Philip Morris Beats, Ups Guidance - Analyst Blog
October 20 2011 - 11:35AM
Zacks
Cigarette manufacturer and marketer Philip Morris
International Inc. (PM) reported third quarter 2011
earnings per share, excluding special items, of $1.37, surpassing
the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.23.
Furthermore, compared with the prior-year period, Philip Morris’
earnings per share were up 36.4% excluding currency effect. The
year-on-year uptick was attributable to price increases and strong
volume growth in Asia.
Revenue, Volumes & Margins
During the quarter, Philip Morris’ net revenues grew 26.4% year
over year to $8.4 billion, including favorable currency impact of
$697 million. Excluding currency translation, net revenue increased
15.9%, mainly driven by favorable pricing of $564 million,
primarily in Asia, and favorable volume of $472 million.
Cigarette shipment volume in the quarter increased slightly by
4.4% year over year to 239.4 million units, primarily driven by a
12.6% increase in shipment volume in Asia, which was a result of
double-digit growths in Indonesia, Japan and Korea. While volume in
EEMA (Eastern Europe, Middle East & Africa) went up 5.1%,
European Union (EU) and Latin America and Canada suffered a
decreased of 3.5%, 1.1% respectively.
In EU, cigarette shipment volume dropped on a year-over-year
basis, predominantly due to lower total market share (mainly in
Spain), lower market share (mainly in Poland) and unfavorable
distributor inventory movements. In Latin America & Canada, the
shipment volume was impacted due to lower market share in Mexico,
partly offset by growth in Brazil, Canada and Columbia
During the quarter, shipments of Marlboro rose 3.9% as a result
of growth in the EEMA market. Shipments of L&M were also up
3.9% during the quarter, driven by the growth in EU. Parliament and
Lark brands recorded increased volumes of 16.4% and 44.2%,
respectively, while Chesterfield and Bond Street witnessed declines
of 7.0% and 6.8%, respectively, in the quarter.
Philip Morris’ quarterly gross profit expanded 27.5% year over
year to $5.5 billion, while operating income increased 29.7% to
$3.7 billion in the third quarter of 2011.
Financial Analysis
As of September 30, 2011, Philip Morris had cash and cash
equivalents of $3.4 billion and long-term debt (including current
portion) of $12.9 billion.
Share Buyback and Dividend
During the reported quarter, the company repurchased 21.2
million shares, worth $1.4 billion. The company increased its
regular quarterly dividend during the quarter by 20.3% to an
annualized rate of $3.08 per common share
Guidance
Concurrent with the earnings release, the company raised its
outlook for fiscal 2011. Phillip Morris now expects earnings
between $4.75 and $4.80 for fiscal 2011. The guidance is up by
approximately 21% to 22.5% versus $3.92 in 2010.
The company plans share repurchases of approximately $5.0
billion against its previously communicated three-year share
repurchase program of $12 billion, initiated in May 2010.
The company’s major competitors are Altria Group
Inc. (MO) and Reynolds American Inc.
(RAI). Phillip Morris currently has a Zacks #3 Rank which implies
short term Hold rating on the stock. On a long term basis we remain
Neutral on the stock.
ALTRIA GROUP (MO): Free Stock Analysis Report
PHILIP MORRIS (PM): Free Stock Analysis Report
REYNOLDS AMER (RAI): Free Stock Analysis Report
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