Fed's Williams Says Central Bank Should Be Flexible as Data Evolves
December 13 2019 - 2:07PM
Dow Jones News
By Michael S. Derby
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said
Friday that the outlook for the U.S. economy remains pretty good
but central bankers will need to respond to unexpected events
should they arise.
"We need to be ready to change our views based on the data," Mr.
Williams told a group of students at an appearance in New York.
Mr. Williams's remarks were his first since the rate-setting
Federal Open Market Committee meeting held over Tuesday and
Wednesday. Then, officials met widely held expectations and kept
their short-term federal-funds rate target rate range fixed between
1.5% and 1.75%. Officials remained upbeat about the current state
of the economy, but remained mindful about risks to the outlook
posed by slowing global growth and trade uncertainty.
Steady policy followed three consecutive
quarter-percentage-point rate cuts, all of which were aimed at
offsetting risks, and to help push up still overly low levels of
inflation relative to the Fed's 2% inflation target.
At the latest meeting, the Fed, both in the comments of Chairman
Jerome Powell and in its forecasts, signaled officials have no
plans to change rates soon. The official forecasts penciled in
steady rates for all of 2020 and then single
quarter-percentage-point increases in 2021 and 2022. The Fed also
maintained forecasts for steady and modest growth, low
unemployment, and inflation that slowly rises back to the central
bank's 2% target by 2021.
In comments about what the Fed can do to provide stimulus in a
low-interest environment that curtains some of its normal
maneuvering room, Mr. Williams said the central bank can say "we
are not planning to raise interest rates for a long time." But Mr.
Williams, who is also vice chairman of the FOMC, didn't make any
direct comments about the monetary policy outlook.
Mr. Williams's outlook aligned squarely with the consensus
outlook held by central bankers. In his comments before the
students, Mr. Williams said that past Fed rate cuts are boosting
the housing market and helping the economy remain on a positive
path. He also said that inflation will move back up to the Fed's 2%
target in the next year or two, and he said that inflation that
bounces around on either side of the goal isn't an issue for the
Fed, it is persistent misses that can be the issue.
Mr. Williams, whose comments were largely made in response to
students' questions, also didn't address continuing concerns about
money market rates heading into the end of the year. The Fed is
providing massive amounts of liquidity to financial firms to ensure
that short-term rate volatility remains modest, as it continues to
react to an unexpected surge in money market rates three months
ago.
Write to Michael S. Derby at michael.derby@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 13, 2019 13:52 ET (18:52 GMT)
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