Oil Falls as U.S.-China Dispute Threatens Trade
June 19 2018 - 5:32PM
Dow Jones News
By Benjamin Parkin and Sarah McFarlane
Oil prices dropped Tuesday as trade tensions and expectations of
growing production threatened to upset the global supply-and-demand
balance.
West Texas Intermediate futures fell 1.2% to $65.07 a barrel at
the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the global oil
benchmark, fell 0.3% to $75.08 a barrel on London's ICE Futures
exchange.
Global markets fell on Tuesday after President Donald Trump said
he was looking to extend duties on Chinese imports to $200 billion
of goods, a sharp escalation of a recent trade dispute.
China last week said it planned duties against U.S. crude oil,
among other imports, itself a response to earlier U.S. tariffs.
Traders were betting that the escalating dispute could threaten
growth, global oil demand and a crucial market for American
crude.
"We're seeing a reemergence of concerns about global trade,"
said Gene McGillian, vice president of research at Tradition
Energy. "The record production that we're seeing in the U.S. would
have trouble making it onto the global market."
Oil prices have whipsawed in recent sessions as traders prepare
for a meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and its allies this Friday in Vienna, at which the global
cartel is widely expected to sanction increased production.
Expectations have ranged between an increase of 300,000 barrels
a day of oil production at the low end -- which some traders see as
supportive to prices -- up to 1.5 million barrels a day.
A concern for traders, Mr. McGillian said, was that global
supply from OPEC and others could increase as trade tensions start
to stymie demand.
There are only a few producers who are able to increase output,
including Saudi Arabia, Russia, the U.A.E. and Kuwait, which could
mean other producers resist any production increase for fear it
would send prices lower.
"There might be more intense discussions, but I guess in the end
they will come up with a consensus decision for a small production
increase in the short term," said Giovanni Staunovo, commodities
analyst at UBS Wealth Management.
Brent prices have eased 5.9% since peaking at about $80 a barrel
in May after OPEC-led cuts helped drain global inventories,
prompting Mr. Trump to blame the cartel for making oil prices
"artificially very high."
"Investors are still trying to understand if the fall of the
past few weeks could be considered as an inversion or -- as it
seems so far -- just as a correction," said Carlo Alberto De Casa,
chief analyst at ActivTrades.
A rebel attack on Libyan ports has shut nearly half of the
country's output, Mustafa Sanallah, head of the country's National
Oil Corp., said Tuesday. The supply disruption is helping to
underpin prices, analysts said.
Among refined products, gasoline futures fell 0.8% to $2.0379 a
gallon while diesel contracts shed 0.5% to $2.1218 a gallon.
On Wednesday, markets will watch for official government data on
weekly U.S. crude oil inventories from the Energy Information
Administration. Analysts are expecting a decline in stockpiles of
both crude oil and gasoline.
The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said late
Tuesday that its own data for the week showed a 3-million-barrel
decrease in crude supplies, a 2.1-million-barrel rise in gasoline
stocks and a 757,000-barrel increase in distillate inventories,
according to a market participant.
Write to Benjamin Parkin at Benjamin.Parkin@wsj.com and Sarah
McFarlane at sarah.mcfarlane@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 19, 2018 17:17 ET (21:17 GMT)
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