Oil Prices Follow Broader Market Higher
December 13 2019 - 9:10AM
Dow Jones News
By David Hodari
Oil prices neared three-month highs Friday, rising with broader
markets amid ebbing uncertainty around U.S.-China trade and
Brexit.
Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was up 1.6% at $65.26 a
barrel on London's ICE Futures exchange. On the New York Mercantile
Exchange, West Texas Intermediate futures rose 1.3% to $59.97 a
barrel.
Oil's move higher began Thursday as President Trump suggested
the U.S. was close to a trade deal with China, and continued after
the White House agreed to a limited agreement that would roll back
existing tariff rates on Chinese goods and cancel new levies that
had been set to take effect Sunday. China hasn't confirmed the
deal.
"It was President Trump's tweet about getting very close to a
trade deal with China that sparked a broader market rally," Helge
André Martinsen, senior oil market analyst at DNB Markets.
The price rise pushed Brent crude to its highest level since the
days after the attacks on Saudi Arabian oil processing facilities
that temporarily took out 5% of global supply almost three months
ago.
Uncertainty around trade has weighed on global economic growth
in recent months, prompting both the International Energy Agency
and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to slash
their oil-demand growth estimates over the course of this year.
Still, OPEC said Wednesday that the "global trade slowdown has
likely bottomed out," while the IEA mirrored that view Thursday.
"The deterioration in trade and industrial activity seen in recent
months may have come to an end at the start of 4Q19," the agency
said
Investors' increased optimism buoyed stocks and commodities and
was compounded early Friday by a comprehensive election victory for
U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson. The ruling Conservative Party's
strong majority provides greater certainty as to the timing of the
country's exit the European Union.
Market participants said policy signals from the U.S. Federal
Reserve were also supporting oil futures.
Policy signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve, President Trump's
apparent moves toward a trade deal with China and the alleviation
of Brexit uncertainty are also supporting oil futures, said Edward
Marshall, commodities trader at Global Risk Management.
The British pound rose sharply overnight, and the WSJ Dollar
Index, which measures the U.S. currency against a basket of 16
others, was recently down 0.3%. That makes dollar-denominated oil
is less expensive for other currency holders.
Despite a combination of bearish U.S. oil inventory data and
forecasts for stubborn oil gluts in early 2020 so far this week,
Friday's gains mean Brent crude and U.S. crude have risen 7.7% and
4.9% respectively so far this month.
Both benchmarks received a boost last week when OPEC and its
allies completed a new production deal to deepen cuts by a total of
1.7 million barrels a day to last through the end of March.
The impending change in the amount of sulfur allowed in marine
fuel oil, known as 'IMO 2020', due to take effect at the end of the
month was also boosting Brent and U.S. crude prices, with lower
sulfur fuel tending to be taken from sweeter crude oil
varieties.
"There's also some repricing happening from the IMO regulation
on low sulfur fuels which is impacting Brent and WTI because they
both have a sweet bias," said Frank Monkam, crude oil trader at
Gunvor Group.
Anna Hirtenstein contributed to this article.
Write to David Hodari at David.Hodari@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 13, 2019 08:55 ET (13:55 GMT)
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