Corn Rises as Report Questions U.S. Availability
January 23 2020 - 4:12PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
--Corn for March delivery rose 1.3% to $3.93 3/4 a bushel on the
Chicago Board of Trade Thursday, with global prices rising amid
reports that a weather-damaged U.S. crop can't be used for animal
feed purposes.
--Wheat for March delivery rose 0.5% to $5.80 1/2 a bushel.
--Soybeans for March delivery fell 0.5% to $9.09 1/2 a
bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
Subpar Corn?: Traders piled into corn futures Thursday in
response to a report from Reuters stating that some Asian
feed-makers are turning to Ukraine to fill their supply needs
instead of the U.S., and are willing to pay more. Weather-damaged
crops have limited U.S. corn availability, making high-grade corn
more difficult for Asian buyers to get. "This argument of U.S. corn
versus Ukraine, I think that's playing out," said Rich Nelson of
Allendale Inc.
Waiting Game: Without any confirmation of large Chinese
purchases of U.S. agriculture, grain futures were generally weaker
Thursday. "It's been over a week since the Phase 1 agreement was
signed and we do not know any more about China's prospective demand
than we did prior to the agreement," says Karl Setzer of
AgriVisor.
INSIGHT
Flipping the Switch: Grains traders think that corn export
sales, which the USDA will reveal in tomorrow's weekly report,
could exceed 1 million metric tons--a noteworthy turnaround for an
agricultural good that has suffered with low export demand
throughout 2019. Traders polled by The Wall Street Journal estimate
that corn sales could total anywhere from 500,000 tons to 1.2
million. If it lands on the high end of that range, CBOT corn
futures may respond positively to the indication of improving
demand.
Ethanol Overflow: Inventories of U.S. ethanol have grown by
nearly 3.8 million barrels in the past two months, according to
data from the EIA. Since Nov. 22, stocks of ethanol have swelled,
growing to just over 24 million barrels this week. It is the
highest level of ethanol inventories since late July 2019. The data
appear bearish for ethanol demand, with production dropping by
46,000 barrels per day to 1.05 million barrels per day. However,
the building of ethanol stocks may be in preparation for huge
orders from China later in the year.
Viral Message: Coronavirus, a cousin of the SARS virus that
originated in Wuhan, China, is putting pressure on soybean futures
this week--a contributing factor to why the March contract is down
over 2% since the start of the week. If the World Health
Organization says anything Thursday to exacerbate market concerns
about the virus' spread, then soybean futures may be hit further,
said Brian Pullam of Linn & Associates.
AHEAD:
--The USDA will release its latest weekly export sales numbers
at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday.
--The CFTC releases its weekly commitment of traders report at
3:30 p.m. ET Monday.
--The USDA releases its weekly grain export inspections data at
11 a.m. ET Monday.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 23, 2020 15:57 ET (20:57 GMT)
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