Metals: Copper Prices Hit Highest Level Since November 2014
August 21 2017 - 2:48PM
Dow Jones News
By Amrith Ramkumar
Copper prices advanced Monday, with investors continuing to bet
that Chinese economic strength and lower supplies will buoy base
metals.
Copper for September delivery closed up 1.4% at $2.9805 a pound
on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange -- its
highest close since November 2014. The industrial metal reached a
nearly three-year high of $3.0025 earlier in Monday's session.
Prices have gained more than 15% since the end of May, supported
by confidence in the global economy and a weaker dollar. The WSJ
Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against 16 others, was
down 0.4% Monday. A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated metals
more affordable to foreign buyers.
Although the International Copper Study Group reported a
seasonally adjusted supply surplus for May on Friday, many
investors and analysts think supply will tighten in the future
while demand growth stays steady.
China, which accounts for almost half of the world's copper
consumption, has posted better-than-expected economic growth
figures so far this year, though some analysts caution that a
second-half slowdown could send copper prices lower.
"In our opinion, this price level is not justified," Commerzbank
analysts wrote in a note. "Metals prices only seem capable of
moving in one direction just now -- namely upwards," they
wrote.
Some analysts and investors are also concerned that much of the
recent copper rally is being driven by speculative investors. Net
bullish bets on a higher copper price by hedge funds and other
speculative investors have set new all-time highs each of the last
three weeks, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data
going back to 2006.
Among precious metals, gold for December delivery closed up 0.4%
at 1,296.70 a troy ounce. The haven asset hit its highest level
since November early in Friday's session before retreating after
President Donald Trump's chief strategist Steve Bannon left the
administration. Some investors viewed Mr. Bannon as an obstacle to
the Trump administration's agenda, with U.S. political uncertainty
one of the factors that had supported gold prices in recent
sessions.
Still, some analysts think further geopolitical tensions between
the U.S. and North Korea or other disruptions could stoke demand
for gold and send prices higher.
Many will also be closely watching the Federal Reserve's Jackson
Hole conference later this week for clues about future
interest-rate increases. Minutes from the Fed's latest meeting
released last week showed officials divided on when to raise rates
amid sluggish inflation. A longer period without a rate increase
could also boost gold, which struggles to compete with
yield-bearing assets when borrowing costs rise.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 21, 2017 14:33 ET (18:33 GMT)
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