U.S. Stocks Await Cues on Future Fed Policy
December 17 2018 - 8:36AM
Dow Jones News
By Georgi Kantchev
U.S. stocks were poised to kick off the week under pressure as
investors awaited a key Federal Reserve meeting amid mounting signs
of slowing economic growth around the world.
Futures pointed to an opening loss of 0.1% for the S&P 500,
following U.S. stocks' worst start to a December since 1980. Major
indexes fell more than 5% last week.
In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.7%, while most Asian
markets rose.
The Federal Reserve will conclude its final policy meeting of
the year Wednesday and while analysts widely expect the central
bank to raise short-term interest rates, the focus will be on the
Fed's outlook for next year.
Softening economic data and falling oil prices have led many
traders to price in a more gradual course of rate increases for
2019. Remarks in November by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who said
rates looked like they were "just below" neutral, a level that
would neither speed nor hamper economic growth, are also guiding
expectations.
The uncertainty comes amid a rocky stretch for financial
markets, as trade frictions, worries about slowing global growth
and geopolitical tensions have curbed risk appetite among investors
in recent months.
"People are trying to put a price on stocks but there's lack of
clarity out there about pretty much everything--the Fed, trade,
China's economy, Brexit," said Thomas Hainlin, global investment
strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. "If the Fed gives a
clear indication for next year's moves, that would clear some of
the uncertainty."
The WSJ Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar against a basket
of 16 currencies, was down 0.2%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield
was fell slightly to 2.885% from 2.891% on Friday. Yields move
inversely to prices.
Recent data indicating that economies in Europe and China are
slowing has sparked worries that the malaise could spread to the
U.S., despite relatively steady readings on the American
economy.
"The U.S. economy is slowing but still doing fine," Mr. Hainlin
said. "It's like a runner going from a fast speed to a more normal
pace--he's still moving forward."
In China, investors are eyeing the Central Economic Work
Conference amid expectations Beijing will take more potent measures
to arrest an economic slowdown. The benchmark Shanghai Composite
Index rose 0.2% on Monday.
Rising expectations for further monetary loosening and more
government spending to boost the economy are helping support
already cheap-looking Chinese stocks, said Zhu Chaoping, a
Shanghai-based economist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Investors were also were bracing for the latest moves on Brexit.
U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May last week vowed to press on with
efforts to win assurances from European Union leaders on sweetening
the Brexit deal, but EU officials largely stood pat.
"In the aftermath of May's latest rebuff in Brussels,
uncertainty will be heightened and the markets will be fearful of
an increasingly damaging effect on the real economy," analysts at
Société Générale said in a note to clients.
The British pound was volatile against the U.S. dollar, recently
up 0.3%.
In Asia, Japan's Nikkei finished 0.6% higher while Hong Kong's
Hang Seng was flat.
In commodities, Brent crude, the global oil price benchmark,
rose 1.3% while gold was up 0.2%.
Shen Hong contributed to this article.
Write to Georgi Kantchev at georgi.kantchev@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 17, 2018 08:21 ET (13:21 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.