Cintas Downgraded to Neutral - Analyst Blog
November 28 2011 - 10:00AM
Zacks
We have recently downgraded
Cintas Corporation (CTAS) from Outperform to
Neutral as the positives like solid organic growth and margin
expansion are undercut by headwinds from cotton and energy prices
and an uncertain economic environment.
In the first quarter of 2012,
Cintas reported earnings of 52 cents per share, comfortably
surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 47 cents and 30% higher
than the 40 cents earned in the year-ago quarter. Strong
performance across all its business segments helped the company to
deliver better-than-expected results.
Total revenue in the quarter under
review increased 10.1% to $1.02 billion, striding ahead of the
Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.998 billion. The quarter marked the
second consecutive period of double-digit revenue growth.
Cintas, in fiscal 2012, expects to
generate revenue in the band of $4.0 billion to $4.1 billion and
EPS in the range of $1.97 to $2.05. The Zacks Consensus Estimates
for revenue and EPS are at $4.075 billion and $2.04,
respectively.
During the recession, Cintas
sharpened its operations by evaluating sales force productivity,
optimizing routes and streamlining labor overhead. The company
returned to year-over-year organic revenue growth in mid-2010 not
looking back since then. In the recently reported quarter, the
company posted solid organic growth of 7.6%, reflecting the sixth
consecutive quarter of a year-over-year rise. The organic growth of
7.6% was almost on par with a rise of 8% recorded in the fourth
quarter of 2011, marking a five-year high and a distinct
improvement over the 2.8% growth recorded in the year-ago quarter.
Though the macro environment can limit Cintas’ growth prospects,
the company has the wherewithal to drive growth by adding
additional salespersons and increasing sales productivity.
On the margin front, Cintas
continues to expand through better sales productivity and cost
efficiencies, offsetting the rising headwinds from higher energy
and other input costs. During the first quarter of fiscal 2012,
gross margin increased 60 basis points to 43.2% and operating
margin expanded an impressive 170 basis points to 12.6%, the third
consecutive quarter of strong operating margin expansion after
several years of declines. This performance was commendable
considering the ongoing headwinds from higher energy and garment
material prices.
Cintas recently raised its
quarterly dividend by 5 cents to 54 cents, the 29th straight year
of the company’s dividend hike, translating into a 10.2% increase
from the prior dividend of 49 cents. The company has religiously
hiked its dividend each year starting from 1983, the year it went
public. We believe Cintas’ solid balance sheet and cash flow
characteristics support a renewed repurchase authorization and a
dividend hike.
On the flipside, Cintas draws 70%
of revenue from its core uniform rental segment, which is in the
saturation stage. The company is constantly making efforts to
innovate and focus on its other businesses, including direct
uniform sales, first aid safety, fire protection and document
management. However, in doing so, the additional resources and time
involved in developing these growing segments may affect Cintas'
profitability.
The quarter was plagued by rising
costs such as cotton for uniforms and diesel fuel for trucks. These
costs could pressure profitability in 2012, particularly in the
Rental segment. Management reiterated expectations for a $15
million impact from higher cotton prices.
Cintas’ revenue largely depends
upon the service industry, including hotels, airlines, restaurants,
etc. Any drop in the employment rate can adversely impact the
company’s profitability.
We have thus downgraded our
recommendation on Cintas Corporation from Outperform to Neutral.
The quantitative Zacks #2 Rank (short-term Buy rating) for the
company indicates upward pressure on the stock over the near
term.
Cincinnati, Ohio-based Cintas
Corporation designs, manufactures and implements corporate identity
uniform programs, and provides entrance mats, restroom supplies,
promotional products, and first aid and safety products for
approximately 900,000 businesses. Cintas competes
with G&K Services Inc. (GKSR) and
privately held Alsco Inc. and ARAMARK Corporation.
CINTAS CORP (CTAS): Free Stock Analysis Report
G&K SVCS A (GKSR): Free Stock Analysis Report
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