CURRENCIES: Dollar Strengthens As Sterling And Euro Fall Prey To Political Pressures
October 22 2018 - 4:35PM
Dow Jones News
By Anneken Tappe, MarketWatch
Central-bank decisions and an elections on the calendar for the
week ahead
The dollar gained ground Monday as investors kept an eye on a
number of themes, including Italy's budget and Britain's ongoing
Brexit process.
The ICE U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.3% at 96.001, adding to a
0.5% weekly gain last week, according to FactSet data.
In the U.K., traders were watching Prime Minister Theresa May
updating members of parliament on Brexit after earlier saying 95%
of the deal was done. The U.K. leader said the real sticking point
remained Northern Ireland, and stressed with regards to a possible
extension of the transition period that this wasn't a desirable
option and might not be necessary.
The British pound slipped on Monday, holding at a three-week low
of $1.2973 for most of the session, down from $1.3066 late
Friday.
The week ahead features several central bank decisions,
including the Bank of Canada, which is expected to raise interest
rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday. Sweden's Riksbank and
Norway's Norges bank are also meeting Wednesday, ahead of the
European Central Bank on Thursday. Investors will be watching for
further details as the ECB moves closer to winding down its asset
purchases in December.
In other European affairs, Italy was set to push ahead with a
budget proposal
(https://www.wsj.com/articles/italy-vows-to-stick-to-budget-that-breaches-eu-rules-1540207398)
that would breach European Union budget guidelines. Brussels could
penalize the country in response. Investors have been fretting over
the future of Rome-Brussels relations, also because Italy is the
eurozone's third-largest economy.
On Friday, ratings agency Moody's downgraded Italy's sovereign
debt
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/moodys-cuts-italys-credit-rating-one-notch-stable-outlook-2018-10-19)
to Baa3, leaving it one notch above junk, but said the outlook was
stable, meaning another downgrade was unlikely soon. Italian bonds
rallied, pulling down yields
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/treasury-yields-edge-lower-as-global-stock-markets-rebound-2018-10-22).
"With the Italian government bracing for the EU to reject its
2019 budget on Tuesday, the euro is likely to take a hit.
Uncertainty in Italy remains one the major geopolitical factors
weighing on global sentiment and denting investor confidence," said
Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, in a note.
The euro was slightly weaker, buying $1.1470 versus $1.1514 late
Friday in New York.
In Asia, Chinese President Xi Jinping stressed his support for
the private sector, which pushed local stocks higher
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/big-stock-rally-in-china-bolsters-markets-across-asia-2018-10-21).
Xi's remarks came on the coattails of supportive words from the
head of the People's Bank of China, which spurred a rally in Asian
equities on Friday.
Read:Why investors are growing increasingly anxious about China
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-why-investors-are-anxious-about-chinas-next-move-2018-10-18)
The yuan was slightly weaker against the buck, and one dollar
bought 6.9474 yuan in Beijing and 6.9484 yuan in the offshore
market.
On the weekend, Brazil is going to the polls for the second
round of its presidential election
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/far-right-candidate-leads-brazils-polls-as-investors-worry-about-reforms-ailing-real-2018-09-20)
to decide between right-leaning Jair Bolsonaro and Fernando Haddad,
who is supported by Luiz InĂ¡cio Lula da Silva, the jailed but still
popular former president.
Brazil's real reversed earlier losses against the dollar and
gained steam as the session went on. The dollar was dragged to its
lowest real level since late May, and last bought 3.6907 real, down
from 3.7103 real Friday.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 22, 2018 16:20 ET (20:20 GMT)
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