Argentina's Economy Grows 1.6% in December
February 24 2017 - 4:02PM
Dow Jones News
By Taos Turner
BUENOS AIRES -- Argentina's economy showed signs of making a
long-awaited comeback in December, expanding 1.6% from the previous
month, the national statistics agency said Friday.
The month-on-month growth in gross domestic product is welcome
news for Argentine President Mauricio Macri, who promised that his
market-friendly policies would rescue the country from recession
and create jobs. Mr. Macri took office just over a year ago and
immediately began overhauling the economy by slashing taxes and
fixing a broken exchange-rate system.
But the moves didn't pay off immediately.
Argentina's economy shrank 2.3% in 2016 from the previous year,
the statistics agency said. Output was virtually unchanged on the
year in December. Moving forward, though, economists expect
economic data to be positive as double-digit inflation and interest
rates decline.
Mr. Macri's policies are finally beginning to kick in and spur
growth, said Gabriel Zelpo, an analyst at Elypsis, a Buenos Aires
economic-research firm.
"What's happening is that the wheat harvest and in part the corn
crop performed great this year thanks to the new government's
policies, so that's giving the numbers a boost and pushing the
economy," Mr. Zelpo said.
Argentina's budget calls for the economy to grow about 3.5% this
year and 3% in both 2018 and 2019. Elypsis sees 3% growth this
year.
Argentina's automotive industry is also improving, in part
because of higher demand from Brazil, which traditionally buys
two-thirds or more of Argentina's car exports. In addition,
government spending on infrastructure projects including roads and
public transportation has been spurring growth.
Still, consumer spending remains weak after a currency
devaluation a year ago slashed purchasing power and forced families
to cut costs. Consumer confidence fell 8.5% from January and is
down 10.8% from a year earlier, according to a study by Torcuato Di
Tella University.
"This year you're going to see wages recover," Mr. Zelpo said,
referring to a series of raises that unions are expected to obtain
for workers this year.
"The central bank is also pursuing a more expansive monetary
policy this year and that will also help turn things around for
consumption," he said.
Write to Taos Turner at taos.turner@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 24, 2017 15:47 ET (20:47 GMT)
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