Wheat Falls as Traders Take Profits From Recent Rally
October 21 2019 - 4:19PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
--Wheat for December delivery fell 1.6% to $5.23 1/2 a bushel on
the Chicago Board of Trade on Monday, putting a damper on a
six-and-a-half-week rally that saw futures gain 15%.
--Corn for December delivery lost 1% to $3.87 1/4 a bushel.
--Soybeans for November delivery rose 0.1% to $9.33 1/4 a
bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
Sudden Pullback: Traders swooped in to collect on the steady
rise in prices since September. "Wheat prices are under pressure
after recent sharp gains as traders take profits amid a lack of
fresh fodder to keep feeding the bulls," said Arlan Suderman of
INTL FCStone. While winter wheat planting is on track, the spring
wheat harvest has been a tad behind schedule, with traders looking
to the weekly crop progress report for news.
Dollar Weakness Moderates: The US dollar spent much of the
session weaker, before strengthening slightly by the end of the
day. For grains, particularly wheat, dollar weakness is a source of
support for futures, making exports of U.S. grains more desirable
for foreign buyers. The dollar's turnaround weighed on futures at
the end of the day.
No China Carry Through: A lack of confirmation of any new
Chinese purchases of U.S. soybeans put a drag on soybean CBOT
futures. "No Chinese sales announcements produced selling from some
of the faster moving bulls," AgResource said. Monday's grain export
inspection report from the USDA showed only roughly 70,000 metric
tons of soybeans being inspected for shipment to the Chinese
mainland, well below normal levels.
INSIGHT
Lagging Corn Interest: The bearish sentiment surrounding U.S.
corn hasn't changed, as the USDA's weekly export inspection figures
showed U.S. corn is still well behind normal yearly rates of
inspections. Corn inspections totaled 531,744 metric tons this
week, within analysts' estimates but still putting the total amount
inspected in this marketing year at 3.038 million tons, less than
half of the 7.96 million tons inspected by this time last year.
Ethanol Demand Destruction: Small refinery exemptions as
described in the EPA's latest proposal involving the Renewable Fuel
Standard program are insufficient to fix damage to the ethanol
industry done by granting more exemptions to gasoline blenders,
said the American Farm Bureau Federation. "By proposing to utilize
[Department of Energy]-recommended exemptions instead of actual
exemptions in accounting for the billions of gallons of ethanol
lost to SREs, this fix does little to restore the demand
destruction caused by SREs and further undermines the RFS," said
the bureau, calling the latest proposal a "bait and switch" by the
Trump administration.
AHEAD
--The USDA will release its monthly cold storage report at 3
p.m. EDT Tuesday.
--The EIA releases its weekly update on ethanol production and
inventories at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday.
--The USDA will release its latest weekly export sales numbers
at 8:30 a.m. EDT Thursday.
Write to Kirk Maltais at kirk.maltais@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 21, 2019 16:04 ET (20:04 GMT)
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