Sugar Futures Edge Lower on Fears of Higher Supplies
July 24 2017 - 12:05PM
Dow Jones News
By Carolyn Cui
Sugar futures edged lower Monday, as the Brazilian government's
increases on fuel taxes failed to dispel investor fears over a
larger surplus in the global market.
Raw sugar for October delivery fell 0.4% to 14.35 cents a pound,
on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange.
Last week, the Brazilian government announced plans to raise
taxes on gasoline and diesel fuel, in an effort to patch a budget
shortfall in the country. The move was interpreted as positive for
raw sugar prices, as it would drive up demand for ethanol, analysts
said. Higher ethanol consumption will also lift the Brazilian
sugar-ethanol parity floor, which may help support sugar prices,
they said.
Sugarcane can be converted into sugar or ethanol, and when
ethanol demand picks up, traders anticipate lower sugar production
in Brazil, the world's largest growing region.
But sugar prices, after a short-lived rally late last week, fell
again on Monday. "The problem is funds are looking ahead: next
year, we'll have a surplus," said Claudiu Covrig, senior analyst
agriculture at Platts Kingsman, a unit of S&P Global
Platts.
Recently, several research firms have revised their estimates
for next year's sugar market surplus, thanks to a larger crop in
Brazil.
Brazil, as the world's largest sugar exporter, could swing the
market. With an estimated production of 582 million tons of sugar
cane, a 2% variation means Brazil's sugar production could range
between 33.3 million and 36.3 million tons, Platts estimated.
As of last Tuesday, hedge funds and other money managers betting
that sugar prices will fall outweighed the bulls by 112,050
contracts, according to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading
Commission.
In other markets, cocoa for September was down 0.2%, to $1,964 a
ton; arabica coffee for September fell 1.9%, to $1.3400 a pound;
frozen concentrated orange juice for September was up 2.6%, to
$1.3380 a pound; and December cotton lost 0.1%, to 68.34 cents a
pound.
Write to Carolyn Cui at carolyn.cui@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 24, 2017 11:50 ET (15:50 GMT)
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