CURRENCIES: British Pound Rallies After Wage Data, Shrugs Off Brexit Troubles For The Day
October 16 2018 - 2:11PM
Dow Jones News
By Anneken Tappe
Major currencies like the U.S. dollar and the euro were muted
early Tuesday, while the British pound led developed market gainers
on the back of supportive wage data.
In the U.S., traders are waiting to see whether the Treasury
will label China a currency manipulator in a report on the foreign
exchange market expected in coming days. While President Donald
Trump has been saying that China is manipulating its yuan, and
Beijing in return rejecting the claims, the U.S. Treasury never
actually labeled the Asian giant as such.
The ICE U.S. Dollar Index edged into negative territory at
95.027. One dollar last bought 6.9119 yuan in Beijing , down 0.1%
from Monday, and 6.9140 yuan offshore , down 0.1%.
Check out:The stock retreat is only the latest reason analysts
believe the dollar rally is over
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-retreat-is-only-the-latest-reason-analysts-believe-the-dollar-rally-is-over-2018-10-15)
In the U.K., wage data from August showed wages growing at their
fastest pace in almost 10 years
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/uk-wage-growth-fastest-in-almost-10-years-2018-10-16-4485395).
Still "we think markets are being overly optimistic on both Brexit
risk and the economic outlook, and the two are intertwined."
The British pound last bought $1.3284, up from $1.3151 late
Monday in New York, making it the best performing among developed
market currencies on Tuesday, according to FactSet.
Meanwhile, Britain's Telegraph newspaper reported
(https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/16/cabinet-told-force-theresa-may-drop-chequers-plan-will-face/?WT.mc_id=tmg_share_tw)
that Prime Minister Theresa May could face a no-confidence vote
within days if she doesn't drop her Chequers Brexit plan. This
comes just a day after the she told parliament to keep calm and
that negotiations with Brussels were in the final stages.
The New Zealand dollar was also a strong performer, buying
$0.6592, up 0.6% from late Monday in New York, according to
FactSet, on the back of a stronger than expected third quarter
consumer price inflation read late Monday.
Elsewhere in Europe, Italy's government approved a budget
proposal for 2019
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/italys-government-oks-draft-budget-that-would-widen-deficit-2018-10-15)
late Monday, which could see the budget deficit of the European
Union's fourth largest economy balloon to 2.4% of GDP. Italy is
expected to run into some trouble with the Brussels and EU budget
rules over the proposal.
See:Italian stocks flirt with best day in 3 weeks amid EU budget
clash
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/italian-stocks-flirt-with-best-day-in-3-weeks-amid-eu-budget-clash-2018-10-16)
"The EU now has a week to make its initial assessment. As noted
yesterday, some polls suggest that the popularity of the Italian
government has risen during this budget drama and so Salvini and Di
Maio really have no reason to give in to EU criticism," wrote Win
Thin, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers
Harriman.
The full draft budget law will be sent to the Italian parliament
by Saturday. Lawmakers will need to approve it by the end of the
year.
The euro was muted, last buying $1.1580, little changed from
Monday. Besides political headlines, euro traders also digested
economic data from Germany, where the ZEW indicator came in lower
than expected, which was attributed to lingering Brexit
uncertainties.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 16, 2018 13:56 ET (17:56 GMT)
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