, 2018 15:34 ET (19:34 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.