Gary Cohn's visit to Trump Tower on Tuesday has rekindled
questions about whether the longtime Goldman Sachs Group Inc. No. 2
has tired of life as an understudy.
Mr. Cohn, who has been Chief Executive Lloyd Blankfein's top
deputy for a decade, met with Donald Trump Tuesday. It isn't clear
whether the president-elect is considering Mr. Cohn for a position;
Politico reported Wednesday that Mr. Cohn could be a contender to
head the Office of Management and Budget.
A possible position in the Trump administration comes at a time
when Mr. Cohn's role at Goldman has already been in question. The
56-year-old president and chief operating officer has had
conversations in recent months about leaving the bank, according to
people familiar with the matter.
His departure would scrap Goldman's most-obvious succession
plan, yet elevate a new crop of executives eyeing Mr. Blankfein's
job. It would also signal that Mr. Blankfein, who weathered the
financial crisis, survived a bout with cancer and has settled into
a role as a senior industry statesman, isn't going anywhere.
That has become more accepted within Goldman's executive ranks
in recent months. Michael Sherwood, who ran Goldman's international
business from London and had once been seen as a potential
successor, said as much last week when he announced his
retirement.
"Some people want [the CEO job] passionately; I just didn't,"
Mr. Sherwood said in an interview. "One of those people, by the
way, is named Lloyd and he's not going anywhere. He doesn't say
'one more year;' he says 'five more years."
That has left little room for Mr. Cohn and created what some
executives describe as a talent bottleneck. Mr. Blankfein has been
CEO since 2006, and his inner circle of confidants has seen little
turnover, leaving few opportunities for promotion lower down the
ranks.
Some executives describe growing frustration with the stasis,
even while acknowledging that steady leadership likely helped
Goldman weather the crisis and rally support for strategic
changes.
As second-in-command, Mr. Cohn oversees Goldman's daily
operations. He joined Goldman in 1990 and became a partner in
1994—a class that also included Mr. Trump's nominee for Treasury
Secretary, Steven Mnuchin.
Mr. Cohn's background reflects the sort of Midwestern voters who
helped power Mr. Trump to a surprise victory. Born in Ohio the son
of an electrician, Mr. Cohn's first job was selling window frames
and aluminum siding in Cleveland, and he later sold silver on Wall
Street.
In recent years, he has taken on a more public-facing role and
struck clients and colleagues as more polished. He has cultivated
relationships in Silicon Valley, where Mr. Blankfein is less at
ease, and is close to executives such as Uber Technologies Inc.'s
Travis Kalanick and Tesla Motors Inc.'s Elon Musk.
Messrs Blankfein and Cohn rose together through Goldman's
trading division, and Mr. Cohn was once seen as the likely
successor to his longtime friend and boss. But as Mr. Blankfein
remained in the job longer than many expected, odds lengthened for
Mr. Cohn and began to favor the crown effectively skipping a
generation.
Should Mr. Cohn opt to seek opportunities outside the firm, his
role as chief operating officer and president would likely be split
between among two executives, people familiar with the matter have
said. Goldman has a history of co-executives, and Mr. Cohn split
the No. 2 job for several years with Jon Winkelried, who left the
firm in 2009.
Elevating two executives would widen Mr. Blankfein's circle of
lieutenants and deepen the bench of seasoned executives who could
replace him down the line.
It also would avoid anointing a clear successor, keeping the
palace intrigue alive. Speculation on Goldman's next chief is a
favorite Wall Street parlor game.
The likeliest candidates to replace Mr. Cohn, according to
people familiar with the matter, are Chief Financial Officer Harvey
Schwartz and investment-banking co-chief David Solomon. Outside
candidates include R. Martin Chavez, Goldman's chief technologist,
and Stephen Scherr, the strategist who was recently put in charge
of Goldman's push into consumer banking.
Who is tapped will say much about how dramatically the
regulatory changes pushed through since the crisis have reshaped
Goldman's priorities and power centers.
Mr. Schwartz, like Messrs. Blankfein and Cohn, came up through
the firm's securities arm. Elevating him would show Goldman
sticking to its trading guns even as that business, which once
minted billions, has been cuffed by regulation.
Mr. Solomon is an investment banker who has forged relationships
with many of the world's biggest companies. He spent his early Wall
Street days in junk bonds and in his current role has pushed
Goldman to get bigger in debt underwriting. A rare lateral partner,
he joined Goldman from Bear Stearns in 1999.
The elevation of Mr. Chavez, which insiders say is less likely
but possible, would show that Goldman increasingly sees itself a
technology firm powered by coders rather than superstar bankers and
traders. Mr. Chavez oversees some 9,000 engineers, about
one-quarter of Goldman's head count.
But Mr. Chavez's group doesn't officially produce any revenue,
and overseeing a moneymaking business has been an unofficial
prerequisite for running the firm.
Messrs. Blankfein and Cohn have been close friends for years.
Both come from unprivileged backgrounds and began their ascent at
Goldman's lowliest division, trading metals in J. Aron's dingy
offices, removed from Goldman's posh banking suites.
But it has been a long, and so far fruitless, wait for Mr. Cohn
to get the top job. In 2012, the board discussed making Mr. Cohn
CEO and keeping Mr. Blankfein as chairman, but decided against it,
The Wall Street Journal reported. Soon after, Mr. Blankfein began
setting up dinners between board members and younger executives,
which many took as a sign that while Mr. Cohn remained the
front-runner, he had competition.
In 2014, Mr. Blankfein said of his CEO chair: "A job like this
is hard to come by. I'll be slow to get out of it."
Write to Liz Hoffman at liz.hoffman@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 30, 2016 13:45 ET (18:45 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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