European Stocks Recover After Italy Vote Forces Renzi to Resign -- Update
December 05 2016 - 5:36AM
Dow Jones News
By Jon Sindreu and Riva Gold
European stocks advanced while the euro recovered from early
losses Monday, as investors shrugged off Italian voters' rejection
of a constitutional referendum.
The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 1.3% midmorning with every sector in
positive territory, while Italy's FTSE MIB index reversed early
losses to advance 1.2%. Futures pointed to a 0.4% opening gain for
the S&P 500.
Investors had widely anticipated the result of Sunday's
referendum and subsequent resignation of Prime Minister Matteo
Renzi, and consequently sold Italian equities, bonds and the euro
in the weeks leading up to the vote.
"For the first time, the polls were clearly expecting that
result," said Igor de Maack, fund manager at DNCA Investments.
Some investors expressed relief the result was out of the way,
while many were also hopeful a caretaker government in Italy would
calm concerns about political stability in the country and its
ongoing efforts to restore the health of the banking sector.
Given Italy's history of changing governments, the news "will
not change the challenges of the eurozone or the challenges of
Italy," Mr. de Maack said.
Italian bank stocks had initially come under pressure as markets
opened, amid concerns that a period of political turmoil could
interfere with planned capital raising.
Those concerns appeared to ease quickly, however, sending even
the FTSE Italia All-Share Banks index into positive territory.
Shares of troubled lender Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena were up
0.3% after initially failing to open. Shares of Banco Popolare di
Milano were off over 2.1% in morning trading, while UniCredit fell
3%.
The wider Euro Stoxx Banks Index was up 0.7% after initially
dropping.
In currencies, the euro was last down 0.3% against the dollar at
$1.0637--a marked recovery after falling to its lowest since 2015
as the votes came in.
The result is considered a blow to Mr. Renzi's reformist
pro-European government, while strengthening the populist and
anti-euro 5 Star Movement, currently Italy's largest political
opposition.
Some investors had been worried that the larger-than-expected
margin of victory for the "no" campaign could bolster support for
populist parties on the continent ahead of elections across the
eurozone in 2017. While much of the euro's recent drop is due to a
stronger dollar, analysts point to the Italian referendum as a key
factor.
"It is tough to say how much more the Italian political
uncertainty will weigh on the euro until we know if we can rule out
the possibility of snap elections being called before the electoral
law has been changed," said Jordan Rochester, strategist at
Nomura.
Some relief for the euro may have also come from Austria's
rejection of an anti-immigrant populist in its presidential
election earlier this weekend. Center-left candidate Alexander Van
der Bellen beat back a challenge from his right-wing opponent
Norbert Hofer, winning 53.3% of the vote in the country's runoff
election, according to a final count of votes cast on Sunday and a
projection of mail-in ballot results.
In government bonds, the yield on 10-year Italian government
bonds rose as high as 2.063% early Monday before retreating
slightly to 2%, after the spread over German debt widened to a
two-year high--an indication that fears about the integrity of the
eurozone are on the rise, but still much below where they were
during the euro crisis of 2010 to 2012.
Earlier in the day, shares in Asia mostly declined amid concerns
the result of the Italian referendum could trigger a selloff in
Europe's banking shares that would ripple world-wide. Japan's
Nikkei Stock Average fell 0.8%, while stocks in Shanghai fell 1.2%
and stocks in Hong Kong shed 0.3%.
In commodities, Brent crude oil rose 0.8% to $54.91 a barrel,
while copper prices rose 1.1% to $5,853 a ton. Gold was down 0.9%
at $1,167 an ounce.
Anton Troianovski contributed to this article.
Write to Jon Sindreu at jon.sindreu@wsj.com and Riva Gold at
riva.gold@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 05, 2016 05:21 ET (10:21 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.