Smaller-Than-Feared Supply Outlook Sends U.S. Cattle Futures Limit-Up
July 25 2016 - 3:40PM
Dow Jones News
By Kelsey Gee
CHICAGO--A brighter-than-expected outlook for U.S. cattle
supplies sent futures to the highest close in three weeks on
Monday, as prices rallied by the exchange-imposed daily limit.
August live-cattle futures surged 3 cents, or 2.7%, to $1.1295 a
pound on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, after hitting a five-year
low last week. Cattle futures for October also rose 3 cents, or
2.8%, to $1.11075 a pound. Feeder-cattle futures for August picked
up 4.5 cents to $1.4170 a pound, after sliding 1.7% over the past
week.
Concerns about sluggish demand for livestock and beef dragged
U.S. live-cattle futures to the lowest levels in five years last
week, as consumers typically opt for lighter fare during the
hottest weeks of the year, giving meatpackers little incentive to
bid aggressively for cattle.
However, traders on Monday focused on a U.S. Department of
Agriculture report that Friday afternoon forecast a much smaller
increase in supplies this fall than previously feared.
In June, just 1.525 million cattle entered U.S. feedlots, up 3%
compared with this time in 2015. Analysts surveyed by The Wall
Street Journal forecast, on average, a 6.5% rise from 2015 levels,
with estimates ranging from 3.8% to 9.9% above the year-ago
period.
The agency also estimated that feedyard operators sold 9% more
cattle to meatpackers in June than they did last year at this time,
the most aggressive pace of marketings since 2012, which has
reduced the overall supply of cattle being fattened for beef.
The data show that "feedlot inventories are growing only slowly"
said Derrell Peel, livestock economist at Oklahoma State
University, in a research note, which has provided some relief for
producers who have watched prices fall nearly 20% this year in
anticipation of the supply bulge.
The hog market also advanced, lifted by gains across the
livestock markets.
Hog futures for August rose 0.4 cent to 75.675 cents a pound,
after sliding 5.9% last week. October hog futures advanced 0.45
cent to 64.35 cents a pound.
Write to Kelsey Gee at kelsey.gee@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 25, 2016 15:25 ET (19:25 GMT)
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