U.S. Tax Changes Hit Global Investment Flows
October 15 2018 - 1:29PM
Dow Jones News
By Paul Hannon
Global business investment flows fell sharply in the first six
months of the year, as U.S. companies repatriated profits in
response to changes in the country's tax law, a United Nations
agency said Monday.
Foreign investment in the U.S. declined sharply as Congress
prepared for increased vetting of foreign deals involving critical
technology, the U.N. Conference on Trade and Development also
reported.
UNCTAD said global flows of foreign direct investment were 41%
lower in the first six months of 2018 than in the same period a
year earlier, and the lowest since 2005. It counts profits made
overseas and not repatriated as foreign investment, in addition to
the establishment of new operations and the acquisition of existing
businesses.
A December revamp imposed a one-time tax on more than $2
trillion of U.S. companies' accumulated foreign profits and removed
most U.S. taxes on those companies' future foreign profits. In
response, companies began repatriating stockpiled past profits and
some of this year's foreign profits.
U.S. companies repatriated $169.5 billion in foreign profits in
the second quarter of this year and $294.9 billion in the first.
That reduced the money available for investment in the countries
from which the profits were moved, UNCTAD said.
"It's a big deal for the host countries in terms of investible
funds," said James Zhan, director of UNCTAD's investment and
enterprise division.
UNCTAD said the Netherlands, Ireland, Switzerland and Singapore
saw the largest withdrawals of U.S. funds, in addition to offshore
financial centers in the Caribbean.
Even without the repatriation of U.S. profits, FDI flows were
low by historical standards, following a 23% decline in 2017. That
is a fresh sign that companies have slowed the pace at which they
are spreading their activities and associated jobs across
countries.
"All the indicators are pointing to a turning point in
globalization," said Mr. Zhan.
Many economists believe globalization has aided economic growth
by helping locate production where it is most efficient while
spreading new technologies and know-how. Critics say the benefits
haven't been shared equally, with low-skilled workers in developed
economies seeing their incomes stagnate even as large numbers of
people in developing economies have seen their incomes rise.
UNCTAD had expected the U.S. tax overhaul--which included a cut
in the tax on company profits--to boost foreign investment there.
Instead, UNCTAD recorded a 73% drop in foreign investment into the
U.S. to $46 billion, leaving China as the largest recipient country
during the first six month of the year with $70.2 billion.
"More stringent investment screening procedures mean that some
types of investment the U.S. used to attract will no longer be
allowed," said Mr. Zhan.
He added that the "fundamental" attractions of the U.S. to
foreign businesses "remain sound" and a rebound in inflows is
likely soon.
Write to Paul Hannon at paul.hannon@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 15, 2018 13:14 ET (17:14 GMT)
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