Canada CPI Rose 2.4% in January -- Update
February 19 2020 - 10:34AM
Dow Jones News
By Paul Vieira
OTTAWA -- Canada's annual inflation rate accelerated in January,
driven by higher gasoline prices, although there are signs upward
price pressure might be waning.
Canada's consumer-price index climbed 2.4% on a year-over-year
basis in January, Statistics Canada said Wednesday. Market
expectations called for a 2.3% rise, according to economists at TD
Securities.
On a month-over-month basis, CPI climbed 0.3%.
The Bank of Canada's preferred measures for underlying inflation
edged lower from the previous month, with the average core CPI for
January at 2.03%, versus a revised 2.07% in the previous month.
These core readings are designed to filter out volatile,
month-to-month swings in prices. January marked the second straight
month that the average core reading decelerated.
The Bank of Canada's task is to set interest rates at a level
that achieves and maintains 2% inflation. In January, the central
bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.75%, where it
has been for over a year, but marked down its estimates for
near-term growth. Bank of Canada Gov. Stephen Poloz also opened the
door for a future rate cut if the domestic outlook
deteriorates.
On-target inflation was an important reason the Bank of Canada
remained on the sidelines in 2019 while many other developed-world
central banks cut rates amid slowing global growth.
Economists said other underlying data in January, along with the
core-inflation readings, point to softness in prices.
January's headline inflation rate of 2.4% was fueled by an 11.2%
year-over-year jump in gasoline prices. The data agency said oil
prices were low in January of last year because of a global supply
glut. Statistics Canada added gasoline prices rose early in January
because of geopolitical concerns in the Middle East. Later in
January, oil prices retreated because of economic uncertainty
caused by the coronavirus outbreak.
Excluding gasoline, Canada's annual inflation rate rose 2% in
January. When food and energy are excluded, CPI rose 1.9%, or below
the Bank of Canada's target.
"The positive contribution to inflation from higher oil prices
will certainly unwind in February, bringing the headline rate down
with it," said James Marple, an economist at TD Bank. He added the
average price for a barrel of U.S. crude is down 12% so far in
February from the average price for all of January.
Mr. Marple said the downside risks to the Canadian economy have
intensified in recent weeks, citing the outbreak of the coronavirus
hitting global growth and commodity prices, and rail blockades in
eastern Canada that have upended the country's logistical
network.
Write to Paul Vieira at paul.vieira@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 19, 2020 10:19 ET (15:19 GMT)
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