By David Enrich, Gabriele Steinhauser and Matthew Dalton
The economic sanctions that the U.S. and European Union imposed
Tuesday against Russian banks were designed to severely punish a
key part of Russia's economy. But their immediate impact is likely
to be relatively muted.
The U.S. sanctions don't include Russia's biggest bank, and the
EU carved out a loophole for big parts of the banks.
The sanctions on a variety of Russian companies in the banking,
energy and arms industries were intended to penalize Russia for
what the U.S. and EU see as its destabilizing role in the Ukraine
conflict.
The U.S. slapped sanctions on three state-controlled Russian
banks: VTB Bank, Bank of Moscow and Russian Agricultural Bank. The
sanctions, which bar U.S. institutions and individuals from
providing new equity or debt financing to those lenders, "will
impose additional significant costs on the Russian Government for
its continued activities in Ukraine," the U.S. Treasury Department
said Tuesday.
Analysts said Wednesday that by largely locking the banks out of
western capital markets, the U.S. and EU sanctions will drive up
the lenders' funding costs, hurting their profits and potentially
impeding their ability to lend.
The U.S. sanctions, however, are notable for an institution that
is not on the list: OAO Sberbank. Sberbank, majority-owned by the
Russian government, is the country's dominant lender. With more
than 19,000 branches, it controls a plurality of Russia's banking
assets and boasts the highest market share in retail, business and
corporate banking. It also has substantial investment- and
corporate-banking activities throughout Europe.
Sberbank's Moscow-listed shares rose about 3% Wednesday.
While the EU hasn't yet announced its list of sanctioned banks
and other institutions, Sberbank is among them, according to EU
officials. The bloc's list of sanctioned institutions, which
includes five state-owned banks, will be published later this
week.
But the EU sanctions also have a notable gap. The EU
subsidiaries of the Russian banks are exempted from the sanctions,
according to European officials familiar with the sanctions.
It is an important loophole. VTB Bank and Sberbank both have
sizable units in Austria, and VTB also has a Cypriot subsidiary.
Combined, those units at the end of last year had well over EUR20
billion of assets, and they operated in Austria, Cyprus, Czech
Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Germany and France.
If the sanctions had applied to the entirety of the banks, it
could have made it much harder for those EU units to finance
themselves, although EU officials said Wednesday that much of their
financing was coming from their Russian mother companies.
And it likely would have created complications from the European
Central Bank, which this fall will take on responsibility for
supervising the largest euro-zone banks, including VTB's and
Sberbank's units headquartered in Austria and Cyprus.
The exemption of the banks' EU arms was a late addition to the
planned sanctions, only appearing in draft language in recent days,
according to the European officials.
EU officials said Wednesday that they excluded the continental
subsidiaries to protect the stability of Europe's financial system.
The officials said the EU subsidiaries will be allowed to transfer
certain funds to their parent companies, but not money that they
raised in the EU. The officials said the goal of the sanctions
isn't to hurt the banks themselves but to undermine their ability
to finance the Russian economy.
Another factor blunting the impact of the U.S. and EU sanctions
is that the Russian banks don't have much debt maturing in coming
months.
Russian banks have roughly $39 billion of debt held outside
Russia maturing in the next nine months, equivalent to 8% of their
cash reserves, according to Nomura.
That suggests refinancing risks are manageable. For instance,
VTB has potentially $3 billion of debt that needs to be refinanced
before the end of the year, according to Bank of America Merrill
Lynch. Sberbank has about $2 billion.
"We think that such low exposure limits the potential of
debt-market deterioration on the banking sector, at least in the
short term," said Vladimir Osakovskiy, Russia economist at Bank of
America.
"The decision taken by the U.S. to restrict VTB's access to the
capital markets will not impact the bank's operations and its
ability to meet its ongoing obligations," the bank said in a
statement. VTB added that it "adheres strictly to all relevant
international laws and regulations."
Sberbank had no immediate comment.
Although the sanctions only directly restrict the banks'
abilities to find western buyers for new debt and equity, the
actual implications could be broader. U.S. and European financial
institutions generally are reluctant to do any business with
sanctioned entities. That wariness has grown recently after the
U.S. severely penalized a series of European banks for financing
entities in sanctioned countries.
Ben Edwards in London, Laurence Norman and Matina Stevis in
Brussels and
Gregory L. White
in Moscow contributed to this article.
Write to David Enrich at david.enrich@wsj.com, Gabriele
Steinhauser at gabriele.steinhauser@wsj.com and Matthew Dalton at
Matthew.Dalton@wsj.com