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First Mining Gold Corporation (QX)

First Mining Gold Corporation (QX) (FFMGF)

0.0867
0.00
(0.00%)
Closed January 13 4:00PM

Your Hub for Real-Time streaming quotes, Ideas and Live Discussions

Key stats and details

Current Price
0.0867
Bid
0.082
Ask
0.10
Volume
573,922
0.08173 Day's Range 0.09
0.07265 52 Week Range 0.14
Market Cap
Previous Close
0.0867
Open
0.0867
Last Trade
10000
@
0.0867
Last Trade Time
Financial Volume
$ 48,219
VWAP
0.084017
Average Volume (3m)
658,348
Shares Outstanding
963,359,362
Dividend Yield
-
PE Ratio
-12.33
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
-0.01
Revenue
-
Net Profit
-7.04M

About First Mining Gold Corporation (QX)

First Mining is a Canadian gold developer focused on the development of the Springpole Gold Project in northwestern Ontario and the Duparquet Gold Project in Quebec, two of the largest gold projects in Canada. First Mining has commenced a Feasibility Study at Springpole where permitting activities a... First Mining is a Canadian gold developer focused on the development of the Springpole Gold Project in northwestern Ontario and the Duparquet Gold Project in Quebec, two of the largest gold projects in Canada. First Mining has commenced a Feasibility Study at Springpole where permitting activities are on-going with a draft Environmental Impact Statement ("EIS") for the project published in June 2022 and is available on our Environmental Assessment portal. First Mining also acquired a 100% interest in the Duparquet Gold Project in September 2022 and are developing plans to advance the project along with its nearby Duquesne and Pitt Projects in Quebec. The Company is the largest shareholder of Treasury Metals who are advancing the Goliath Gold Complex in Ontario. First Mining also has active partnerships with operators advancing other Canadian projects including the Pickle Crow Gold Project (Auteco Minerals) and Hope Brook Gold Project (Big Ridge Gold). In addition, First Mining owns a growing strategic royalty portfolio along with the Cameron Gold Project in Ontario. Show more

Sector
Miscellaneous Metal Ores,nec
Industry
Blank Checks
Headquarters
Vancouver, British Columbia, Can
Founded
2015
First Mining Gold Corporation (QX) is listed in the Miscellaneous Metal Ores sector of the OTCMarkets with ticker FFMGF. The last closing price for First Mining Gold (QX) was $0.09. Over the last year, First Mining Gold (QX) shares have traded in a share price range of $ 0.07265 to $ 0.14.

First Mining Gold (QX) currently has 963,359,362 shares outstanding. The market capitalization of First Mining Gold (QX) is $83.52 million. First Mining Gold (QX) has a price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of -12.33.

FFMGF Latest News

PeriodChangeChange %OpenHighLowAvg. Daily VolVWAP
1-0.0008-0.9142857142860.08750.08820.08053752530.0842957CS
4-0.0029-3.236607142860.08960.09370.08026238250.08503407CS
12-0.01484-14.61493007680.101540.13290.08026583480.09673582CS
26-0.0093-9.68750.0960.13290.08026397140.09942966CS
52-0.007-7.470651013870.09370.140.072655975310.0993778CS
156-0.1513-63.57142857140.2380.2610.072654319320.12651001CS
260-0.1048-54.7258485640.19150.4650.072655505340.21388369CS

FFMGF - Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What is the current First Mining Gold (QX) share price?
The current share price of First Mining Gold (QX) is $ 0.0867
How many First Mining Gold (QX) shares are in issue?
First Mining Gold (QX) has 963,359,362 shares in issue
What is the market cap of First Mining Gold (QX)?
The market capitalisation of First Mining Gold (QX) is USD 83.52M
What is the 1 year trading range for First Mining Gold (QX) share price?
First Mining Gold (QX) has traded in the range of $ 0.07265 to $ 0.14 during the past year
What is the PE ratio of First Mining Gold (QX)?
The price to earnings ratio of First Mining Gold (QX) is -12.33
What is the reporting currency for First Mining Gold (QX)?
First Mining Gold (QX) reports financial results in CAD
What is the latest annual profit for First Mining Gold (QX)?
The latest annual profit of First Mining Gold (QX) is CAD -7.04M
What is the registered address of First Mining Gold (QX)?
The registered address for First Mining Gold (QX) is 925 WEST GEORGIA STREET, SUITE 1800, VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, V6C 3L2
What is the First Mining Gold (QX) website address?
The website address for First Mining Gold (QX) is www.firstminingfinance.com
Which industry sector does First Mining Gold (QX) operate in?
First Mining Gold (QX) operates in the BLANK CHECKS sector

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FFMGF Discussion

View Posts
Implanting Implanting 14 hours ago
The dollar won't go away it will just be a lot less relevant going forward, especially at the rate they're currently debasing it. Let the Banksters have another financial crisis or two and that's going to open a lot of eyes to the fantasy that fiat money is.

Even Banksters like Jamie Dimon are speaking to the debt unsustainability, I figure if he's talking about it, we're getting closer to big problems coming about.
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ZenDomain85 ZenDomain85 15 hours ago
I agree with you. However, I am going to start to nibble on 20/30y bonds at 5%. Great if they go much higher. I don't think the dollar will go away in our lifetime. We will become like Japan and the Yen - only a much less cohesive society - so far more dangerous. Still better than what Western Europe will be like. The Fiat game will still be in play for a long time.
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Implanting Implanting 15 hours ago
I wanted to post this interview because of what this lady is mainly saying about the mining sector. She works for West Red Lake Gold, that is on the cusp of being a gold producing mine.

In this interview she talks about various subjects, but part of her talk is about M&A activity and what the big producers are looking for it the current market. Some of what is talked about relates to what FMG is doing now.

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Implanting Implanting 17 hours ago
My question would be if BOA has these bond issues WHO else is in the same situation? How many other banks are in the same boat? My guess would be more than just a few. Is more bank bailouts coming? I think this crisis might issue in bank BAIL INS to save these insolvent banks. They take the money from bank customers to save themselves.

It's going to be interesting to see how the Banksters spin this giant cluster fuck that's coming.
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TexasMarvL TexasMarvL 20 hours ago
Found this article on the Barrick StockTwits board.  Guy posting said, "I wonder why Berkshire is selling BAC.

Trump bump has already been erased.

https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/us/big-worry-for-one-of-americas-biggest-financial-institutions-as-yields-soar-bank-of-america-braces-for-massive-bond-losses/articleshow/117123284.cms


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Implanting Implanting 2 days ago
So, what we're seeing now is significant dollar strength and rising bond yields along with a rising gold price. This is normally NOT the case, a higher dollar would normally bring an inverse relationship with the gold price. Gold normally weakens with a higher dollar.

Why is this happening and will it continue to occur? This short article explains what may be going on. In short, gold is being accumulated because people are seeing the cracks in the U.S. fiscal situation. Think about the coming flood into gold and silver when it becomes clear that the dollar is toast going forward.

What we're seeing now is just the beginning of that move and the big reason we're seeing the rest of the world buy gold and sell their dollars. Buying any U.S. long-dated bonds are a fool's game IMO.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-investors-are-still-buying-gold-despite-a-strong-dollar-and-rising-treasury-yields-afa6cb74?mod=mw_quote_news
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Implanting Implanting 2 days ago
Really good article speaking to why gold is going to be the asset to be in with what's coming this year. Good read.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2025-01-11/goldeneye
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Implanting Implanting 2 days ago
IMO if headline inflation goes back up to 3.5 or 4% (and it can) that will be very problematic for Powell and the Fed, especially for their credibility.

Everyone will KNOW these Idiots don't know what they're doing. If inflation started moving back higher the Banksters would be forced to reverse course and begin raising rates again. I suspect that wouldn't go over too well with Trump, as we know he wants to see easy money in the economy and lower rates. So, what might come next? Might we see some sort of clash between Trump and the Fed? I think that would be highly probable. We can only speculate on how that might turn out. My wish would be that Trump would move or at least gesture to abolish the Fed.

PM's should be a beneficiary and the stock market would certainly tank. I heard on the biz news just yesterday that the Street is currently expecting ONLY 1 rate cut to come now in 2025, that's been reduced from originally 4 cuts. Obviously, there's much, much more inflation still present than they want to admit. How's higher rates, for longer going to work for the debt situation? Not well, so that will be another BIG problem for them.

My feelings on the tariffs are that they are a tax on imported goods, so they could be inflationary IF consumers pay up for what they're buying. I suspect if the prices go up, then people will buy LESS, so that might result in less buying and be deflationary in the end. As far as EV's go most people don't want those at any price, they're really not practical for every day, working people and in large part are more of a novelty for the rich to own and play with. I see EV sales going down, not up, from here. American car companies, like Ford, have lost a ton of money in the EV market. I've seen articles showing thousands of Chinese EV's sitting waiting for a home that's NOT being found for them. Over and above that the U.S. doesn't even have the infrastructure set up for EV usage yet. IMO most of this has been a Green New Deal scam, that's made the taxpayers a lot poorer.

The port strike is the workers fighting for their jobs against new technologies like AI. They know many of those port jobs can be replaced by AI and they don't want to see it happen. IMO that's what's coming with AI anyway, machines taking away human jobs. Where do you go when your job is replaced by AI? Do you draw a Univeral Basic Income check or just become homeless? Replacing people with machines maybe more productive and cheaper to have, but where do the humans go when their jobs are gone? We'll see how they put lipstick on that pig in time, I guess.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 2 days ago
Interesting Boockvar interview. Wow, they covered a lot of topics in 30 minutes. I hope the inflation is in the 3 to 4 percent range he mentioned. I have retirement money tied up and I have it in short-term Treasuries right now so 3 to 4 percent is fine with me. Even if I lose money on the underlying bonds I don't have to worry about a 30 to 50% market correction right before I leave my job. I am of the mindset that I'll have to work until I am not able to anyway, so preservation is key until I can roll it into a self-directed IRA. My higher-risk investments outside of my 401k are in things like gold and miners. If FF comes through for us it would be a huge boost to my ability to pull the plug and do something REALLY productive with my remaining time, like tutor/mentor kids and do other work that benefits folks...i.e. - coaching, etc. In an ideal world I would have enough to not worry and be able to do that.

I still can't believe the insanity we saw a few years ago and the resultant 18 trillion in negative-yielding sovereign debt. Just nuts.

So what did you think about his commentary at the end regarding tariffs and EVs? About bringing the prices of our EVs down to match those of China? I just don't know if that is possible because the Chinese have got folks working for slave labor level wages in some industries. Based on other products I have bought from China I don't think I'll be buying such a high cost item from China (completely separate from my desire to stick with the combustion engine over EVs and what I view as the long-term cost and convenience values of a combustion engine vehicle compared to an EV). If I am missing something please let me know - do you think the US would be able to bring our EV prices down to that level?

The port strike is interesting. I was shocked to hear what some of the port workers make. Give me that job! Lol....no thanks, too old at this point. I understand one reason is that some jobs are physically demanding and there is an expiration date on the useful life of our bodies as it relates to work (believe me, I know this one!) and that some jobs will never be replaced by automation. If the unions were smart - and there are some pretty smart folks working in the unions - they would focus on identifying and training their folks to be as technically proficient and technologically savvy as possible. That in my opinion is the best way to protect their people. The automation will come sooner or later, but if the workers are able to adapt then business might be able to accommodate them in certain areas (wages, etc.). If their members are up to speed the unions might find those members can expand their work repertoire outside of the standard dock work. Anyway, just a few thoughts. They can't even get enough kids in my area to drive a bus for $30 an hour so maybe a big part of the problem is a generational change in which people don't want to work or refuse to work certain jobs despite fair pay. What do you think about the port strike? I believe it has been settled since the Boockvar interview. I guess I can see both sides of the coin - some arguments of labor and management both make sense to me.
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Implanting Implanting 3 days ago
Good Peter Boockvar interview giving IMO a very bullish outlook for PM's. He talks about how investors are moving into gold now instead of bonds and how he sees inflation going back up instead of down and that, of course, will keep interest rates on hold or moving back up. That should be negative for the stock market.

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Implanting Implanting 3 days ago
Interesting video from Keith talking about what's coming for silver and the drivers for more silver demand. He says it will take triple digit-priced silver to bring on a higher supply for silver going forward. We know now why he bought Gatos.

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Implanting Implanting 3 days ago
Sad when they politicize or PRIORITIZE it like Biden has done. Anyone that's experienced a disaster should be helped as soon as possible, whether it's a fire or a flood. That's the opposite of what happened here.

It was literally months after Hurricane Helene was over before those people in N.C. got any help. Winter was moving into the area and many of those victims were still living in tents. Hell, the fucking immigrants get more help than those people did. No wonder people are pissed off.

On a happier note....gold and silver are spiking higher this morning.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 3 days ago
Pretty sad when you politicize disaster response. EOM
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Implanting Implanting 3 days ago
I won't speak to any conspiratory connections to the L.A. fires, because I don't know, but IMO it's mostly just the stupid, incompetence on the part of the WOKE politicans running the state of California. This is the same shit Trudope was doing in Canada and why he's out on his ass.

California is the wealthiest state in the U.S. and it's run like a third world country by the politicians there. My hope is that the people in California, like the Canadians have done, will wake up and put people in office that care about THEM and not some bullshit, woke, ideology. Time will tell.

P.S: Brain-dead Joe's ass was on a plane out to L.A. almost immediately. He barely made a comment about all the folks that lost everything in Hurricane Helene when it went through Florida, Georgia, and N. Carolina. He didn't give a rat's ass about them, but his woke buddies out on the left coast were a top priority. Sad.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 3 days ago
Nsnz, what are your thoughts on Jared Kushner? I was shocked Trumper let him back into the fold to be an advisor on staffing for the next administration. Makes me believe he was never out, despite bad-mouthing Trumper and doing deals behind his back during/after the first presidency. Not only that, Trumper then gives his felon father (who Trumper pardoned) the ambassador to France post. Just crazy.

Now you have Trumper pumping crypto...which tends to make me think your thoughts on CBDC/cashless society are correct.
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Nsnz33 Nsnz33 4 days ago
I hover more so around the conspiratorial side and think DEW weapons were FOR SURE used in Hawaii during the Maui fires, and is it really that far fetched to extrapolate they could've been used in these CA fires too? Our government, media, military, entertainment, and big tech is in full control of the special chosen tribe, and this group as Bobby Fischer put it is pure evil. Yes I know Fischer was ONE too, but he was one of the few good righteous ones who 1) renounced his "tribe" kinship and lineage, 2) exposed them, 3) had an IQ of 180 and the best chess player of all time which gave him tons of credibility, WHICH IS WHY a massive media wide smear campaign ensued to slander, smear, and drag his name and EVEN HIS SANITY through the mud, when in actuality he was completely sane and lucid, and still a genius.

Then again I could be wrong and this could've just been a legit fire with no foul play, but there are too many coincidences in this YOU KNOW WHO controlled world we live in to not raise an eyebrow at the timings and MANNERS of occurrences and developments, from COVID (bazar bat flu > lie > was a weapons lab afterall), to 9/11 (if you still believe it wasn't an inside job engineered by the usual suspects who control our government and beyond then..), to U.S.S Liberty, and to whatever other next manufactured event they have in store for us that they'll for sure use as a pretense to segue us into their CBDC cashless digital dystopian communist system.

Ever wonder where the Soviet Union / Communist "Red Star" sign's genesis is? think STAR.

Trump, Elon, Ramaswami, Vance, and basically all the democrats and republicans (with the exception of Thomas Massie whose wife they killed last July because he opened his mouth about YOU KNOW WHO's in June) are all CONTROLLED OPPOSITION trojan horses whom THEY will use to smoothly transition and segue us into their CBDC system.

There is no getting out of this, giving them the money printer first in England with the Bank of England in 1694 (then Rothschild took it over in the 1750s) then the Federal Reserve in 1913 and then every other central bank that spawned ever since was like handing Satan himself something holy and good and expecting him to not rot and destroy it.

Unless Private Central Banking is uprooted and destroyed and power to print is returned to the people, the human race will never be free.
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Implanting Implanting 4 days ago
Yes, you have it. All the BS the far leftists hold dear they want to try and implement before they get booted out of office. Voters need to wise-up to these leftist socialists. They're a disaster to everything most people want. Look at what's going on out in Cali with the uncontrollable fires THAT WERE TOTALLY PREVENTABLE with the proper forestry management. They want to blame it on climate change when in reality most of it is gross mismanagement of how the overall situation is handled. They don't even have the water available to put the fires out. These people are just stupid.

Trump has a gigantic mess to try and clean up with what the Dems have left him and IMO it's going to be very hard to fix. Good for gold and silver.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 4 days ago
The bans on offshore drilling and tankless gas water heaters are just two examples. Oh yeah, shoveling BILLIONS more out to Ukraine so it can be laundered back to him and the rest of the criminals involved is another example. Think about how those funds could help people...the jobs that could be created. Insane.

Gold and silver on the upswing the last day or two as well as the yield on the 10-year Treasury. Again, as you posted about, Powell saying anything about Trump's policies being inflationary is comical considering his silence on Biden's policies. So much for political neutrality.
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Implanting Implanting 4 days ago
I hope that's not the case. I see it more as a ploy to hang onto power and implement liberal policies before he HAS to go. Braindead Joe has done the same thing. Look what that Asshole has done the last month or so. Imposed far left policies that he claimed he wouldn't do when he got elected in 2020. Biden ran on being a centrist and that was the biggest lie in history.

I believe the change is coming in Canada, it just might not be as fast as the people there want to see it. Trudope has already said he was leaving, the people there want change.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 4 days ago
Alternative media is reporting Trudope will use this as an opportunity to shore up his support and remain in power. What a turd.
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Implanting Implanting 4 days ago
Really good Mish article on Trudope. He's doing the same shit Braindead Joe and his handlers are doing. Obstructing democracy and claiming not to.

https://mishtalk.com/economics/say-goodbye-to-trudeaus-out-of-control-spending-and-reckless-carbon-tax/
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Implanting Implanting 5 days ago
How come this isn't really surprising. The Fed is citing Trump's policies as being inflationary and they're blaming Trump for them starting to be hawkish on where inflation is headed. LOL

As is noted in this article, they never once said anything about Braindead Joe's policies as being inflationary. Trump's not even in office yet. This is nothing short of blaming Trump's policies as being bad before they even are implemented. I thought the Fed was supposed to be non-political.

We know Trump doesn't like anyone bucking his authority, so I see a likely problem coming with him and the Fed going forward. That should be very good for a higher gold price.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-minutes-9
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Implanting Implanting 5 days ago
This is a VERY interesting interview I just watched over on YouTube. This is a technical Guy that seems to know his stuff and listen to what he's saying.

He's talking about the miners doing well. He's calling for the dollar to correct significantly and a market sell off happening before it bounces later.

A very interesting discussion.

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Implanting Implanting 5 days ago
I heard this Man on a brief news interview yesterday and what he said sounded exactly like what Trump is saying for the U.S., he even used the phrase "Make Canada Great Again" in the interview. He's the conservative party leader in Canada and heir apparent to Trudope. Let's hope this happens and along with him a sweeping conservative majority in Canada. It can only help their economy and mining sector there.

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Implanting Implanting 5 days ago
You're right. I didn't catch it the first time I watched the video, but go to about 10:20 into the video and he talks about raising $60+ million from selling assets in the portfolio, then he says they've had to raise equity through dilution AND MAY HAVE TO DO MORE.

That didn't take very long did it. Was it on the year end webinar he was talking about raising equity through selling more from the portfolio and not doing more share dilution? I guess he's forgotten about what he said on the webinar. That's exactly why Dan can't be believed. I know at the end of the day Keith is calling the shots, but IMO the more continued share dilution, the more our share price tanks.

I don't know if Keith is smart enough to know how low the share price can go with any continued dilution, but IMO if they keep diluting the price will keep dropping.

I agree with You. Sell assets from the portfolio if necessary and hold off on continued share dilution. Let's see what happens.
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ZenDomain85 ZenDomain85 6 days ago
I got the sense from the latest video that Dan is setting us up for another dilution event. I would prefer they sell assets in other ventures than dilute shareholders more. One of the reasons they cant get traction is the continued dilution at stupid low prices.
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Implanting Implanting 6 days ago
IMO the time is rapidly approaching getting right, especially with our share price down here where it is. I'm certainly not advocating giving anything away for cheap, but without knowing what's being discussed behind closed doors, our share price continues to get cheaper by the day. That's not good.

If we are currently talking to interested JV partners, they know what we have and what it's worth. Obviously, they want to buy in on the cheap if they can and we want to get as much as we can. I don't really buy into the claim that the "market" is bad. We have two exceptional properties in tier 1 districts that the Big Boys want to buy into. IMO this all comes down to what Keith is willing to take for someone to partner with us.

Initially, I want to see some sort of partnership, not a buy-out, because IMO a JV partnership will put us where we need to be for at least the next couple of years or until we see better sentiment come in the mining sector. I hope this is what our management is envisioning also.
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TommyJ7651 TommyJ7651 6 days ago
I'm confident they will get it done when the time is right. In all likelyhood It would already have been done but like Dan said in the interview the market has been horrible. I don't want to do a deal at 12 cents a share and neither do Keith. We are going to have to wait for the market to turn around.
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Implanting Implanting 6 days ago
Again, he mentions the Osisko/Goldfields deal. That has to be the template they're looking to do with someone and IMO that would most likely be a good move for us. Getting a deal done that puts us in a financially stable position should be job 1 for management.
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TommyJ7651 TommyJ7651 6 days ago
Thanks. Again, I think the most important thing to take notice of is the confidence about Duparquet growing into a 10m+ ounce asset. Investors still don't realize how meaningful this is, but it will surface.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 6 days ago
Latest Dan interview. 12 minutes.
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Implanting Implanting 7 days ago
O.K., no wonder the price is there. LOL I forgot about them doing that.
I suppose they are going to see more share dilution going forward. Same old song and dance for the miners.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 7 days ago
I would hope it is trading there at least after a 1-for-15 reverse split.
https://wcsecure.weblink.com.au/pdf/AUT/02744504.pdf

I iknow they are doing very well on their copper/gold deposit. I have not heard much about Pickle Crow lately.
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Implanting Implanting 7 days ago
I wasn't aware of what the Firefly share price was currently. It's trading at .56 a share. That's not too shabby.
https://stockanalysis.com/quote/otc/MNXMF/

What I don't get is why no one is recommending FMG at these depressed prices? We still own a 30% stake in Pickle Crow. O.K. we still have no big partner announcements yet, but we certainly are much more promising with our gold in the ground reserves than most other companies. No one says shit about us.

We need some news to pull us out of this hole.
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Implanting Implanting 7 days ago
I just look
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TommyJ7651 TommyJ7651 7 days ago
Finally, it's official. Trudeau is out:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-news-conference-1.7423680

This will definitely be good for mining in Canada. It will be good for all business.
👍️ 1
SeaBlue SeaBlue 7 days ago
4 minutes. Grandich in part talks a little about Big Ridge Gold briefly and there is a tangential reference to FIrefly (Auteco?).
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Implanting Implanting 7 days ago
I agree, Canada can only be in a better place with Trudope out of office. My hope is the rest of the liberal politicians in Canada get swept out with him. Their regulation policies are detrimental for the mining sector because they're all about more government and less free markets.

Most of what they've implemented to date is most likely a big part of the hold-up in getting mines like Springpole permitted. We can all relate to that here.
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TommyJ7651 TommyJ7651 7 days ago
I'm not totally sure, but I guess they need to have earlier elections if the government collapses. But it really does not matter who replaces him because in the elections this year the Conservatives will score a massive victory which will finally put Canada on a better path business wise. Especially now that Trump is also POTUS the next Canadian government will 100% foster a good business relationship with him. This can only be good going forward seeing as Canada could not be worse than under Trudeau. There is no way to go but up.
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Implanting Implanting 7 days ago
Yes, he has long past worn his welcome out IMO

Who takes his place or is it just left vacant until the next elections happen?
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TommyJ7651 TommyJ7651 1 week ago
Can not happen soon enough:

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canada-pm-trudeau-announce-resignation-early-monday-globe-mail-reports-2025-01-06/
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Implanting Implanting 1 week ago
Jim Grant is a very wise man and he's been around a long time. He knows what's happening with the shortcomings of the Fed and that this is eventually coming home to roost. Grant also is a closet gold bull and likes sound money.

IMO what he said about the affluent parent giving the kids 20 million to go get drunk on could be a veiled reference to Von Mises' "Crack up boom" theory. They're basically spending money like there's no tomorrow to keep the wheels from coming off the car. We'll see the fiat money printing ramp back up when they finally run out of road, but as we can see now with all the debt that's been created the bond market is NOT allowing the Fed to drop rates without causing the 10-year treasury to rise. This is a very big problem for them, because it signals some sort of reality coming back into the market and that the Fed and government don't have "carte blanche" to print money going forward because of the debt and elevated inflation it's causing. I believe this is also what Peter Schiff has been advocating to happen.

The debt that you referenced taken out at 0% is going to have to be refinanced at much higher levels going forward and that's supposed to begin in earnest this year. That's going to be a nightmare for the overall economy.

Do I think the Fed will change course under Trump? Frankly, I don't think they can just drop rates as a matter of course going forward and they know it now. Trump's tariff agenda is inherently inflationary because it could likely cause supply chain shortages, which could be inflationary in itself. I think Trump wants to see China continue to hurt economically and the tariffs will most likely do that. We know if prices continue to rise then spending on those things will fall off. That should slow down all the world economies going forward.

You would think since Trump got elected the price of oil might have dropped, but that's not the case, it's actually gone up. That may change as oil supply gets more plentiful going forward, but we're not seeing it now. IMO the mining sector should benefit greatly once the Woke Progressive crowd is out of office. Their regulatory agenda has greatly held back the sector, hopefully that changes in Canada.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 1 week ago
Very interesting commentary by Jim Grant. I liked his affluent parent analogy in the last 1/3 of the video - affluent parent giving their kid 20 million dollars and saying
Here, go drink yourself to death or something akin to that. He also mentioned something Jim Rickards has harped on over the years - the mathematical models used by the Fed don't always work.

So do you think the Fed will change course under Trump? I don't, because a pullback in free money will probably result in economic contraction, which would hurt Trump in the eyes of the public. Trump will want the money spigot to remain open and for business-friendly tax policies to be passed to stimulate economic activity and maybe bring some jobs back to the US. All the recent presidents - Bush, Obama, Trump, Biden - have had crazy money creation during their terms. I don't see that stopping under Trump. What do you think? Will Trump at some point ease up on the monetary madness?

Think about what Jim Grant discussed - all that debt at 0 percent yield. What he did not bring up are the pension funds and other funds who bought into that debt. I believe we probably discussed this on this board in the past, but think about the position of the pension fund managers. You have to at least partially invest in "safe" assets. So you put money into the zero yield bonds. Your pension funds models are reliant on, say, a 6 or 7% yearly return on funds, which you're not getting. On top of that, for retired folks the COLA keeps increasing due to inflation. As yields rise while you're being paid zero, the bond values decrease. Upon final redemption you've received no yield, your underlying asset is worth less, your outlays have increased due to inflation/COLAs and you have to make up for that. If anyone can poke holes in this please educate me. To me it does not seem like a rosy picture for pension funds. Don't even get me started on social security. Lol. I'm confident I'll get hosed on that one at some point in time.

That being said, the right business-friendly tax policies could really help stimulate activity and would help our investment in FF. Ok, maybe not directly, but I would argue reductions in fuel cost alone would free up a lot of funds for major producers to acquire or partner on our assets. In other areas, a lot would ride on what our brothers up north get through parliament. For example, equipment write-offs/write-downs, credits for various purchases/activities, etc. I would imagine the mining climate would improve under a more moderate government.
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Implanting Implanting 2 weeks ago
Here's Jim Grant from an interview on CNBC talking about rising bond yields. He gives some nice insight as to why this is happening and why the Fed may not be able to continue cutting rates. Keeping rates at zero for all those years is a big reason.

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Implanting Implanting 2 weeks ago
Yeah, I would agree. The only thing that may surprise us is what caused the correction to happen. It's been my experience that if the folks predicting the reasons for a downturn say it may come from this happening, then most likely it will come from another source, NOT what might be expected to happen.

Some of the pundits this morning on CNBC are actually saying a 10-15% correction in Jan. will be good for the markets going forward. What if what's coming causes a much bigger move down? I don't see how these people can attempt to predict the move down without knowing what causes the move in the first place.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 2 weeks ago
Nothing should surprise us at this point. The long-overdue market correction will happen.....the questions are how much and for how long?
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Implanting Implanting 2 weeks ago
I just saw this article. The author makes the same points I saw on TV this morning about the 10 year going back up to 5% or higher. Note what the article says about the incoming Trump administration "breaking" something going forward. That event might cause the market correction.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/the-stock-market-rarely-scores-hat-tricks-this-strategist-fears-what-s-next/ar-AA1wQCHU?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=827cd2c6521149d3a6e52c81fc22ab80&ei=34
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Implanting Implanting 2 weeks ago
I agree. It looks to me like we're setting up for something to topple this apple cart going forward. The election is behind us and the feel-good rally for Trump winning the Presidency is wearing off.

I was just listening to a Talking Head on the biz news make a really good point about what might throw a monkey wrench into a continued rally. He was talking about the 10-year treasury going back up to 5% or higher. If that happens, he was saying the Fed would be forced to most likely stop lowering rates and reverse course and RAISE rates going forward. This is something Peter Schiff has been saying because he thinks the inflation we're still seeing isn't going away. Steve Hanke still thinks it will. I'm thinking maybe we need some sort of shock event that will lower inflation and the only thing that might do that is a market crash or recession that will bring the froth we're still seeing out of the economy. I don't see inflation moving a lot lower unless the stock market corrects significantly.

Of course, if that were to happen the markets would sell off in a very big way and the Fed AGAIN would look like a bunch of Idiots that don't have a clue about what they're doing. Trump would raise holy Hell because he wants to see lower rates to continue the easy money theme.

What happens is anyone's guess, but IMO we're getting closer to something happening.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 2 weeks ago
Just watched the Mike Maloney video you shared. Wow, the chart is really looking like it did during the dot com bubble. Nuts. I can't believe the top 10 stocks have a market value of 20 trillion with total US GDP at 27-28 trillion. Apple trading at 10 times their sales and is valued at 8% of the S&P 500?

What is wrong with those top 10 companies being worth more than the German, Canadian, Indian, UK and Japanese stock markets combined? Lol

The chart divergence between the S&P 500 and the LEI index was not something I had been aware of. The seem historically pretty connected...until recently.

All of this is a correction waiting to happen. It amazes that Felon and Powell have keep this floating higher for so long.
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SeaBlue SeaBlue 2 weeks ago
Happy New Year
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/energy/trump-will-open-doors-fossil-fuels-and-mining-2025-obstacles-and-challenges
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