Invesco Beats by a Cent - Analyst Blog
July 26 2011 - 7:27AM
Zacks
Invesco Ltd.’s (IVZ) second-quarter adjusted
earnings came in at 44 cents per share, just a penny ahead of the
Zacks Consensus Estimate. This also compares favorably with
earnings of 27 cents in the prior-year quarter.
On a GAAP basis, earnings came in at 39 cents per share compared
with 38 cents in the prior quarter and 9 cents in the year-ago
quarter.
Invesco’s earnings soared over the prior-year quarter primarily
on an increase in net revenue, partially offset by higher operating
expenses. The company’s assets under management also continued to
grow during the quarter.
Quarter in Detail
Invesco’s adjusted net income increased 8% sequentially and 65%
year over year to $207.1 million.
Adjusted net revenue increased 4% sequentially and 32% year over
year to $751.2 million. On a sequential basis, revenues improved
primarily on increases in investment management fees earned. Also,
foreign exchange rate changes aided net revenue growth by $5.4
million. However, net revenue missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate
of $1.1 billion.
Adjusted investment management fees rose 4% sequentially and 29%
year over year to $844.3 million. Service and distribution fees
improved 4% sequentially and 48% year over year to $206.2
million.
Adjusted operating expenses increased 3% sequentially and 22%
year over year to $466.4 million. On a sequential basis, employee
compensation expenses increased 4% to $310.9 million primarily on a
full quarter of the annual base salary hikes and share-based
awards.
Also, the expenses for the quarter include a full quarter of the
Hyderabad staff costs. Marketing expenses nudged up 2% from the
prior quarter to $26.7 million.
Adjusted operating margin for the quarter was 37.9% compared
with 37.6% in the prior quarter and 33.0% in the prior-year
quarter.
Assets Under Management
Increased market value, as a result of the gradual recovery in
global equity markets, improved assets under management (AUM) 2%
sequentially and 17% year over year to $653.7 billion as of June
30, 2011. Average AUM for the reported quarter was $652.8 billion
compared with $630.2 billion in the prior quarter and $480.5
billion in the prior-year quarter.
However, long-term net inflows were $3.8 billion compared with
$6.6 billion in the prior quarter and $13.9 billion in the
prior-year quarter. Institutional money market net inflows were
$3.5 billion as against net inflows of $2.6 billion in the prior
quarter and net outflows of $0.9 billion in the year-ago
quarter.
Dividend Update
Concurrent with the earnings release, the company declared a
second-quarter dividend of 12.25 cents per share. The dividend will
be paid on September 8, 2011, to shareholders of record as of
August 22, 2011.
Share Repurchase
During the reported quarter, Invesco repurchased 11.3 million
shares at a weighted average price of $24.69.
Peer Performance
Last week, one of Invesco’s peers, BlackRock
Inc. (BLK) reported second quarter 2011 adjusted earnings
of $3.00 per share, fairly ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of
$2.92. Better-than-expected results were primarily aided by strong
top-line growth, owing to better investment performance and asset
mix, partially offset by higher operating expenses.
Our Take
Improving long-term investment performance propelled by a
gradual recovery in the global equity market is expected to boost
operating results over the mid to long term. Though rising
operating expenses will remain near-term headwinds, significant
improvement in operating leverage from Invesco’s cost control
initiatives is expected over the long term. The company is also
poised to benefit from improved global investment flows owing to
its broad diversification.
Invesco currently retains a Zacks # 3 Rank, which translates
into a short-term ‘Hold’ rating. Also, considering the
fundamentals, we maintain our long-term “Neutral” recommendation on
the stock.
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