CURRENCIES: Dollar Index At 1 1/2 -year High On Haven Flows As China, Eurozone Data Heighten Global Growth Worries
December 14 2018 - 10:08AM
Dow Jones News
By Anneken Tappe, MarketWatch
Currency markets attracted flows into perceived havens on
Friday, as risk appetite weakened following softer-than-expected
economic data from the eurozone and China.
The U.S. dollar was up against most of its rivals on Friday,
with the exception of the Japanese yen , pointing to the move being
driven by haven flows. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index , which measures
the greenback against six rivals, rose 0.7% to 97.692, marking its
highest level since June 2017, according to FactSet.
"It's difficult to imagine the dollar backing off significantly
today without an improvement in risk appetite," wrote BMO's
European head of FX strategy Stephen Gallo. "In this environment,
softer U.S. data might actually prove to be a fillip for global
risk assets, but investors are not entirely sure how
market-friendly the [Federal Reserve] is going to be next
week."
Commodity and global growth-linked currencies, like the
antipodean currencies and the Norwegian krone were all weaker. The
New Zealand dollar was the worst performer in the Group of 10 most
heavily traded currencies, down 1.2% against the dollar at
$.0.6782. The Australian dollar followed not far behind, down 1% at
$0.7153.
The economic data that weighed on risk appetite Friday morning
included the German and eurozone-wide purchasing managers indexes
for December. The eurozone composite index slipped to 51.3 versus
52.8 expected, with a slowdown in both the manufacturing and the
services component. The data looked similar for Germany. A reading
of more than 50 indicates an expansion in activity.
Elsewhere, Chinese economic activity mostly slowed in November
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-economic-activity-mostly-slowed-in-november-2018-12-14),
driven by weakness in both industrial production and retails sales.
This also hit stock markets across Asia
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asia-stocks-take-a-hit-from-economic-data-early-friday-following-2-days-of-gains-2018-12-13).
The euro slipped to a one-month low of $1.1272, compared with
$1.1358 late Thursday in New York. The British pound fell to
$1.2549, down from $1.2655.
Read:Here's how ECB's Mario Draghi walked the tightrope between
caution and confidence
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-how-ecbs-mario-draghi-walked-the-tightrope-between-caution-and-confidence-2018-12-13)
In Brexit news, the European Commission President Jean-Claude
Juncker said the Irish backstop was not subject to
renegotiation.
Also see: U.K. Parliament must wait till 2019 to vote on Brexit
deal Theresa May struck with EU
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/uk-parliament-must-wait-till-2019-to-vote-on-brexit-deal-theresa-mat-struck-with-eu-2018-12-13)
"This is particularly embarrassing for [U.K. Prime Minister
Theresa] May, because she convinced them to vote for her in the
no-confidence vote by promising that she could get the EU to grant
fresh concessions. The result makes it even more likely that the
Withdrawal Agreement won't pass Parliament and therefore [the U.K.]
will crash out of the EU without any agreement -- the disaster
scenario for sterling," wrote Marshall Gittler, global strategist
at ACLS Global.
May told reporters on the sidelines of the EU summit Friday that
it was in everyone's interest to get a deal done as soon as
possible
(https://www.fnlondon.com/articles/uk-prime-minister-vows-to-get-better-brexit-deal-20181214),
and that European leaders also wanted to get a deal across the
line. Still the U.K. government had stepped up its no-deal
preparations, May said.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 14, 2018 09:53 ET (14:53 GMT)
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