U.S. Stocks Waver as Oil Prices Slide
December 18 2018 - 3:58PM
Dow Jones News
By David Hodari and Corrie Driebusch
U.S. stocks wavered Tuesday as a slide in oil prices stymied an
attempted rebound by major indexes.
An accelerating decline in the price of oil dragged energy
companies deeper into the red for the year, and in late-afternoon
trading dragged major indexes lower. The Dow Jones Industrial
Average turned negative in recent trading, after earlier rising as
many as 334 points.
Besides the selloff in energy stocks and oil futures, it was a
relatively subdued day in the stock market, as many traders said
they were looking ahead to the Federal Reserve's policy decision
Wednesday and any announcements that come with it as the next
catalyst for stock swings.
The Dow industrials slipped 13 points, or 0.1% and the S&P
500 declined 0.4%.
The drop in oil prices due to persistent fears of growing supply
also spooked some investors. U.S.-traded crude oil fell another
7.3% Tuesday to $46.24 a barrel, putting its losses since Oct. 1 at
more than 35%. Energy stocks in the S&P 500 lost 2.4%.
Both the Dow industrials and the S&P 500 are down more than
7.5% in December, on pace for their worst month since May 2010 in
the midst of the European debt crisis. The Nasdaq Composite shed
0.1%.
The recent selloff sent the blue-chip index, the S&P 500 and
the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite tumbling into correction territory.
Monday's 2.3% fall for the Russell 2000 index of
small-capitalization stocks put it in bear-market territory for the
first time since 2016.
"There's definitely a lot of concern out there," said Matthew
Turner, European economist at Macquarie. "We still think the data
point to trend growth but markets are forward-looking and if you
look at the history of equities prices, they tend to peak before
recessions start. They can, by themselves, push us towards
one."
Worries about the state of markets around the globe are growing.
More than half of fund managers surveyed in Bank of America Merrill
Lynch's monthly report expect weakening global growth in 2019 --
the worst outlook since October 2008.
This week's main focus for investors is the Fed's policy
decision on Wednesday, when the central bank is widely expected to
raise short-term interest rates. Investors are increasingly
expecting -- and hoping for -- more dovish commentary from Fed
Chairman Jerome Powell on the path of rates for next year.
Mr. Powell has given mixed signals on Fed policy in recent
months, spooking investors in October by saying rates were "a long
way from neutral," referring to the point at which interest rates
are neither spurring nor slowing economic growth. He later
backtracked on those comments in November, saying rates were "just
below" neutral.
Dovish guidance from the Fed may have mixed implications for
markets, however.
"On the one hand, markets may see an
even-less-hawkish-than-expected hike as a relief, but if the Fed
acknowledges fears about growth it's not as straightforward," said
Geoffrey Yu, head of the London investment office at UBS Wealth
Management. "Right now, we're at a level where market pricing is
not consistent with underlying economic data."
The latest criticism of the Fed from President Trump added to
investors' unease. Mr. Trump tweeted that it was "incredible" that
the Fed's board was considering raising interest rates again.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 2.849% from
2.857% on Monday. Yields fall when prices rise.
While many investors said they would be watching the Fed's
commentary closely, they said when it comes to the market's
trajectory in 2019, global growth trumps all.
"The biggest risk is tariffs and a global slowdown," said
Michael Borgen, chief investment officer of Sapphire Star Capital.
Trade concerns and geopolitical worries have led traders to sell
companies that do business overseas, including industrial firms and
tech stocks.
In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 index was 0.8% lower, weighed
down by a fall in its oil-and-gas sector.
Stocks sold off more heavily in Asia, where Japan's Nikkei fell
1.8% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng traded 1% lower. Most other indexes
fell by slightly less.
Write to David Hodari at David.Hodari@dowjones.com and Corrie
Driebusch at corrie.driebusch@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 18, 2018 15:43 ET (20:43 GMT)
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