Markets Face Next Test With GDP, Inflation Data
October 21 2018 - 11:29AM
Dow Jones News
By Akane Otani
Investors will get another look at the health of the economy
this week when the government releases its first estimate for
third-quarter gross domestic product, followed by
personal-consumption expenditures on Oct. 29. Unexpectedly strong
readings could send Treasury yields on a fresh run higher, although
recent data have suggested that, even with the economy growing at a
healthy clip, inflation pressures remain muted.
U.S. government bond yields broke out to multiyear highs in
October, supported by a string of strong economic data:
Meanwhile, bets have stacked up among traders that the Fed will
keep tightening monetary policy with its rate-increase
campaign:
Yet even as bond yields have risen, inflation expectations have
remained subdued. The price of funds offering bond investors
protection against inflation has fallen:
Some analysts say that reflects bets that inflation, while on
the rise, isn't in danger of spiking soon:
That could help fuel further gains for bond proxies, which have
outperformed broader stock indexes in October:
Write to Akane Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 21, 2018 11:14 ET (15:14 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.