BOND REPORT: 10-year Treasury Yield Sinks To More-than-3-week Low As Stocks Swoon
June 25 2018 - 3:50PM
Dow Jones News
By Sunny Oh
Prices for U.S. government bonds rose on Monday, pushing yields
lower, after the Treasury Department as U.S.-China trade tensions
further heightened.
What are Treasurys doing?
The 10-year Treasury note yield slipped 2.7 basis point to
2.875%, the lowest since May 31. The 2-year note yield ticked lower
by 2.1 basis points to 2.529%, while the 30-year bond yield fell by
2.1 basis points to 3.024%, the lowest since May 31.
Bond prices move in the opposite direction of yields.
What's driving the market?
The Treasury Department is drafting limits on Chinese investment
into U.S. companies with "industrially significant technology," a
government official with knowledge of the matter said on Sunday
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-seeks-curbs-on-chinese-investment-in-us-tech-firms-exports-to-china-2018-06-24).
Plus, the National Security Council and the Commerce Department are
coming up with export controls to prevent important technologies
from being sent to China. The plans are expected to be announced by
the end of next week.
The curbs come on top of the tariffs that President Donald Trump
imposed on $50 billion of Chinese imports. Trump also threatened an
additional levy on $400 billion of imports if Beijing attempted to
retaliate. Beijing has threatened to match the tariffs.
See: Trump's latest threat to U.S. trade partners: Drop tariffs
or face consequences
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trumps-latest-threat-to-us-trade-partners-drop-tariffs-or-face-consequences-2018-06-24)
Read: Trade-war tracker: Here are the new levies, imposed and
threatened
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trade-war-tracker-here-are-the-new-levies-imposed-and-threatened-2018-06-22)
With a return of trade tensions kicking off the week, investors
bought haven assets like U.S. government paper as they fled from
stocks
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-futures-drop-more-than-150-points-as-trump-makes-more-trade-threats-2018-06-25).
The S&P and Dow are down more than 1%. The once-highflying
Nasdaq saw the sharpest fall among the benchmark indexes, shedding
more than 2% of its value.
Investors will also handle a wave of bond auctions from the
Treasury, with around $100 billion of coupon-bearing debt set to go
on the block between Tuesday and Thursday. So far, market
participants have taken down the increase in bond auction sizes
with little impact on trading.
What did market participants say?
"Treasury bonds in another flight-to-safety bid today as
equities give back all their gains from June. Trade tariff anxiety
continues to grow as the Trump administration institutes new
measures on Chinese investment in the U.S. citing security
concerns," said Tom di Galoma, managing director of Treasurys
trading at Seaport Global Securities.
"Many market participants are worried that ongoing trade war
will ignite a global recession. They believe the trade war concern
could eliminate one of the future Fed rate hikes possibly the one
targeted for December," said di Galoma.
What's on investors' radar?
The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index slumped to -0.15 in
May from 0.42 in April
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/chicago-feds-may-national-economic-index-retreats-into-negative-as-factories-slowed-2018-06-25).
On the other hand, May's new home sales figures hit an annual pace
of 689,000
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/new-home-sales-rebound-in-may-2018-06-25),
well above the 668,000 forecast from economists surveyed by
MarketWatch.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 25, 2018 15:35 ET (19:35 GMT)
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