Corn Futures Rebound on New Signs of Demand
January 28 2020 - 4:32PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
--Corn for March delivery rose 1.6% to $3.86 1/2 a bushel on the
Chicago Board of Trade on Tuesday, with traders speculating that
the supply of cheap South American corn is running low, making U.S.
grain more competitive.
--Soybeans for March delivery fell 0.3% to $8.95 a bushel.
--Wheat for March delivery fell 0.5% to $5.69 3/4 a bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
Demand Hope: Big export sales reported by the USDA for the past
two days have grains traders hopeful that demand for U.S. corn is
growing. "Exportable cheap South American supplies are finally
drying up, which should enable the shipment pace to pick up in the
weeks ahead," said Arlan Suderman of INTL FCStone.
Upside Overdone: Wheat prices are slightly lower in Paris and
Chicago, having outperformed other agricultural commodities in
January. "Even though the market has been tight, the advance has
been overdone," said Nicolas Robin, who manages commodity
investments at Columbia Threadneedle. Wheat prices have risen too
far above corn prices, Mr. Robin said, encouraging farmers to feed
their animals with corn instead of wheat.
Palm Reading: A drop in Malaysian palm-oil futures based on the
outbreak of coronavirus and its impact on Asian demand was felt in
soybean-oil futures. The soybean-oil market rode palm oil's
momentum through the end of 2019 and is now down 11% to roughly 31
cents a pound since the start of 2020, with most of that fall
occurring in the past week.
INSIGHT
Lingering: Traders are taking a step back from soybeans amid
worries about the coronavirus in China, a large Brazilian crop and
Beijing's mild demand for U.S. beans. "Expect soybean prices to
continue reflecting a risk-off scenario over the next few weeks,"
said Todd Hubbs of the University of Illinois. The uncertainty
stemming from coronavirus will continue to linger, as well as
pessimism around the U.S.-China phase one deal unless Beijing
starts making large purchases after the Lunar New Year holiday, Mr.
Hubbs said.
USMCA Day: The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, otherwise known as
the USMCA, is expected to be signed into law by President Trump on
Wednesday, according to several reports. The signing isn't likely
to have much effect on CBOT grain futures, said John Payne on
Daniels Trading. "In reality, Mexico has been buying a lot of U.S.
ag products this entire time, " Mr. Payne said. "Outside of a sharp
move in the peso or looney, I don't think their market position
will change much."
AHEAD
--The EIA releases its weekly update on ethanol production and
inventories at 10:30 a.m. ET Wednesday.
--Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) reports fourth-quarter
results at 4:05 p.m. ET Wednesday.
--Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM) reports fourth-quarter
results after the market closes on Wednesday.
--The USDA will release its latest weekly export sales numbers
at 8:30 a.m. ET Thursday.
(Joe Wallace contributed to this article.)
Write to Kirk Maltais at kirk.maltais@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 28, 2020 16:17 ET (21:17 GMT)
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