The transportation industry occupies an important niche in the
world market and includes movement of freight and passengers
through different modes such as rail, trucks, ships, and air. It is
highly competitive, capital intensive and depends largely on the
global demand of exports and imports (Emerging Markets Dividend
ETFs).
Transportation ETFs represent a good investment opportunity
during an upswing in the markets. This is why they are often
considered to be a barometer of the broad market as it indicates
that more goods are being moved around, and business activity is
gaining strength.
While 2012 was a year of slow growth for the U.S. economy, broad
stock markets have remarkably risen this year. Leading indexes like
the S&P 500 have pushed higher and posted gains in the first
few months of 2013 that usually take at least a year to accumulate.
This has resulted in many market segments surging higher, including
the transport industry.
In fact, overall economic environment remains somewhat positive
as indicated by encouraging economic data with home sales and
factory sales supporting the growth picture and employment data
rising (Impact of Positive Jobs Data on ETFs).
Additionally, durable goods orders climbed 5.7% in February as
demand for transportation equipment rebounded. These positive
trends in the economy suggest that there is rising demand for the
movement of goods across many economic sectors. This has resulted
in transport sector reaching the present peak.
The bullish trend in the industry is quite palpable with the
performance of the ETFs tracking the industry namely the
SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN) and the
iShares Dow Jones Transportation Average Index Fund
(IYT). Both ETFs have been on a tear, beating out broad
markets.
In the year- to date period XTN has produced a return of 21%
while IYT has gained 17.1% thereby beating the broader market index
as represented by SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) which registered a gain of
9.67% in the same time period (3 ETFs Beating the S&P 500).
However, the recent earnings miss by FedEx (FDX) brought a halt
in the rally of transport ETFs, and especially for IYT. Sustained
weakness in international air freight markets along with customers
looking for inexpensive ways to transport goods led to the
disappointing earnings of the company for the recent period.
FedEx accounts for a significant portion in IYT, while XTN has
assigned it a very small portion. Federal Express makes up close to
7.6% of total assets in IYT, enough to make the company the third
biggest holding while in XTN it occupies just the 29th
position with a share of 2.97%.
However, a single earnings miss by FedEx does not really dim the
prospect of the whole transport sector. In fact, with the economy
gaining strength, the sector is all set to rebound further in
2013. If anything, the impact of the FedEx earnings miss is seen as
a short term phenomenon that will not last long (Three Surging ETFs
with Strong Momentum).
In light of this, it may be the time to make an allocation to
the broad sector in the hope that the recent trend in the space
will continue and that the highly sensitive sector will continue to
display strong growth momentum. To accomplish this task in basket
form, investors should look to either of the transport ETFs that we
have highlighted below:
iShares Dow Jones Transportation Average Fund
(IYT)
IYT represents the most popular way to track the transport
sector. Volume and AUM are both impressive, ensuring that the
product has tight bid ask spreads for virtually all investors.
Despite this, the product does have a relatively high expense
ratio, coming in at 46 basis points a year (Top Ranked
Transportation ETF in Focus).
The fund manages an asset base of $783.1 million and trades at
volume level of more than 1.5 million shares a day. This asset base
is invested in a small basket of 21 securities.
The ETF is heavily exposed to the railroad industry as this
segment makes up nearly 30% of the portfolio. Delivery Services,
trucking and airlines also get double digit allocation in the fund
with a share of 18.7%, 17.36%, and 15%, respectively.
Top holdings include railroad operator Union Pacific at roughly
12.1% of assets while Kansas City Southern and FedEx take the next
two spots making up nearly 16.6% of the total assets between
them.
SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN)
XTN holds roughly 39 securities in its basket charging investors
just 35 basis points in fees. However, the fund does not appear to
be popular among investors as it has a very low trading volume and
asset base. The fund manages an asset base of $38.9 million and
trades at volume level of 7,600 shares a day.
This fund is also heavily exposed to trucking and airlines as
they make up roughly 60% of the total. Beyond this, close to 35% of
the total goes to both air freight & logistics, and railroad
companies, which pretty much round out the entire fund except for a
4% allocation to marine firms (Two Sector ETFs Posting Incredible
Gains).
In terms of individual holdings, US Airways Group, Alaska Air
Group Inc, and Hunt J B Transportation Services Inc occupies the
top three positions in the fund with a share of 3.63%, 3.58%, and
3.48%, respectively.
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FEDEX CORP (FDX): Free Stock Analysis Report
ISHARS-DJ US TR (IYT): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP 500 TR (SPY): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP TRANSPT (XTN): ETF Research Reports
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