Mr. C
4 days ago
This coming from someone who said the app just needed to have the answers redone like it was homework and here we are 3 months later with nothing.
Even if the red tape is reduced with a new admin, it will not be eliminated and there will be a process of implementing new standards, but there will still be a process of approval that needs to be gone through.
Will it be reduced? Yes, like it was. Will it be nothing? No, like it was also.
There will still be an approval process. My point is at this late stage in the game they might as well wait because if they get it done now or later this will still probably not happen until into 2025 and all balance out to be the same anyways, but if they wait for a new admin they remove the risk of maybe getting an early judgement and final screw from MARAD and the current admin.
I would rather wait at this point, because timewise it'll likely be the same (or maybe less) with a new admin and with less risk of being rejected by the current one
Mr. C
4 days ago
They’ve been putting out expectations for a long time now about when it’s starting.
Delfin probably can’t wait longer than that though. Depending on constrictions with slot yard space and contract delivery timelines, they will likely have to proceed on a limited FID construction before MARAD replies.
I def don’t expect a quick turnaround from MARAD, especially if the app takes another month/two or even longer.
They still have to go through all of the public and lateral agency reviews that are required for a new application.
The company saying they are confident they can clear up MARAD by end of year in their DOE filing was the same confidence they had when they thought they could clear it up over the past two years prior, so I wouldn’t trust that, since it is entirely dependent on an unfriendly government and the timelines just don’t work.
Odds are we get the ship building before we get MARAD, but since we are already in July and November/January are not far off, Delfin may be thinking it’s better to just wait on the application for a new admin because the timelines will likely be the same and they still risk a quick rejection from this current admin if they decide to play shady games before leaving office.
That’s not what they indicated recently with Dudley’s comments about clearing the MARAD and DOE issues up over the “next few months”, but when has he ever given a correct timeline?
Halfway through the year now, so might as well keep on waiting for everything to play out and for a friendly admin in my opinion (If the election goes the way it is looking).
Just a theory that they could be waiting and buying time for the politics to change, but never know. Likely just waiting for the environmental assessment to be complete by the consulting group, but a lot has changed recently this far into the year with the politics and LNG/Chevron decisions