FRANKFURT--The following is a summary of analysts' forecasts for Zurich Insurance Group AG (ZURN.VX) fourth-quarter results, based on a poll of nine analysts conducted by Dow Jones Newswires (figures in million dollars, dividend and target price in franc, combined ratio in percent, according to IFRS). Earnings figures are scheduled to be released February 13.

=== 
              Business       Net     Share-             FY 
             operating    attrib.  holders'   Comb.   Comb. 
4th Quarter     profit    income    equity   Ratio   Ratio 
 
AVERAGE          1,105     1,212    32,949    95.1    95.4 
Prev. Year         569       983    34,494   104.3    98.4 
+/- in %           +94       +23      -4.5    -8.8    -3.1 
 
MEDIAN           1,100     1,255    32,911    95.0    95.3 
Maximum          1,328     1,394    33,327    96.4    96.1 
Minimum            981       950    32,672    94.0    95.0 
Amount (a)           9         9         5       7       8 
 
Berenberg        1,093     1,273    33,327    95.0    95.2 
Bryan Garnier    1,100       950        --    94.0    95.0 
Kepler Cheuvreux 1,037     1,394        --    94.3    95.0 
Morgan Stanley   1,161     1,322    32,856    95.0      -- 
Nomura             981     1,255    32,981    96.4    95.6 
UBS              1,148     1,267    32,672    95.7    95.4 
Vontobel         1,113     1,249    32,911    95.4    95.3 
 
 
 
            Target price  Rating                   DPS 2013 
 
AVERAGE           286.22  positive 4    AVERAGE       17.00 
Prev. Quarter     270.10  neutral  6    Prev. Year    17.00 
+/- in %            +6.0  negative 0    +/- in %        0.0 
 
MEDIAN            284.00                MEDIAN        17.00 
Maximum           311.00                Maximum       17.00 
Minimum           252.00                Minimum       17.00 
Amount                 9                Amount            9 
 
Bryan Garnier     311.00  Buy                         17.00 
Citigroup         278.00  Neutral                     17.00 
Credit Suisse     284.00  Neutral                     17.00 
HSBC              276.00  Neutral                     17.00 
J.P. Morgan       310.00  Overweight                  17.00 
Kepler Cheuvreux  295.00  Buy                         17.00 
Morgan Stanley        --  Equalweight                    -- 
RBC CM            300.00  Outperform                  17.00 
UBS               252.00  Neutral                     17.00 
Vontobel          270.00  Hold                        17.00 
=== 

Year-earlier figures are as reported by the company.

(a) Including anonymous estimates from two more analysts.

DJG/err 

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