U.S. Dollar Weakens Ahead Of Inflation Data
March 28 2024 - 9:43AM
RTTF2
The U.S. dollar was lower against its major counterparts in the
New York session on Thursday, as traders awaited key U.S. inflation
data and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks on Friday.
The release of the Fed's favored inflation indicator along with
comments from Powell are expected to provide additional clues on
the Fed's rate trajectory.
Economists expect the annual rate of consumer price growth to
inch up to 2.5 percent in February from 2.4 percent in January,
while the annual rate of core consumer price growth is expected to
come in unchanged at 2.8 percent.
With U.S. markets closed on Friday for the Good Friday holiday,
traders will have to wait until next Monday to react to the
report.
The currency strengthened in the previous session following
hawkish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller.
In a speech at the Economic Club of New York, Waller said that
there is no rush to cut the policy rate, suggesting a wait-and-see
approach to policy shift.
With the focus on tomorrow's inflation data, traders largely
shrugged off a slew of strong economic data.
The Labor Department released a report report showing first-time
claims for U.S. unemployment benefits unexpectedly edged slightly
lower in the week ended March 23rd.
The report said initial jobless claims dipped to 210,000, a
decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level of
212,000.
Economists had expected jobless claims to rise to 215,000 from
the 210,000 originally reported for the previous week.
A separate report released by the Commerce Department showed the
U.S. economy unexpectedly grew by more than previously estimated in
the fourth quarter of 2023.
Revised data showed real gross domestic product surged by 3.4
percent in the fourth quarter compared to the previously reported
3.2 percent jump. Economists had expected the pace of GDP growth to
be unrevised.
The National Association of Realtors also released a report
showing a notable rebound by pending home sales in the month of
February.
NAR said its pending home sales index shot up by 1.6 percent to
75.6 in February after plunging by 4.7 percent to a revised reading
of 74.4 in January.
Economists had expected pending home sales to jump by 1.5
percent compared to the 4.9 percent nosedive originally reported
for the previous month.
Separately, the University of Michigan released revised data
showing an unexpected improvement in U.S. consumer sentiment in the
month of March.
The report said the consumer sentiment index for March was
upwardly revised to 79.4 from the preliminary reading of 76.5.
Economists had expected the reading to be unrevised.
With the unexpected upward revision, the consumer sentiment
index for March is now above the final February reading of
76.9.
The greenback eased to 151.14 against the yen, 1.0818 against
the euro and 0.5984 against the kiwi, from an early high of 151.54,
multi-week high of 1.0775 and more than a 4-month high of 0.5956,
respectively. The greenback is seen finding support around 144.00
against the yen, 1.11 against the euro and 0.62 against the
kiwi.
The greenback dropped to 2-day lows of 0.9005 against the franc
and 1.2654 against the pound, from an early high of 0.9064 and a
6-day high of 1.2585, respectively. The currency may locate support
around 0.87 against the franc and 1.31 against the pound.
The greenback weakened to a 6-day low of 1.3531 against the
loonie, from an early 3-day high of 1.3613. If the currency falls
further, it is likely to test support around the 1.33 region.
The greenback retreated to 0.6525 against the aussie, from an
early more than 3-week high of 0.6485. This may be compared to a
previous 2-day low of 0.6540. The greenback is likely to face
support around the 0.68 level.
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