Smucker Lags, Revises FY12 Outlook - Analyst Blog
November 17 2011 - 8:39AM
Zacks
The J.M. Smucker Company (SJM) delivered
second-quarter 2012 adjusted earnings of $1.29 per share, lagging
behind the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.39 and the prior-year
quarter's earnings of $1.38 per share.
Adjusted earnings, excluding restructuring and merger and
integration costs (‘project costs’), came in at 17 cents and 13
cents per share in the second quarter of 2012 and 2011,
respectively.
However, the results in the quarter continues to include the
operations of Rowland Coffee Roasters Inc. after the completion of
the acquisition on May 16, 2011. The earnings in the second quarter
were also benefited by the company’s buyback program, which
resulted in a decline of the weighted-average shares
outstanding.
Net sales in the quarter increased 18% year over year to $1.54
billion, due to net price realization of many of the company's
brands. The Zacks Consensus Revenue Estimate was $1.49 billion. The
positive growth in net sales was helped by favorable foreign
exchange rates, combined with the acquisition impact of Rowland
Coffee, which contributed approximately 2% to net sales.
Though the total sales mix impact was positive, volumes declined 1%
in non-branded beverages, Crisco oils, Folgers coffee, and
Pillsbury flour, offsetting the volume gains recognized in
Pillsbury baking mixes and Jif peanut butter.
Expenses and Margin Performance
Excluding project costs, gross profits inched up 0.9% year over
year to $511.4 million on the back of higher prices in the coffee
category, which had also offset the higher commodity costs.
However, margins still contracted 580 basis points (bps) to 33.8%
in the second quarter of 2012.
Selling, distribution and administrative (‘SD&A’) expenses
climbed 6% year over year. However, it declined 180 bps to 15.6% as
a percentage of net sales. Selling and general and administrative
expenses increased 17% and 10%, respectively, while distribution
expenses inched down 1% in the quarter. Marketing expenses
were in tune with the second quarter of 2011.
The acquisition of the Rowland Coffee business partially impacted
the increase in SD&A expenses, while the intangible assets
associated with the acquisition led to a higher amortization
expense in the second quarter of 2012.
Excluding the impact of the project costs, operating income
decreased 8.0% while operating margin contracted 460 basis points
to 16.0%.
Segment Performance
The company’s biggest segment, U.S. Retail Coffee Market, reported
a robust 29% increase in sales to $617.5 million, aided by price
increases since May 2010. Volume decreased 4% in the second quarter
of 2012, excluding Rowland Coffee. The acquisition of Rowland
Coffee contributed approximately $26.7 million to segment net
sales.
The U.S. Retail Consumer Market segment’s sales soared 13% while
volumes remained unchanged. Although the segment experienced higher
raw material costs in flour, oils, milk, sweetener and peanuts,
price increases were noticed in most of these categories.
Net sales in the International, Foodservice, and Natural Foods
segment, excluding the impact of the Rowland Coffee acquisition,
divestiture and foreign exchange, increased 6% over the same
period, owing to price increases, which more than offset the
unfavorable sales mix and volume declines.
Other Financial Updates
At the end of October 31, 2011, Smucker had cash and cash
equivalents of $496.3 million compared with $487.5 million at the
end of October 31, 2010.
Cash flow provided from operating activities was $118.2 million,
compared with $46.8 million in the same period of 2010.
On October 25, 2011, Smucker’s board declared a dividend of 48
cents per share, payable on December 1, 2011 to shareholders of
record on as of November 11, 2011.
Acquisition Update
In late-October 2011, Smucker decided to acquire a major portion of
the North American foodservice coffee and tea operations of the
packaged food company Sara Lee Corporation (SLE)
for $350 million.
The deal is expected to close in early 2012 and 450 Sara Lee
employees are expected to transfer to Ohio-based J.M. Smucker.
The acquisition is expected to add net sales of approximately $100
million to the company in fiscal 2012. However, it is not expected
to have a material impact on earnings per share, excluding one-time
costs of the transaction.
In addition, one-time costs are estimated to be approximately $25
million, out of which one-third are expected to be incurred in
fiscal 2012, with the remainder in fiscal 2015.
Furthermore, on a full-year basis, the transaction is expected to
generate EBITDA of approximately $70 million to $75 million, and
earnings of about 10 cents per share, excluding one-time costs.
Smucker expects an annual amortization expense of approximately $15
million to $20 million for the full-year.
Outlook
Concurrent with the earnings release, the company provided guidance
for fiscal 2012. For fiscal 2012, the company continues to expect
net price realization to result in a net sales percentage growth in
the mid-teens, compared to 2011.
Furthermore, excluding project costs of 60 cents to 65 cents per
share, Smucker expects its earnings to range from $4.90 to $5.00
for fiscal 2012. This outlook does not include the impact of the
anticipated acquisition of Sara Lee's North American foodservice
coffee and hot beverage business.
Currently, Smucker -- which faces stiff competition from
ConAgra Foods Inc. (CAG) and Kraft
Foods Inc (KFT), has a Zacks #2 Rank, implying a
short-term Buy recommendation.
CONAGRA FOODS (CAG): Free Stock Analysis Report
KRAFT FOODS INC (KFT): Free Stock Analysis Report
SMUCKER JM (SJM): Free Stock Analysis Report
SARA LEE (SLE): Free Stock Analysis Report
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