Cattle Supplies Bulge on Fatter Herds
February 23 2018 - 4:39PM
Dow Jones News
By Benjamin Parkin
Feedyard operators are fattening more cattle than previously
anticipated, likely meaning larger supplies in the months to
come.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture said Friday that producers
placed a little over 2 million head of cattle in feedyards for
fattening in January, 4% above a year earlier. Analysts had on
average expected an increase of around 1%.
That pushed the total number of cattle to 11.6 million head as
of the beginning of February, 8% above the same time last year and
also ahead of pre-report estimates. Cattle marketed in January, or
sent to slaughterhouses, rose in line with expectations at 6%.
The rate at which cattle ranchers have sent their herds to
feedyards, to finish them on an intensive diet of grain, has
consistently surprised market observers in recent months. Factors
like a drought in the southern Plains--which depleted wheat pasture
available for grazing--contributed to the trend, the USDA said.
Higher placements are due to translate to larger-than-expected
supplies in the months to come, which could pressure cash-market
prices for physical cattle and the futures market.
February-dated live cattle futures fell 0.3% to $1.28 a bushel
at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange ahead of the report.
In a separate report Friday morning, forecasters from the USDA
said they expected growing cattle herd sizes in 2017 to translate
into higher beef production in 2018. But the rate of herd growth
would likely slow this year, they said, which could help curb beef
supplies next year.
Market analysts say robust export demand is essential in
absorbing the extra beef production, and the USDA expects sales
abroad to increase this year. But the agency added separately on
Friday that beef export sales of 9,300 metric tons in the week
ended Feb. 15 were down 10% from a week earlier and over 50% below
the most recent four-week average. That was a low for the season so
far.
Hog futures rose, ending the week 5% higher after tumbling to a
low in mid-February. April lean hog contracts climbed 0.1% to
71.375 cents a pound. The cash market for physical hogs has slid
this week, but wholesale pork prices have steadied.
Write to Benjamin Parkin at benjamin.parkin@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 23, 2018 16:24 ET (21:24 GMT)
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