CURRENCIES: U.S.-China Trade Talks Help Risk Appetite In Currency Markets; Dollar Inches Higher
December 11 2018 - 4:42PM
Dow Jones News
By Anneken Tappe, MarketWatch
Focus in Europe remains on Brexit and France protests
After a day dominated by Brexit headlines, currency markets were
driven by news on the trade front on Tuesday, helping risk appetite
across the board.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, Trade Representative Robert
Lighthizer and Chinese Vice President Liu He kicked off a new round
of trade talks
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-china-kick-off-new-round-of-trade-talks-with-focus-on-agriculture-economic-reform-2018-12-11)
with a phone call in which "changes to fundamental Chinese economic
policies" were discussed.
(https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-china-trade-talks-get-under-way-11544498812)
Correspondingly, many risk-sensitive currencies, including the
Australian dollar, as well as many emerging markets units, were
strengthened against the buck.
The ICE U.S. Dollar Index retraced some of its earlier losses
and was last up 0.2% at 97.401. In Monday's economic data, the
November producer-price index
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-wholesale-prices-barely-rise-in-november-as-inflationary-pressures-recede-2018-12-11)
crept up 0.1%, but the annual rate slipped to 2.5%.
Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar , which is a China proxy due to the
close trade ties between the two countries, fetched $0.7204, up
from $0.7188 late Monday in New York.
China's yuan was stronger as well, with one dollar sliding to
6.8995 yuan in Beijing, down 0.2%, and 6.6030 yuan offshore, also
down 0.2%.
Also check out:Reserve Bank of India head steps down in
potential blow to central bank independence
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/reserve-bank-of-india-head-steps-down-in-potential-blow-to-central-bank-independence-2018-12-10)
Back in the old world, U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May was
taking meetings with European leaders across the continent on
Tuesday in an effort to shore up political capital and safe her
Brexit deal.
Reports that German Chancellor Angela Merkel was opposed to
further Brexit negotiations hurt both the euro and the British
pound. Sterling dropped to a fresh 20-month low
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/british-pound-hits-fresh-20-month-low-as-uks-may-struggles-with-brexit-deal-2018-12-11)
on Tuesday, after first meeting that mark on Monday
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/sterling-dives-to-fresh-18-month-low-as-brexit-vote-reportedly-cancelled-2018-12-10)
when May's government pulled a crucial vote on her deal that had
been schedule for Tuesday. The Prime Minister seeks to reschedule
the vote, with Jan. 21 being the latest possible date.
Sterling last bought $1.2529, up from $1.2561 late Monday.
Check out:Turmoil leaves investors struggling to pin down
likeliest Brexit scenario
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/turmoil-leaves-investors-struggling-to-pin-down-likeliest-brexit-scenario-2018-12-11)
And don't miss:U.K. delays Brexit vote -- what happens next?
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/uk-is-said-to-delay-brexit-vote-what-happens-next-2018-12-10)
Investors are trying to assess the potential impact of a hard
Brexit, in which the U.K. would leave the EU without defining its
future relationship with the continent. Some say the mere fact that
May pulled the vote signals the tremendous defeat she would have
suffered, and with time not being on the U.K.'s side, a no-deal
Brexit is becoming more real. Others argue that British lawmakers
are clearly scrambling to avoid just that but nevertheless worry
that May's deal isn't sufficient.
The euro slipped to $1.1324, compared with $1.1358 late Monday
in New York, with focus on the continent lingering on the
negotiations with London, as well as escalating protests in
France.
"In what could be good news for Italy and its fight with the EU
over its budget, French President Emmanuel Macron announced a
little giveaway of his own for French voters in an attempt to buy
off the 'gilet jaunes' protests. The only problem with that is it
will blow a great big hole in the French budget sending it up to
3.5% of GDP," wrote Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC
Markets.
"This will be something that Brussels will be unable to ignore
if they sanction Italy for a budget well below that. Christmas may
well have come early for Italian deputy [prime ministers] Matteo
Salvini and Luigi di Maio as they look to force the EU to back down
over implementing an excessive deficit procedure against the
Italian government," he said.
Rome had repeatedly clashed with Brussels over its 2019 budget
proposal which included a higher deficit than European Union
lawmakers were comfortable with.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 11, 2018 16:27 ET (21:27 GMT)
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