Optimized Portfolio Focused on Maximizing
Value
Differentiated Asset Base for Long-Term
Sustainable Growth
GeoPark Limited (“GeoPark” or the “Company”) (NYSE: GPRK), a
leading independent energy company with over 20 years of successful
operations across Latin America, announces its 2025 Work Program
(the “Program”), approved by the Board of Directors.
The Program is designed to deliver increasing value to its
shareholders through disciplined capital allocation, operational
excellence, and sustainable growth. The Program integrates and
responds to the following key principles of GeoPark’s “North Star”
strategy:
- Highly Profitable, Dependable and Sustainable - More
than $400 million of annual EBITDA generation (EBITDA margin >
50%); ROACE1 > 30% - Underpinned by operational excellence and a
comprehensive sustainability strategy - Decreasing environmental
footprint: 35-40% carbon intensity reduction vs 2020
- Focused on Growth Through Big Assets, Big Basins and Big
Plays - Distinctive Assets: Llanos 34, CPO-5, Vaca Muerta -
Differentiated Basins: Conventional and unconventional -
Diversified Footprint: Colombia, Argentina, Brazil
- Near Term Performance, Long Term Vision and Targets -
Target 70,000 boepd mid-term (2028), 100,000 boepd long-term (2030)
- Strong organic footprint leveraged by accretive inorganic
opportunities
- Financial Flexibility and Stewardship - Net Debt to
EBITDA 1.5-2.1x @ $70-80/bbl - Strong cashflow generation ($120-180
million ending cash) - Diversified financing sources available;
proactive hedging strategy
- Competitive Shareholder Returns while Driving Sustainable
Growth Maintain an annual dividend of $30 million
2025 Work Program Guidance ($70-80/bbl Brent)
The table below provides the main highlights of the 2025 work
program:
2025 Work Program
$70-80/bbl Brent
Average Production
35,000 boepd (± 2,500 boepd)2
Capital Expenditures
$275 – 310 million
Adjusted EBITDA
$350 – 430 million
RRR Target
100%
Lifting Cost
$12 – 14/bbl
Total Wells (Gross)
23 – 31
The $275-310 million CAPEX program will support production of
35,000 boepd (± 2,500 boepd range) across Colombia (26,000 boepd),
Vaca Muerta (7,400 boepd), Ecuador (1,000 boepd) and Brazil (600
boepd). The production mix is expected to be approximately 97% oil
and 3% natural gas, with 22% unconventional and 78%
conventional.
The activity set considers drilling 23-31 gross wells (including
10-15 gross exploration and appraisal wells), with approximately
65% to be allocated to development activities and 35% to
exploration and appraisal activities.
- Vaca Muerta - 10-12 wells, $195-220 million: - Mata
Mora Norte Block: Focus on accelerating production and reserves
growth through the continued development of the block and alignment
with critical infrastructure requirements. 7-8 gross development
wells plus necessary infrastructure and facilities expansion to
continue optimizing operations and delivering increased volumes to
market - Confluencia Sur Block: Focus on the continued
de-risking of the block through exploration drilling that continues
the successful 2024 exploration campaign. CAPEX includes 3-4 gross
exploration wells, as well as the net carry consideration of the
committed exploratory activity, which will complete GeoPark’s
obligation in full
- Colombia - 13-19 wells, $80-90 million: - Llanos 34
Block: Focus on maximizing recovery factors in the fields,
managing the decline through an optimization of base production
(waterflooding, pilot polymer flooding project, pump upsizing
projects and workovers) and maximizing economics. 5-7 gross
development, appraisal and injector wells, plus infrastructure and
facilities - CPO-5 Block: Drilling campaign will focus
exclusively on exploration activities, with 2-4 exploration wells
expected. The Indico field has been fully developed, hence
activities will concentrate on managing its production decline
through a workover campaign - Llanos Exploration: Focus on
increasing production and reserves, through the delineation and
development of the new discoveries in the Llanos 123 Block
(Toritos, Saltador and Bisbita) and drilling the first exploration
wells in the Llanos 104 Block. 5-6 gross wells - Putumayo:
The Platanillo field has been shut in due to a high cost structure,
and has no production included in the 2025 guidance. Activities in
the basin will focus on continuing the exploration campaign
initiated in 4Q2024 in the PUT-8 Block. 1-2 gross wells
The North Star strategy envisions achieving an annual Reserves
Replacement Ratio (RRR) ≥100%. This Program aligns with that goal
by driving organic and inorganic growth opportunities.
Lifting Cost is expected to be $12-14/bbl for the consolidated
operation and $7-9/bbl for Vaca Muerta.
Financial Details
Assuming a $70-80/bbl Brent base case, GeoPark expects to
generate an Adjusted EBITDA3 of $350-430 million4 in 2025, over 1.2
times total capital expenditures, and a ROACE above 30%.
The Work Program will be funded primarily with internal cash
generation and debt. At base case prices, the 2025 ending cash
stands at $120-180 million and net debt to EBITDA shows a healthy
leverage ratio of 1.5-2.1x.
Oil hedging plays a crucial role in our financial strategy,
ensuring competitive price realizations and downside price risk
protection. As of December 31, 2024, GeoPark had hedged
approximately 50% of its 2025 estimated average production5.
2025 Shareholder Returns
Supported by the Company’s robust balance sheet and operational
strength, GeoPark expects to continue returning a reliable dividend
payment of approximately $30 million to shareholders in 2025,
representing a 6-7%6 yield at current market prices. This
distribution builds on almost $300 million returned to shareholders
through dividends and buybacks since 2019.
Dividend payments remain subject to Board approval and will
depend on factors such as business performance, financial
condition, and growth plans.
Comprehensive Sustainability Strategy
GeoPark remains committed to operational excellence while
maintaining best-in-class health, safety, and environmental (HSE)
practices.
Within its Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy,
GeoPark expects a 35-40% Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions intensity
reduction by 2025 compared to 2020.
RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA is defined as profit for the period before net
finance costs, income tax, depreciation, amortization, the effect
of IFRS 16, certain non-cash items such as impairments and
write-offs of unsuccessful efforts, accrual of share-based
payments, unrealized results on commodity risk management contracts
and other non-recurring events.
The Company is unable to present a quantitative reconciliation
of the 2025 Adjusted EBITDA which is a forward-looking non-GAAP
measure, because the Company cannot reliably predict certain of the
necessary components, such as write-off of unsuccessful exploration
efforts or impairment loss on non-financial assets, etc. Since free
cash flow is calculated based on Adjusted EBITDA, for similar
reasons, the Company does not provide a quantitative reconciliation
of the 2025 free cash flow forecast.
NOTICE
Additional information about GeoPark can be found in the “Invest
with Us” section on the website at www.geo-park.com.
Rounding amounts and percentages: Certain amounts and
percentages included in this press release have been rounded for
ease of presentation. Percentages included in this press release
have not in all cases been calculated on the basis of such rounded
amounts, but on the basis of such amounts prior to rounding. For
this reason, certain percentages in this press release may vary
from those obtained by performing the same calculations on the
basis of the amounts in the financial statements. Similarly,
certain other amounts included in this press release may not sum
due to rounding.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS RELEVANT TO
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
This press release contains statements that constitute
forward-looking statements. Many of the forward-looking statements
contained in this press release can be identified by the use of
forward-looking words such as ‘‘anticipate,’’ ‘‘believe,’’
‘‘could,’’ ‘‘expect,’’ ‘‘should,’’ ‘‘plan,’’ ‘‘intend,’’ ‘‘will,’’
‘‘estimate’’ and ‘‘potential,’’ among others.
Forward-looking statements that appear in a number of places in
this press release include, but are not limited to, statements
regarding the intent, belief or current expectations, regarding
various matters, including, drilling campaign, production guidance,
closing of acquisition transaction and production consolidation.
Forward-looking statements are based on management’s beliefs and
assumptions, and on information currently available to the
management. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties,
and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or
implied in the forward-looking statements due to various
factors.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are
made, and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update
them in light of new information or future developments or to
release publicly any revisions to these statements in order to
reflect later events or circumstances, or to reflect the occurrence
of unanticipated events. For a discussion of the risks facing the
Company which could affect whether these forward-looking statements
are realized, see filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC).
Oil and gas production figures included in this release are
stated before the effect of royalties paid in kind, consumption and
losses. Annual production per day is obtained by dividing total
production by 365 days.
1
Return on Average Capital Employed.
2
This guidance is subject to the regulatory
closing of the Vaca Muerta acquisition, expected in 1Q2025. For
reference purposes, a delay in the closing impacts the guidance by
approximately 4-6% each quarter.
3
The Company is unable to present a
quantitative reconciliation of the 2024 Adjusted EBITDA which is a
forward-looking non-GAAP measure, because the Company cannot
reliably predict certain of the necessary components, such as
write-off of unsuccessful exploration efforts or impairment loss on
non-financial assets, etc. Since free cash flow is calculated based
on Adjusted EBITDA, for similar reasons, the Company does not
provide a quantitative reconciliation of the 2025 free cash flow
forecast.
4
Assuming a $5-6 Vasconia/Brent
differential and a $3-4 Medanito/Brent differential.
5
Net average production after economic
rights and royalties. GeoPark monitors market conditions on a
continuous basis and may enter into additional commodity risk
management contracts to secure minimum oil prices for its 2025
production and beyond.
6
Calculated as expected shareholder returns
(dividends), divided by GeoPark’s average market capitalization as
of December 31, 2024.
View source
version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250117034618/en/
For further information, please contact: INVESTORS:
Maria Catalina Escobar mescobar@geo-park.com Shareholder
Value and Capital Markets Director
Miguel Bello mbello@geo-park.com Investor Relations
Officer
Maria Alejandra Velez mvelez@geo-park.com Investor
Relations Leader
MEDIA:
Communications Department communications@geo-park.com
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