Trade Skepticism Further Fuels Investors' Push Into Cash, U.S. Treasurys
October 15 2019 - 12:12PM
Dow Jones News
By Michael Wursthorn
Fund managers around the world have crammed into U.S. Treasurys
and moved more of their assets into cash in October, more defensive
positions as many continued to harbor reservations about the U.S.
reaching a trade pact with China.
A survey of 230 fund managers who oversee $620 billion in assets
showed that many investors view the U.S.'s continuing trade war
with China as the biggest risk to the market despite the small step
taken last week toward reaching a truce, according to Bank of
America Merrill Lynch. About 43% of those investors say the trade
war is "the new normal" and won't be resolved
The bleak outlook has pushed investors to take on more
conservative positions in their portfolios by adding cash, betting
on U.S. Treasurys to rise and selectively adding stocks that tend
to hold up better during periods of economic turbulence.
Cash levels among fund managers rose to 5% from 4.7% last month,
pushing further above the 10-year average of 4.6%. Holding U.S.
Treasurys was cited as the most crowded, or popular trade among
investors, a trend that has been building since June, according to
the survey.
Investors also selectively added stocks, buying shares
considered more defensive like those in the consumer-staples and
health-care spaces while moving out of cyclicals such as materials
and banks.
Still, investors say their sour outlook could change if the U.S.
reaches a meaningful trade deal with China. About three-quarters of
respondents said an end to the trade war poses the biggest
potential catalyst for stocks to bounce higher over the next six
months.
Write to Michael Wursthorn at Michael.Wursthorn@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 15, 2019 11:57 ET (15:57 GMT)
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